Wow, that’s a doubling of deaths over 24 hours too. But I hope this is exceptional. I cannot see this being 8000 deaths tomorrow.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1250917711586168835
If R0 was 2.5, a virus with Rt of 1.9 (*0.85, and then a little seasonal benefit) is still scary, but it's a completely different ball game.
On the other hand, if we don't experiment with reopening a little soon, we'll lose the chance to effectively use the time where weather is on our side...
Emphasis on "a little". Slightly increase the set of permitted activities, designate an industry or two more as permitted, and continue to encourage mask wearing.
I'm in the SF Bay Area which has had a fairly steady daily case count in the face of increased testing, but a declining number of COVID cases in ICU over the past 10 days. The latter is a lagging indicator, so whatever trend is there is going to continue for 10+ more days. IMO, we should slightly loosen controls, but I do not think public health will even consider that before a couple weeks have expired.