Ohio health official estimates 100,000 people in state have coronavirus
thehill.com
thehill.com
You don't get to 100k in a day. Even in Hubei, where they didn't know about the virus was a thing. Even in South Korea, where people actively tried to spread the infection. It took more than a week to reach thousands. During that time, there have been symptoms you couldn't miss, like deaths.
As for asymptomatic carriers, the idea seems to be that there are not that many. Certainly not thousands times more than confirmed cases. Even when taking into account incubations time, which is around 5 days (quarantine is 14 days to account for outliers).
It is a prediction for the future, does it include every type of coronavirus (not just SARS-CoV-2), or is it bullshit?
That isn't the same as actively tried to spread the infection.
If it is, there might be some hope in all this. If a large amount of this 100k can have the virus with minimal symptoms, that could mean we're overestimating the CFR.
The White House has been trying to downplay the whole issue. I understand that any administration would have a hard time handling this but Trump has been doing terrible job, even going as far as naming it a hoax.
In the next 30 days we will see exponential growth of the virus in the US. We have 330 million people but only 1 million hospital beds. Many older folks will not receive treatment.
The way US healthcare is set up will make this issue even worse. In US many people avoid doctors and hospitals due to cost. Many HAVE to go to work because they don't have savings and don't have ANY time off. US is set up perfectly for the virus to spread like wild fire. Plus, many Americans are still ignoring the pandemic. This will not end well for the US.
I had an appointment with my clinic. My conversation regarding COVID19 gave me the following takeaways:
1. The testing story is improving - my clinic has access to commercial tests, whereas just a few days ago they had to go through the local municipality and wait several days for testing and confirmation via the CDC.
2. They won't hospitalize everyone. Many will be able to do either oral or home IVs and recover fine via home quarantine, reserving hospital beds for the worst cases.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092966462...
https://www.diagnosticimaging.com/ct/covid-19-pneumonia-trai...
https://www.jto.org/article/S1556-0864(20)30132-5/fulltext
It also doesn't seem to match what we are seeing about how it is basically only the severe cases that end up with pneumonia - the ones even less likely to end up self quarantining and taking medication while remaining at home.
> How can the pneumonia be treated?
> Prof Christine Jenkins, chair of Lung Foundation Australia and a leading respiratory physician, told Guardian Australia: “Unfortunately, so far we don’t have anything that can stop people getting Covid-19 pneumonia.
> “People are already trialling all sorts of medications and we’re hopeful that we might discover that there are various combinations of viral and anti-viral medications that could be effective. At the moment there isn’t any established treatment apart from supportive treatment, which is what we give people in intensive care.
> “We ventilate them and maintain high oxygen levels until their lungs are able to function in a normal way again as they recover.”
> Wilson says patients with viral pneumonia are also at risk of developing secondary infections, so they would also be treated with anti-viral medication and antibiotics.
"The idea of anybody getting it easily, the way people in other countries are doing it, we're not set up for that. Do I think we should be? Yes. But we're not. That is a failing. It is a failing. Let's admit it." Dr. Anthony Fauci, today
The president of the United States cannot be trusted.
If true, it's not politics. It's unethical and immoral, it is a dereliction of duty and oath to protect people.
Perhaps even on the scale of genocide.
I'm no fan of Trump, but that's loading on too much. It's just bad instincts and leadership, no one could know how this would unfold.
Did we not have a big example already? Anyone who didn't know is in a literal coma.