Robinhood, in Need of Cash, Raises $1B from Its Investors
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
Non-zero chance had they not haulted trading on those symbols they would've been insolvent by close of trading today, depending on the size of their credit line.
I watched the CEO on CNN tonight, and while I found him pretty difficult to watch, this is a very difficult position to be in. If you admit on TV that your company is experiencing liquidity issues -- even if temporary in nature such as with clearing custodianship requirements -- you run the risk of triggering a greater panic through customer withdrawals/redemptions.
This could turn into a run on the brokerage pretty quickly, and probably already has in some measure, especially after a day of massively lost customer trust. He certainly didn't help it by going on TV and lying about their liquidity issues. They probably would've been better off by issuing a statement and keeping him off TV.
I suspect they lost you as a customer either way.
yes
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/050515/what-...
I am not even joking.
And it's the same for transactions or your bank balance. The bank doesn't keep your money and give it back to you. At least, for banks, they are backed by the government and IMF. For stocks and gift card balance, I am not so sure.
If that takes several weeks or months in a highly volatile market its basically life or doing a flip.
Unfortunately, there is no way to check if the stocks are really there. RH showed you some pixels on the screen saying they hold stocks for you. If RH maliciously or by mistake lost them or never bought them, then there is no third party that will make you whole.
I already know when it comes to volatility, they are going to choose IBKR over my account which is good because usually "my account" is fine but its the others who are doing really crazy things.
I know IBKR will be around in the morning. That's why I love them.
https://gdcdyn.interactivebrokers.com/Universal/servlet/Regi...
There is a fixed amount that is deposited into a varaiety of accounts, let's say the total is T and individual accounts are T_i.
There are also consistent monthly inflows into a variety of T_i's that are dwarfed by T. These mostly go into scheduled investments (ETFs, etc). Call these TM_i.
The majority of T is invested and not traded. The total amount available for short term trades is T_t which is perhaps (in my estimation) 20% of T. That's still a large amount. Howver, this 20% sets the price. Everything happens at the margins.
Trading is the act of taking from one T_i into another T_i. That's it.
That's the job of clearinghouses. Each broker has to settle up at some point but also has to have collateral deposited in order to make sure that they can settle up. This collateral fluctuates depending on volatility.
The worry was that given the obscene run, brokers would not be able to settle up.
IBKR did the right thing to keep a catastrophic problem from developing.
Of course, shorting 130% of a stocks float is a problem that needs to be resolved as well as this is the root cause. If it were just 20-30% then this would never have happened.
So where was IBKR when people were shorting 130% of stocks?
Your guess is as good as mine but my guess is that _their_ risk management, which is very good, handled this reasonably well in their little bubble and they could have potentially been punished by the actions of other people and decided that this was not a risk they were willing to take.
Tough thing to resolve but by talking about it, I think it can be resolved well.
Root cause: somehow, you can short more than the float.
I know for a fact my bank lies. They've been fined hundreds of millions of dollars for money laundering (it's HSBC). A few years ago I looked in to moving to a more honest bank, but I couldn't find one that also met basic criteria like having access to cash points in the UK and having a half decent mobile banking app. Literally every major bank that operates in the UK has stories of doing frankly awful things.
Since then I've joined Monzo, who do seem to be genuinely above board, but finding an honest financial institution is really hard.
Starlink is the space internet from Musk
Of course I meant Starling, they were the first challenger bank to offer business accounts as well and I’m very happy so far.
Only takes them an hour or so to approve it for you, but it gets pretty old having to do it 3-5x per week.
Couldn't you turn off autocomplete or check what you/it wrote before you hit "reply" button?
Really diversifying your funds across multiple banks is a wise move. I’ve got Halifax, NatWest, Santander and HSBC accounts still.
This is the problem though. I'm still with HSBC because, while HSBC is pretty terrible, the rest of the banks are also terrible.
On the flip side one of the heirs to the Santander empire tried to smuggle a Picasso out of Spain on his yacht, which is kind of cool... https://news.yahoo.com/santander-heir-gets-44m-fine-20351628...
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-santanderbank-mortgages-i...
Why refusing to loan money to low-income borrowers is supposed to be discrimination?
