I see Jaron Lanier’s position as exactly the opposite, in an interesting accounting of second order effects.
“We shape our tools, and then our tools shape us.”
You are imagining that AI is going to be fantastically impactful in reducing human drudgery, which might lead to a flowering of human potential. JL argues that since most AI applications today perceive human development as increasing consumption (and people’s interaction with the products/services they use is very passive) — which means that as AI gets better, the ambient environment discourages human development. Imagine you satisfied every whim of a child, making it so comfortable that it never has to “grow” — that’s how technology is infantilizing us (AI is just the latest and most impactful layer on top).
> I live the present and believe (perhaps naively) I have some agency to impact the future.
To give the lion’s share of the credit/benefits/power to AI/algorithms vests all the agency in the hands of those who can control/influence them, and condemns those who cannot to a life “below the API” (even if they might be crucial to generate training data) where their voices are drowned out.
As JL says multiple times, he is very excited about (the same) AI research when we perceive it as “just” code/models/linear-algebra, because then suddenly the questions we pose are from a position of much higher human agency (probing the system and how we might influence it), rather than a position of awestruck breathless learned helplessness to the machine.