Now is the Time to be Afriad | Hacker News Reader

Now is the Time to be Afriad

mattmireles.com

4 pointsmattmireles4 comments

There is some truth in it : The US (or most of the european) healthcare is not able to handle the number of cases there will be. There will be a lot of deads.

The truth stops there, the rest is "science" fiction. It would be true if the lethality was over 5%, which is just not possible (lethality is not yet known exactly, but will probably be between 0.6% and 3%, probably around 1%.

There is no need to be afraid, however this is still a really dangerous virus and thousands of peoples will die in each countries.

Starts speculative, gets fantastical, ends up deeply paranoid.

which part did you feel was fantastical or deeply paranoid?

I'm actually terrified by doing the math with the most conservative, best case outcome: under that I will

a) be dead,

b) know somebody who has died,

c) many in my surrounding will struggle because of the socio-economic effects and lack the reserves to deal with the primary effects (emotional) and secondary effects (emotional and financial)

... also a/b/c are in no way mutually exclusive

- If you have no breathe/heart chronic problems, and you are under 40 y/o, your death chance, IN CASE YOU DO HAVE the coronavirus, is below 1%. - There will not be a strong economic impact that will stop globalisation. Maybe there will be economics short term changes. Maybe there will be important. But what is said here is apocaliptic. You should read about the SRAS (15 times more deadly, less infectious), or about ebola (40-80 times more deadly, less infectious).

ebola, SRASS, H1N1, H1Z1, mad cow, all of thoses deases have killed a lot of peoples. Not in EU nor US. only poor non-white people have died. Everybody is really afraid by this one only because rich countries will have to do something, not just watch poor black people die on TV. ebola killed 11k peoples during 2014-2016.

The only really special thing is that you've between 2 and 14 days, if you caught coronavirus, during which you are infectious. the dease have strong contagious capabilities because of that. But that's clearly not the most dangerous thing humanity faced, far from that. I would be more concerned about risks of economic crisis or civil war than this end-of-the-world-special-flu...

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