Multiple comparisons fallacy, related to the Birthday paradox.
Low probability * quadrillions of possible instances === near certainty.
There are ~100 billion solar masses (roughly; stars) in a single galaxy. There are roughly 100 billion galaxies in the observable universe. The Hubble Deep Field image has ~3,000 galaxies, looking at an empty spot of sky 1/10th the width of the full Moon. A later more intensive image within this revealed 10,000 galaxies.
100 billion * 100 billion is 10^22 stars, 10,000 billion billions. That's about a 100 billion stars for every person now living by rough order-of-magnitude maths.
The number of black holes per galaxy is likely at least in the thousands, and by models as high as 100 million (plus or minus an order of magnitude0 per galaxy (see; https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/06/03/ask-...) 10^11 * 10^8 == 10^19, or 10 billion billion black holes to observe.
The likelihood that a planet might orbit one such black hole at an angle creating a transit visible from Earth is not at all low.
And having observed a rare event to have occurred, that is, with a prost hoc probability of one, declaring it improbable is a misuse of statistics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem
https://theconversation.com/paradoxes-of-probability-and-oth...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble_Deep_Field
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubble_Ultra-Deep_Field