If someone has minimal income they are far less likely to repay loan, why this is supposed to be indicator of some discrimination?
If someone earn 30k per year and someone earns 3000k per year then it is not surprising that loan of 200k would be far more likely given to person with higher income.
Banks are typically extremely awful, but why that specific part is supposed be indicator of something wrong? And it seems likely that other statistics mentioned are result of that.
> The bank was founded as an anthroposophical initiative and continues to honor the work of Rudolf Steiner as the inspiration for its approach to banking.
As far as I know they don't routinely bury cow horns to magically improve returns.
For our personal and business banking in UK and NL, we chose:
* UK personal banking - Nationwide for primary current account, Tridos UK as secondary. Left HSBC because service was terrible and they kept on declining our card txns.
* UK business banking - Tried Tide but moved to Starling on discovering Tide didn't support joint account holders. With Starling also have a EUR account. It works seamlessly with the only disadvantage that transfers from the Starling EUR account to NL banks are overnight.
* NL personal banking - Triodos NL, after years with ABN Amro. Triodos is friendly, sustainability focus.
* NL business banking - Knab, which has been good so far. Wanted to use Triodos NL but there is a two month backlog approving new business customers.
Calling their app "decent" is charitable to say the least.
The only good part is the call center, where operators are actively trying to be helpful.
I worked in HSBC for 6 months a few months and their IT systems are scary. It's a patchwork of various international banking systems where each one has different views and funding.
They are completely incapable of coordinating such a political landscape. I made some cash and ran away from that trainwreck as fast as I could.
There are lots of consultancies embedded making good money out of the confusion.
For those in Germany I recommend GLS bank. They have an ethical charter on whom they invest in and their loans are fully backed.
Starling is the only challenger bank that's profitable ATM (and it's only just profitable)
1. revolut - these guys are complete jokers. closed after being asked to provide the proof of funding 3 times in 3 months.
2. hsbc/first direct - somewhat decent. but i only use it to top up my other accounts. i try to avoid them, as they're just too big.
3. starling - simple, no-nonsense banking from a startup.
4. revolut business - had my account closed down by the "bank" because they didn't want my business. no reasons given. again, complete jokers.
5. freetrade - decent investing platform, but very very amateurish.
6. saxo bank - professional investing. they're a huge company, never had issues with them. and yes, they of course accept me buying gme and the like, plus they also support options. unfortunately it costs. a lot.
7. metro bank - what can i say. it feels like a 20th century bank with a nice app. had many issues with them, including a transfer that went missing for 2 weeks, and a EUR account that forced me to go to their branch every time i wanted to do a transfer.
8. ing bank nv - depending on the territory you're opening the account, they might be either really bad or somewhat bad.
9. rabobank - bank was constantly getting hacked and all account ops were blocked while the hacking was happening. also, the hackers managed to empty my account and the bank representative had to use a special card to withdraw some funds so that i could continue living.
later edit:
10. transferwise - very slick, minimal fees, used them from before they were a bank. no issues so far.
11. monzo - i'm not in their target market unfortunately. their features are not useful to me.
I'm an investor in Revolut due to their aggressive growth strategy, but I wouldn't use them personally.
As for Monzo, I like their app but missing features like being able to view your full CVV number in app, or link the app to all your other bank accounts on the free tier, basically prevent me from using them as my primary bank
I use them for some of my overseas customers, my only challenge with them is the limited number of currencies they support e.g. had to open a Revolut account to get payment from a Canadian customer
With a bank you have up to £85,000 insured and guaranteed e.g. if the bank fails
Edit: I'd like to add that revolut was very helpful after most of my valuables were stolen in 2019. While my other bank took three weeks to deliver a new debit card, a virtual card issued by revolut worked immediately via NFC.
and again, for me revolut was a disaster and i will not recommend them.
Customer support, features roll out, chargebacks etc - all way better experience than the local banks.
They singlehandedly forced all the banks in my country to implement apple pay / google wallet. For years nobody bothered, the moment Revolut entered the market, with apple pay support, the banks scrambled to add it themselves.
One time I even had my card stolen while traveling abroad - got a new card within two days, global delivery. I was very pleasantly surprised.
