A lot of people will die waiting for the vaccine. I haven't seen the CDC and FDA spokesmen take this publicly into account.
Meaning the adverse effects are small enough to require large numbers to discern. Balance this against the predictable number of covid deaths from waiting for those large numbers.
NZ comes to mind as a country that has barely built up any immunity (due to them trying to contain it completely). They can expect more utility from a vaccine than otherwise.
Anyway, given the incredibly low rate of both mortality and also any real consequences in, say, those under age 55, their personal benefit of a vaccine is incredibly low. So it really comes down to whether you’re a Sweden person or a New Zealand person.
I’m a Sweden person personally.
Noope, that isn’t what antibody testing shows. Take England for example. Coronavirus working its way through a mere, say, 6% of the population is devastating.
> The utility of a vaccine might be lower than you think.
Nonsense. We need to protect the other 94%.
That’s the areas. As for age or demographics of people who caught it in England, I don’t think that is well known.
Especially given that most Americans won't take it [0].
[0] https://www.axios.com/covid-vaccine-election-f267a641-a19f-4...