> UPS is doing it so cheaply there's no way they're even close to breaking even on it.
You are saying "Amazon" has no way to be even close to breaking even?
> What's more, it's a substantial part of their network volume
Are you referring "it" is a substantial part of "Amazon"'s network volume?
That doesn't make sense to me... why would UPS sign a contract with Amazon that it wouldn't make money on?
I can see accepting a relatively low profit, but not negative. Even as some kind of strategic defensive move. There's no winning scenario for them to lose money on delivering packages for Amazon.
For the sake of argument, let’s say that Amazon makes up 50% of UPS’s business, and those packages are shipped by UPS at a 10% loss. If the other 50% of their business averages a 20% profit, then they’re averaging a 10% profit across the board.
Without the Amazon packages, let’s say UPS can cut their operating costs by 25%. Now they’re shipping 50% as many packages, though, so the per-package operating cost has increased by about ~33%. Those customers that were generating 20% profit when the network was larger are now a losing proposition. UPS then faces the choice of downsizing their operation or raising prices. Both of those options are about equally bad when you consider that their competitors are not impacted by the loss of Amazon’s business (well, to be totally correct, their competitors have already absorbed the disruption to their operations when Amazon pulled their business to move it to UPS in the first place).
To be clear, I’m not saying the above numbers are correct - or even close to being representative. I’m merely illustrating why it makes sense for transportation companies to take large-volume customers even at a loss.
Thanks so much for explaining!
"Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos said the company has placed an order for 100,000 electric delivery vans from Michigan-based startup Rivian. The announcement came during an event on Thursday in Washington, DC where Bezos unveiled Amazon’s sweeping plan to tackle climate change."
https://www.theverge.com/2019/9/19/20873947/amazon-electric-...
This was part of their investment into Rivian:
"In February 2019, Amazon announced it would be leading an investment round of $700 million into Rivian." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rivian