But I also understand the risks and don’t really use them for long term asset management for now. Just as a front for all of my expenses - their analytics are just awesome.
for trading/investments it really depends on your situation and location.
(for example: some countries offer 0% taxes on capital gains for trading if done using special products, but not all available platforms will have them...)
Starling, however, has been magic. I swapped my primary banking over to them and the only issue I've had is their dislike of rooted phones. That's only a minor inconvenience every few months when I forget to upgrade Magisk before the Starling app, though.
Transferwise I've used many times to transfer money for larger purchases in Europe. No complaints, but haven't tried the banking side of it.
If you can find a cooperative bank, I would definitely advised that you try them.
Often their loan rates are generous, their fees low, and perhaps most importantly, they do not join into the blacklists that commercial banks use which prevent people from ever using a bank at all.
If you can qualify for a credit union I would definitely recommend that you try them.
[0] https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/2qS0HM6nBkcPMx0W8t...
[1] https://www.resolver.co.uk/freeadvice/companies/monzo-compla...
Absolutely demented. Apart from that they refused to send me a machine-readable copy of their response to a DPA request for my records and the support team behind their app literally ghosted me when I kept politely pointing out the inconsistencies in their arguments.
Bonus: when I complained they used someone else's name when responding to it. When I complained again they sent me their response to _a totally different person's complaint about a totally different thing_.
Eventually I went back to First Direct (which is owned by HSBC). Avoid Monzo like the plague.
This is true of basically any financial institution.
Of course, it is a problem that Monzo had a bug that caused your account to get flagged for this.
Ended up going with Nationwide, who are a bit behind tech-wise (they do this weird thing where they ask for 3 digits of a 6-digit PIN I'm supposed to memorize, which seems far less secure than a long random password in my password manager), but generally have been great. I tried to sign up for their student account, got told no and redirected to their no-credit-check account with no issues. (That's probably also an indication of what went wrong with Monzo.)
I "bank" with them. Sensible. Reliable. Well run. That's preferable to the latest flashy technology when you are talking about people's hard-earned and long-saved money.
I sense a common theme coming.
So you're keeping cash under the mattress then i assume?
Last year you saw both that banks were 'forced' to withhold dividends and they were perfectly capitalised. Both cant be true of course.
If they hide it from you your money and everyones money is safe. If they tell the truth everyone loses, so it is actually the best outcome for you and everyone else. The fractional reserve system relies on not everyone withdrawing their money at once.
I've been using a brokerage account for banking for years.
The online P2P lending boom here in the UK from financial crisis onward gave people this opportunity.
The end result, 10+ years in, has been subdued returns (relative to e.g. stocks) and crippling illiquidity, as you are exposed to all those late payments, defaults, and have no access to a functional secondary market.
Honestly you're lucky if you can get most people to even use a separate savings account. I know many people who keep 100% of their savings in their current (checking) account.
I've never considered that a lie, because I've never encountered a bank the claims to be holding all the money. They merely claim that I will be able to withdraw my money, and that's on average true.
I consider that claim to be in the same category as the grocery store claiming I'll be able to buy toilet paper today. Sure, unless there's a pandemic. But usually? No pandemic.
Robinhood has proven its intentions by its actions all the other things they say is just marketing and PR bullshit
It's turtles all the way down. You could say trust emerges when people agree to believe in a shared lie.
Also it will only attempt to return the securities you 'lost' not their cash value. If you lose a lot of money due to not being able to sell your stocks for several days, that is not covered. So if you held 2000 stocks of GME, the SIPC will (eventually) give you back 2000 stocks of GME, not the cash value of those stocks when Robinhood went bankrupt.
This is no excuse for screwing retail investors. Horrible management. I mean, I am some random dude who can think of these, these are professionals running multi billion dollar enterprises, c'mon.
Aren't there laws against lying to investors?
Perhaps you can help me understand something.
In the absence of margin trading, if I deposit $100 of cash at my brokerage, then I order my broker to buy $100 worth of Stock A, how does credit and the possibility of bankruptcy enter into the transaction at all?
After all, if I give my kid $5 and send him to the store to buy some milk, he doesn't need to find 'liquidity' or a 'credit line' or risk bankruptcy.
