However, that questions a different future I’ve seen in popular science talks: That the future becomes dark because of expansion. That makes less sense to me now, since it would seem that a merged set of galaxies would keep plenty of local stars in the skies. Assuming that stars are born as fast as they die (but I don’t recall seeing an answer to the ratio of star births vs star deaths at a local level).
Also, the age of star formation will eventually end. Stars will stop forming somewhere between 1 trillion and 100 trillion years in the future.
If I understand what you’ve written already, the essence of the answer in terms of mekkkkkk’s question (for reference: “ Sorry for also asking a space 101 question, but since the fabric of space is expanding, does that mean that things are getting bigger as well? Naively, it would seem that way. In your balloon example, the dots would get bigger.”), I think the answer would be:
Anything held together (for example by gravity, or the force that keeps out atoms together) is not growing along with the universe simply because those forces are (for now) stronger than the expansion.
This does produce an interesting side question though: aren’t we (humans) shrinking in relation to the universe? Or, without the click-baity phrasing: isn’t the universe growing without us?
Yep.
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> However, local forces like gravity and the strong and even the weak nuclear force are more than sufficient to hold everything together despite this, so the expansion cannot be locally observed.
After some time, the scale factor of the universe grows, so that 1 new meter is 1.05 old meters. But, by hypothesis, as this happens, our meter stick contracts, so that it ends up being just 0.952 new meters (= 1 old meter) long. Why? Did the physical laws governing iron atoms change so that they pack more densely than before?
And if so, why do all particles pack at exactly the same new density? Shouldn't it differ from molecule to molecule?
The dominant factor on this scale is the strong nuclear force, which governs interactions at the scale of quarks - much smaller than molecules.
In the sense that it did not become 0.952 meters long. It didn't "become" anything - it did not change at all. The universe grew around it, or perhaps "underneath" it. More space appeared for it to exist in. It's like putting an iron rod in a 10 meter square house, then moving the walls out another meter.
Edit: let me phrase this another way. Let's imagine that you and I were pulling on the bar at either end. We could pull it forever and ever and it would never come apart (unless it rusted and became brittle or something, but let's imagine it doesn't). That's because we aren't putting in enough force to overcome the forces which are holding it together. Well, the expansion of the universe is putting like 10^-20 times less force into it than our arms would be.
This is a very different idea from "it's the same amount of space, but bigger", which is what I understand by the claim that a scale factor is increasing.
No, there is no scaling of matter or light. It just has a bigger space to play in.