SEC Enforcement of Insider Trading Dropped to Lowest Point in Decades
npr.org
npr.org
I've been working on a dashboard to track insider transactions at S&P 500 companies, you can check it out at https://www.quiverquant.com/sources/insidertrading
"a huge options bonus"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2020-08-03/money-...
> Giving CEO James Continenza options to buy 2 million shares at prices up to $12, when the stock was trading at $2.62, the day before an announcement that sent the stock up to $21.85, seems (1) generous and (2) well-timed.
We shouldn’t assume that considering the Kodak gave a completely different reason:
“The options were granted to shield Continenza’s overall stake in the company from being diluted by a $100 million convertible bond deal clinched in May 2019 to help Eastman Kodak stay afloat, according to the person’s account.”
Had the CEO bought a bunch of shares, that would very possibly be insider trading, because he is (presumably) trading on information that doesn't belong to him, but belongs to the company, ie, the board. In the US, insider trading is a crime about misappropriation of information.
But the board can do whatever they want. They can grant the CEO a large cash bonus, at any time, for any reason or no reason. And they can grant him a chunk of valuable options. And they can certainly do so because of a soon-to-be-announced deal, because again, they're the ones who "own" that information.
Now, why the board might have thought that was a good idea, and to what extent the board was fulfilling their fiduciary duty to the stockholders is a separate question. Giving employees who do a good job a bonus is pretty routine, but on the other hand, just randomly giving the CEO an (effective) giant sack of cash is very much not routine, and there's a lot of practical reasons why companies do not usually do that. "It might violate insider trading laws" is, however, not one of them. :)
Pay the nominee manager in crypto currency and have them open a bank account for the LLC?
America is awesome at money laundering.
Better idea would be to just split the winnings with them.
Nobody has even been prosecuted for insider trading for buying gold.
We have much better technology these days. Rather than making trading some sort of crime we should just have a "relevant persons" standard where CEOs and anyone who has close contact with them have to register what they are about to do a few days before they make any trades of shares in the company.
It is fundamentally a bit silly have a situation where it is illegal for someone to make best decision given their knowledge. We can safely guess that the professional traders are leveraging every possible edge, fair or not, SEC regulation or not if they think they can get away with it.
That is already the case, top executives trading is publically reported. This is why insider trading often catches relatives of the person in the know. Like the CEO would ask his cousin to make the trades for him.
Before someone is quick to say "how can you not know?!," there are some pretty ambiguous cases around trading on material, non-public information.
- Counting cars in parking lots as a proxy for sales.
- Your employer sees a drop in sales and is able to directly attribute it to a competitor. Can you buy shares in the competitor?
- You're at a bar in NYC and a drunk i-banker is trying to impress a girl and runs his mouth and talks about a pending acquisition.
I agree that the second one seems ambiguous and could certainly result in a lawsuit in the shareholders are unhappy.
I don't think the third one is insider trading, the banker had a duty to keep this information confidential, not you and you did not colluded. This looks a bit like the loan to Kodak that got leaked in the press because they had forgot to embargoed it. While it certainly not good looking for employees of the company to trade on this information, what could possibly reproached to outsiders once this news is all over the Internet? Even after the initial tweet had been removed, the news was out their.
It is ambiguous.
The only thing I can say with absolute certainty about insider trading is that anyone who can confidently say XYZ is or isn’t insider trading doesn’t know what they’re talking about.
What do you think the best predictor is at the moment?
Do you think it is even hypothetically possible that these people aren't comparing notes over golf?
And why is it objectionable? There are enormous information imbalances out there in the market - why be upset about this one? CEOs aren't the biggest fish in the pond.
It's objectionable because it introduces yet another mechanism for dramatically increasing inequality and economic stratification while also making capital markets more corrupt and less efficient, which undermines core aspects of our economic system.
Insider trading is not about having better information than others. People spending effort to figure out better data sources and better ways to value stock is one of the reasons why we even have public financial markets in the first place.
No, the crime of insider trading is about breach of trust: it's only a crime if you obtained the information in some sort of confidence relationship with the company. So, trading based on your intelligence on how much inventory a company moves, obtained through analysis of non-public satellite photos is completely legal, however, doing the same when you have access to the same data as a data center tech is not.
Like, which ones?
