The U.S. Is Not Winning the Coronavirus Fight

nytimes.com

6 points·rbanffy··5 comments

I don’t understand why so many people are trying to analyze the numbers in the US as if we all live in the same place. The US is huge and the situation is vastly different between different states and even different areas within states.

Consider the fact that as of today more than 100k of the confirmed cases in the US are in New York and ~57k of those are in New York City. [1]

I think it’s also troubling that anyone is trying to read meaning into the rate of growth in confirmed cases without taking into account the actual rate of testing. [2]

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-c... [2] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/full-list-total-tests-for...

No one is winning.

If we flatten the curve enough we are able to offer healthcare to everyone who's sick. That's a win.

That would require new procedures, innoculations, innovations. Because flattening with nothing else would take 20 years (total needing hospitalization divided by available beds). We can't be in lockdown for 20 years.

And the US curve hasn't flattened yet. It's barely deflected. We can expect full infection to occur in about 1 month if we don't do a whole lot better.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...

We won't be able to save everyone, but we may be able to save everyone who can be saved with treatment.

Unfortunately, I think it's too late for the US

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