> Decay seems to be very slow even in the jurisdictions with the strictest controls. (I do think the hardest hit jurisdictions may show something close to symmetry).
Agreed. Watching the graphs for Italy made this exceptionally clear. It's been a month since their peak in new infections, and they're just now hitting the 50% of peak level for new infections. And that's with a very strong stay-at-home order.
> IMHE has entered the re-opening fray, and is setting target dates based on when they think we'll be down to fewer than 1 infection per million. It seems that it's driving public policy, and it's kinda ridiculous.
Re IMHE, hopefully policymakers will listen to IHME themselves:
> We strongly believe decision-makers should draw on a variety of #COVID19 models.