Yup.
The best case scenario is that restrictions are introduced, and they work so well that people complain that they were unnecessary.
And remember folks, when it comes to exponential growth, the best time to act was yesterday.
The best case scenario is that restrictions are introduced, and they work so well that people complain that they were unnecessary.
And remember folks, when it comes to exponential growth, the best time to act was yesterday.
Perhaps it could be effective enough to have multiple 2-week lockdown periods (eg. separated by 2 or 4 weeks non-locked-down periods), just to slow down the spread so health care systems can keep up?
There is so many variables at play, and no simple model could come up with "the best" solution, if there ever is one.
Look at taiwan , singapore, hong kong, macau. You can totally slow it down to a reasonable number of new cases daily such that the hospitals can handle. Just don't start like wuhan, iran, italy...