If you exploit information assymetry to make a profit, then your profit is coming at the expense of whoever had less information than you and made the transaction nonetheless. The argument goes, if you had perfect information symmetry, then the transaction would not have occurred, as the person who was willing to buy or sell the stock (for your profit, with information assymetry) would rather keep the profit for themselves.
If insider trading occurs at a large enough scale, then market players begin to assume that the only plays available to them are offered by people seeking to exploit information assymetry, therefore all plays are losing plays. The result is that nobody participates in the market, and the market as a whole becomes worthless. Stop trying to think of insider trading as a crime that victimizes whoever bought or sold the shares from the person with more information, and try to see it as a crime that undermines the common infrastructure that the economy relies upon.
The market will stay irrational longer than you stay solvent.
Don't fall in the trap of watching after-the-fact movies about previous crisis, and conclude that "some guys knew it all along but the system tried to hide it". That is not the reality.
The reality is that systems at play are complex, every single day thousands of analysts predict an upcoming crisis, while other thousands predict the opposite.
When you don't understand a price move, it's actually quite difficult to know whether the others are in the wrong and you know better, or if the others just know more and you're in the wrong.
Watching movies about some guys that were right does not mean it's easy to know..
Additional relevant context: whilst most trades can be considered to have winners and losers, in the case of insider trading the executives responsible have created losers from the [former] shareholders they're being paid to work for.
Aside from undermining trust in their communication if they're intentionally concealing information to profit from, the other problem is that it's easier for executives to create insider trading opportunities by making unexpectedly bad decisions than unexpectedly positive announcements...
So either one or both are true: such a scenario is better handled by corporate boards, and/or the SEC needs more teeth to prevent the consolidation of ownership / control of public companies.
One could argue the trust has been gone for a while & yet the market is still going.
[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/05/stock-v...
[2] https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/11/priva...
[3] https://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20140717/NEWS01/1407...
Someone explained to me once how ambiguous it can be. Let's say we have CEO and his Friend talking together in speech, in real life:
Friend: "Hey CEO! How are things going at company :)"
CEO: "Oh, things are going well."
Friend: "Oh yeah? Is it looking good?"
CEO: "Yes! ;) Looking really good" winks
Friend buys stocks, Press Release comes out, and Friend holds onto the stock for some quarters.
Here you can see that CEO gave a wink and said things are going really good. He could have not winked, he could have said things are going fine. He can also not communicate this over-optimistically with other people.
That would not count as insider trading.
For insider trading regulation to kick in, you need to prove the information given carried substantial certainty about the outcome of the trade.
A wink is definitely not substantial certainty. In your situation, the CEO would have to clearly communicate information that led to a positive trade.
That is because you appear to have a false understanding of what insider trading is.
> Information travels with some speed and there will always be people with access to better information making better decisions.
That is not a problem at all, as long as the information on question is not sourced from deliberately undisclosed sources within the company itself or within their business partners.
Encouraging investing time and money into interpretation of publicly available data as best as possible to gather information about a company's future prospects is a good thing, because it helps one of the main purposes of public stock markets, which is slapping an as-accurate-as-possible price tag on a company, so investment capital is put to work as efficient as possible. And since it is solely based on public data, this obviously does no undeserved harm to the company's business prospects.
Conversely, encouraging using information that is still kept secret to do this thwarts the future prospects of the company in question, because that information is usually kept secret for business purposes, and if it wasn't secret, deals would not take place. Hence by encouraging using that secret information to take part in price discovery it is effectively encouraged to break confidentiality of that secret information, which is contrary to the interests of the company wanting to make business in the first place.
> We have much better technology these days.
Technology does not have anything to do with this fundamental discussion
> Rather than making trading some sort of crime we should just have a "relevant persons" standard where CEOs and anyone who has close contact with them have to register what they are about to do a few days before they make any trades of shares in the company.
Your argument is self-defeating. Because in order to make officials adhere to the "inform public about intended trades X days before they take place" rule, you MUST make these trades illegal if they happen without this pre-announcement.
Such rules are indeed in place right now, precisely to combat insider trading. This is why people with inside knowledge often try to pass on that knowledge to friends or relatives instead of trading for themselves, which is still illegal insider trading, but much harder to prove.
> It is fundamentally a bit silly have a situation where it is illegal for someone to make best decision given their knowledge.
