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Comment by feralimal | Hacker News Reader

And before that the predictions were for a mini ice age.

Frankly I have very little faith in these 'projections', whether it is for global warming, or presidential races. I think these are better thought of management techniques in the here and now, intended to achieve a present-day objective, eg increase fear, get consent to take more taxes, stuff like that.

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I think if all you go by are headlines that press on the outlier events then you'll probably be in perpetual awe of how wrong science is. Comets are consistently flying by earth and always have some small chance of collision. Doesn't mean the science is wrong, but the headlines probably still touted the possibility. With climate change, it was always more in the realm of probability that larger events would be later down the road and we would see more gradual change (like we are now!), rather than the doom and gloom possibilities presented in many documentaries.

Did any credible source predict a mini ice age? From what I remember it was a few small studies that the media then whipped up into a bit of a frenzy.

We can't even accurately state what the weather will be tomorrow let alone a 10 day forecast. Anything after 3 days is just solid guessing. 10 years is just someone looking to make headlines

We don't have to look forward, we can look backwards and see that temperatures are rising. https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/

==No matter where 2020 ends up in the standings, it will be warm enough to knock 1998 out of NOAA’s top 10. When that happens, all of the 10 warmest years in their records will have occurred since 2005—and the top seven will have occurred since 2014—Sánchez-Lugo says.==

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/will-2020-be-the-...

Weather != Climate

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