Nate Silver has a great post the other day where he broke down the fact that the ratio of new cases per test administered has gone down.
I'm not saying we should all just act as normal, but I am saying that the media is creating a more pessimistic picture than is warranted by talking about positive cases without the context of an increase in tests administered.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/coronavirus-case-counts...
Seems to confirm, 28% increase in the past month overall in tests performed per positive. But this graph doesn't give any regional focus unfortunately - all we can say is that on a national scale, the positive test rate is decreasing. It is entirely possible that there is an increase being hidden by a larger decrease in the hot spots, but the next month should give us the answer.
People keep saying this, but at least for Illinois the numbers don't fit. The growth rate has been almost completely steady since the results of the shelter-in-place were seen.
> Nate Silver has a great post the other day where he broke down the fact that the ratio of new cases per test administered has gone down.
I think this is what's happening instead of finding new cases. We're just identifying more uninfected people.