Self-Driving Cars: Waymo Beats Tesla by Picking the Right Target

What they advertise as "Full Self Driving" is very far from it.

The FSD "beta" is ridiculous. They act like FSD is done except for the edge cases. The whole problem of FSD is the edge cases. And, on public roads, edge cases are encountered frequently. This is a problem of targeting Level 5. There's no actual way to do it. It is counter to any other way of automating anything. Automation occurs by regularizing the environment. Every time.

Level 4 focuses on finding or creating highly predictable environments. This is what allows for automation. By regularizing the environment you can structurally eliminate the edge cases. It works like a virtual rail system. That works. That's the future. That's the way that automation itself actually happens in the real world.

High uncertainty doesn't mean predictions are useless.