https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/04/19/fatal-flaw...
Also this article has one weird thing I picked up on and maybe I someone can verify it but they've said 100 people died in Santa Clara country but I could find 73 possible covid-19 deaths. All of those haven't been verified. This is based on April 17th numbers
Let's say the false-negative rate is 0% and the false-positive rate is 2%. For sake of argument, let's say that 0.05% actually have Covid. If you tested 10000, 5 people have it in reality but your testing would show that 205 people tested positive.
This is better than the false positive of other tests like the normal tests with a 10-15% false positive rate. https://abc7news.com/coronavirus-test-free-testing-update-ac...
Also this
Shouldn't we use this simply because the false positive of 2%-1% is lower than those tests we are using for making policies right now.
If the bar for retraction of a paper is that people are misinterpreting it, then most of the studies on masks should be retracted as well.
We did learn from the study that the population rate isn't outrageously high, like 30%, but I'm not sure what more we can confidently say beyond that.
So these test a more accurate than either of the more accurate test to diagnose Covid-19 from what I've found
https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/1251270848075440133/photo...
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v...
https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/1251270848075440133/photo...