We’re only seeing the sickest, most critical patients and the most overwhelmed hospital systems in cities.
I think MOST patients being tested in hotspots like Lombardy are those who are already at the hospital, and if you’re at the hospital you’re not in good shape.
Probably tons of positive cases at home with a fever, or mild symptoms or no symptoms.
And of course, tons of people who are not tested and probably never will be. Totally asymptomatic.
We can’t get an accurate fatality rate without these “infected but asymptomatic” cases.
Didn’t an Italian doctor do a small study showing 98% asymptomatic positive cases?
(of course, this comment will probably age poorly)
Sorry about the paywall. If you search for it via google and click it from there that's how I found it (and why I didn't realize it was paywall)
Basic summary: Too Early to tell. But Germany is doing 160,000 tests/week, which is more than lots of countries. They may be getting a more complete picture of who is all infected.
Given that age is a very large component here, I don't think you can extrapolate data from the Diamond Princess to the general population.