No, it is not, in case of insider trading. It is fundamentally a bit silly to expect people to participate in a market that does nothing against insider trading, because if you have to assume that regardless of how good your research based on public data is, your counterparty on the market is likely someone with direct access to confidential insider information and will thus make the better trade, any possible trade must be assumed to be a losing trade, hence participation in that market would be a bit silly in the first place, which eventually kills the entire public market because it just leaves those with insider information actually trading.
If you want public markets, you need to limit trades to be only based on public data, otherwise the public will not have any confidence in the fairness of the market and will decide to stay out of it.
> We can safely guess that the professional traders are leveraging every possible edge, fair or not, SEC regulation or not if they think they can get away with it.
Again, you are misunderstanding what is insider trading. Professional traders usually aren't, because trying to leverage any available public data to gain an edge (like the often mentioned satellite imagery that can be bought on the open market by anyone in order to count cars in parking lots of stores or whatever) is not illegal and totally fine within the purpose of the public market as described above. Insider trading originates from people in the company either directly using secret information to trade for themselves or giving trading tips based on that information to outsiders. These could of course be professional traders by accident, but often they're just retail traders, and in the end the nature of those traders is irrelevant for the discussion anyway, because it is about the nature of the trades and how they were informed, not who the traders are.
For the people out there claiming that this development is an exclusively Republican project, I offer [1] as a counterexample. In the market right now there are widespread practices that would have been prosecuted a decade ago.
“Alternative data” is a euphemism for “insider trading, but on a computer”. It’s the alpha capture [2] of today.
[1] https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/116/hr2534
[2] https://www.cnbc.com/2014/01/09/blackrock-agrees-with-ny-att...
But thinking about it further, there is still a category of hedge funds at the absolute top like Lone Pine, Viking, and D1 that are doing exceptionally well. D1 is newer but the others continue to defy the odds year after year while their peers collapse.
And I could probably name 20 funds in total like that. So maybe fewer funds are participating but they are doing it better?
This isn't "hedge funds", it is quite clearly executives at companies. The SEC has deemed high-profile execs untouchable.
It's hard not to think that insider trading won't be punished when even the most obvious cases fly by with hardly a mention.
(p.29) 11.b.10: "To lower morale and with it, production, be pleasant to inefficient workers; give them undeserved promotions. Discriminate against efficient workers; complain unjustly about their work."
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23389921
[2] https://www.cia.gov/news-information/featured-story-archive/...
We play croquet
And go rollerblading
Here's to homies on lock
For insider tradingNow, I don't believe those two are doing anything of the sort, but a look at the current US ministers certainly reminds me of the soviet chief rabbi joke. I once made fun of Boris Johnson because he videoconferenced with a bookshelf in the background that appeared to have been bought by colour, but he's still doing better than the US Secretary of Education, who didn't even have any books on her background bookshelf...
(Of course, maybe I'm too cynical, and enforcement of insider trading has dropped precipitously because they've found something more important to enforce?)
Update: I should delete this because it doesn't offer anything useful to the discussion.
But seriously, prosecution of white collar crime on a scale that actually makes change seems to have gone the way of the dodo here.
The problem with the 2008 crash was that it was a systemic flaw spread across many parties (originators, bundlers, derivative underwriters, etc). There wasn’t some cabal of evil laughing traders watching as their grand scheme collapsed.
I don’t think it’s illegal to make a loan you know someone can’t pay and then sell said loan to someone who is willing to buy it even when they know it has a high default risk.
How do you force someone to take a loan? Does the recipient have no responsibility whatsoever, in your opinion?
>How about the guys that hid very shady/risky debt that spread like cancer throughout the system.
What does this even mean? There is "risky debt" all over the entire financial system, all the time. Again, if AIG doesn't know the risk of the financial assets it is purchasing, that is their problem, and it is accountable to its customers. What else are they being paid for?
Assuming no fraud involved, this wasn’t clearly illegal at the time. You can’t just prosecute people for being bad people; you need a law.
Incompetence is not illegal.
And zillions of them lost their jobs.
What happened in 2008 was a kind of systematic problem, not illegal stuff by Banking execs ... mostly. A lot of the truly illegal stuff was petty: loan officers falsifying applications, individuals doing same etc..
