Stanford ramps up coronavirus testing to help other hospitals
scopeblog.stanford.edu
scopeblog.stanford.edu
Here is an interesting analysis including analyses done by Chinese health officials to estimate the actual number of cases in the past on a given day, based on symptom data collected from confirmed cases.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCa0JXEwDEk
Other countries should follow suit.
Chart:
https://miro.medium.com/max/5376/1*r-ddYhoUtP_se6x-NOEinA.pn...
Commentary:
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-peop...
> This is one of the most important charts.
> It shows in orange bars the daily official number of cases in the Hubei province: How many people were diagnosed that day.
> The grey bars show the true daily coronavirus cases. The Chinese CDC found these by asking patients during the diagnostic when their symptoms started.
To be precise, even the grey bars are an underestimate of the true cases in reality, since they would exclude unreported cases as some people were turned away from hospitals. (In the UK they are advising people with non-severe symptoms to stay at home, where they can't be tested.)
It's encouraging that a retrospective analysis confirmed that the Wuhan lockdown had the intended effect however, to reduce the true spread of cases.
If Wuhan is a guide, we should know starting Saturday if the lockdown in Italy is also having an effect.