I see no reason to believe this to br greater today than in 2016. And I believe the 2016 data did not show any of it.
More polls have also moved from live interviews to automated system, where it's less likely that anyone will be "shy".
More polls have also moved from live interviews to automated system, where it's less likely that anyone will be "shy".
People are also more paranoid today than in 2016. If the communists take over, you do not want to be on some voted—nazi list.
That's not really true. The state-level polls were generally within normal polling error, although there was a systematic error due to educational attainment. In 2020, more pollsters have incorporated educational attainment into their weighting, so this source of error should be reduced.
Since 2016 the far left has gone insane with conspiracy theory and cancel culture
There are all kinds of reasons to believe people would lie to pollster calling them up
That is with out getting into the real sampling problems they have as when you look into the data they over-sample Democrats a good deal and I do not believe they properly account for this over sample largely because they do so on a base ratio, the problem with that is I believe they are also massively oversampling never trump republicans so they have an inaccurate republican sample for which to re-balance the polling
They are not polling Trump's base, or Trump supporters or really the moderate middle
They are getting Democrats and Never Trump republicans in their polls