As for the current let up in prosecutions, it's hard to tell if it's down 'because Trump appointment' or something else.
I mean 'net net' it technically went downward during Obama and may not have spiked during 2010 were it not for crises.
In the same article they indicate overall prosecutions going way up.
It could be that they are not insider trading, but moving on to other crimes.
If your actions bring the global economy to its knees the feds lend you money to prop it back up...
If you think someone should be prosecuted, then tell us who they are and what crimes they have committed, instead of resorting to crude populism.
Better yet, try to understand what actually happened.
And it's 'very easy to believe' why they did it - because ratings are their source of income. If they don't play nice, banks go elsewhere.
Similarly 'Gartner' and other such entities: you don't buy their reports, you may not get in the 'magic quadrant'. No 'collusion' is needed, just a brain.
But this misses the question again: what did these banking execs do that was illegal? What should they be prosecuted for?
There's just not much there.
The system relies on Credit - if one part of the system goes down, it can take the rest with it. It's not entirely irrational that one bank goes down - the risk of course is the collateral damage.
The 2008 crises was a systematic failure of lack of oversight, greed, stupidity and some bad actors, mostly not illegal activity.
Maybe some mortgage loan officers overlooked some paperwork. Are you going to put them in jail? While illegal, those are really just misdemeanors.
The problem with 2008 lies elsewhere than in individual fault.
It's amazing how these types of vague, rhetorical anticapitalist comments here on HN almost consistently end up lacking any substance and add nothing to the conversation.
I don't know much about SEC enforcement, but the IRS has become far less fearsome over time. Again, a somewhat complicated story; there's a good overview here:
https://www.propublica.org/article/how-the-irs-was-gutted
One top-line number:
> The IRS conducted 675,000 fewer audits in 2017 than it did in 2010, a drop in the audit rate of 42 percent.
Audits of the very wealthy have declined dramatically.
Is there any evidence supporting this claim?
>The only people who do it are a very small overlap of the Venn diagram of people who have access to material nonpubluc information and don’t yet know it’s impossible to monetize it
Which side is it? That there are less people people who have insider information, or that it's harder to monetize insider information? Unless there's big shift in US corporate culture leading to better information controls across the board, I don't think it's the former. I can't think of anything that'd change the latter, unless HFT/hedge funds found some sort of crystal ball so they can front-run the insiders.
As a result of the individual book model dying, inside information isn't worth much. You can't trade on your own, and you can't share it with others.
Moreover, with outflows from discretionary to quantitative strategies, there's not that many hedge funds (by capital at least) that could even do anything with inside information. It's not like if some guy at Bridgewater got a hot merger tip he would even be able to do anything with it.
tl:dr: lots of things have changed, and the industry is no longer conducive to exploiting insider information.
I'm sure it still happens, but at an individual or informal kind of level. It's not an institutionalized accpeted thing like at SAC or Gallion, for example.
It appears that they changed how they were run the instant Trump was elected. Funny how that works!
The only thing you said was "because X and Y happened at the same time, they seem to be connected". You did not make any other arguments about how X could cause Y. Within the past hour, I went to the bathroom, and also at least one person on earth died. As you can see, to say my bathroom trip caused that persons death is illogical without any other facts or evidence to back it up.
This is a really funny site btw: https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
Who committed the indsider trading?
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/29/kodak-executive-chairman-add...
If the Libor scandal can happen, it's not difficult to imagine a hedge fund working together for this purpose.
It’s both. There’s no reason to acquire the information if you cannot monetize it sufficiently. It becomes a liability to have it around. And the whole reason you cannot monetize it sufficiently is that the moment any event occurs, the SEC/FINRA combs through everyone whose trading patterns were suspicious. With the amount of surveillance, you’re almost guaranteed to get caught. There’s no secret meeting in a parking lot. There’s no Signal communications.
I’m not saying there is no criminality in the financial world. Just that this particular crime is so heavily watched and carries such a strong punishment that no rational investor risks it. It mostly ends up being retail guys who got a tip, but didn’t know that the tip was illegal or they just had no clue the depth that the DoJ’s tentacles can reach.
My evidence is that I’m in this world. HFs have departments that read research and then cross checks it to make sure it only includes public information. If somehow a nonpublic piece slips in, they kill the trade.