> a lockdown for such a long time is crazy.
And people will rebel, and the infection rate will spike yet again, and people will die, and the lockdowns will be imposed with force.
Better to listen and understand than to disobey and risk worse. What's the expression? Regulations are written with blood?
meanwhile... https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23115056
Do you have something that reinforces this? JHU dashboard data extrapolation (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map) and revised models (https://www.livescience.com/trump-administration-models-pred...) starkly disagree.
If people mill about and it doesn't stop till we reach herd immunity, imagine at 50% of pop, 0.3 or 0.5% die, that's a big number 330mil * .05 * 0.005 = 825k deaths. IHME estimates assume we won't just keep standing around until half of us get it. The fools walking around are competing with that vision.
Why so defeatist?
Also, there's mounting evidence that social distancing is being done socially (by people making their own choices) as much or more than by governments.
In which case it's easy to feel like it's all for nothing.
I personally still support it but I can see why people are frustrated, and I think as this goes on you can't just extend it without some really clear and transparent communication.
that is unknown. If anything, the flu experience shows that the hot dry air minimizes transmission by minimizing the lifetime of the exhaled aerosol mini droplets which carry the virus.
The rate will most probably spike again in the Fall, lockdown or no lockdown, because of the colder moist air then, and I think it is very misleading to promise people the lockdown avoidance later in exchange for a larger lockdown now.
Governments at all levels seem to be doing only lockdown, which basically means doing nothing by the governments themselves and just putting the burden squarely on the people shoulders and waiting hoping that the issue resolves on its own. Where are the true government actions to fight pandemic - i mean at least bare minimum - masks, testing, contact tracing? Why Whole Foods, not the government, should give away free masks? I guess, no money for masks in the $6T dollars that have just been printed and have propelled the stock market back into the bubble.
Very true. There should be no shortages of tests, masks or other protective equipment. Instead the stock market is going up.
I'd love some experimental data for once (with regards to SARS-CoV-2, a lot is modeling, and a lot less is bench work) to know if this is true or not (there are a few studies but most of them aren't that great, at least the ones I've read).
"Comply or be killed" will be an interesting order, I look forward to seeing that one go out.
Civil tickets. Revocation of business licenses. Fines. Arrests. Tear gas.
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/port-of-seattle-pl...