And here is one [0] from another reputable news source that says more or less the opposite.

I think it's too early to call out a "winner strategy" - I think there will be a new wave when the different countries opens up - but that's my guess, and hey - I program computers on a daily basis, as far away as you probably can get from this kind of science.

(and yeah, I am a Swede)

[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-si...