The Instant means any security sold you can immediately use that cash.
Normally you can't go that. You have to wait 3 days for it to settle in the clearing House. The Instant accounts are using margin to make the cash instantly available.
So in Robinhood's case if there are many people depositing dollars to buy stock then that could be their reason or excuse to not have funds available for trading. Just a guess.
A bill under £2 and got hit with a fee of £20
I had something similar happen to me many years ago. I took ATM cash from another account, plus what I had in my house and wallet, to make up the amount that an auto-paid credit card bill due on that same day would have sent me overdrawn.
I avoided the overdraft penalties.
So, anyway, for lots of reasons, things that users think should be instant, aren't. And that's really bad UX, especially for a platform that depends so much on emotional stuff: "deposit $200 bucks and buy 3 shares of X, leaving you with a $30 cash deposit which RH can then earn interest on" is probably how a large amount of RH's balances come into being. That breaks if it's going to be a 1-day gap between someone depositing their money and then buying the shares.
So everyone papers over holes like this with margin.
[0]: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cash-strapped-robinhood-sc...
It must be its own funds. And the requirement of funds to be covering (collateral) can change on them with very little warning
There are some other items, but that's the basic idea - full details are here: https://dtcc.com/-/media/Files/Downloads/legal/policy-and-co...
If you want to dive further i recommend this thread :
https://mobile.twitter.com/KralcTrebor/status/13549526861652...
Huh? I don't understand this. What do they have to hold and why?
[0]: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cash-strapped-robinhood-sc...
As a user, I'd love to be able to deposit and withdraw stablecoins at banks - this would enable essentially instantaneous transfers, and provide an interface that anyone (including non-banks) could interface with.
> It feels like slow movement of money in our financial system causes a lot of these problems
I'd turn that around and say that the hyper fast trading causes a lot of these problems, and in particular creates more problems than it solves.
Introducing a Tobin Tax and replacing continuous trading with frequent auctions (maybe with stochastic end times, to limit sniping) would alleviate a lot of these problems, and put the rent-seeking HFT traders out of a job, while not impeding the important price discovery and capital allocation functions of the market much at all, I think.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tobin_tax
EDIT to add: Appropriately enough, Wikipedia says:
> Another term for these broader tax schemes is Robin Hood tax, due to tax revenues from the (presumably richer) speculator funding general revenue (of whom the primary beneficiaries are less wealthy)
You cannot use customer funds to cover dtcc collateral terms.
Your milk example does not work, because you are not settling up the milk buy 2 days after. You settle your milk purchase on the spot.
This is exactly what Robinhood is doing too.
This twitter user explains, although it gets quite technical:
https://mobile.twitter.com/wallstcynic/status/13550134381546...
Look at the tweet at 7:41PM EST.
" But if RH takes in 500m of new money and 300m buys GME, then at minimum they are looking at posting 30m+ from just that exposure at NSCC. They cannot use client money - RH has to use their own resources to post. And if GME stock drops, RH has to post the loss pre-settlement."
I’m still not understanding how robinhood lost money in the first place.
When you sell a stock on Robinhood, it takes ~2 days to "clear" the transaction. So, Robinhood credits your account, but Robinhood doesn't see that money for 2 days. They don't allow you to withdraw the money from Robinhood until its cleared, but you can purchase other stocks with the money, and if you do that, Robinhood now needs to send something to the seller. All brokerages, and the clearing houses they work with if they don't self-clear (RH, IB, WeBull, etc do not self-clear; bigger banks do), maintain a level of "float" to handle these payments; its like grease which allows the system to move faster, and the bigger these pools of money, the less risk there is.
Robinhood is the #1 app on the App Store right now. EVERYONE is getting in on this. Many of these users likely joined with an invite code, and Robinhood will give out two random shares of stocks for each of these users ($$). After they're in the app, they're probably using the Instant Deposits feature to trade on up-to $1000 they've started transferring but which hasn't cleared yet (pressure on the float). Many of these users are, in WSB terminology, paper hands; they bought GME @ 250, its at 320 now, they want their gains, so they sell immediately; more pressure on the float.
If that float hits zero, that's basically like, imagine your company's bank account hitting zero, its payday (because every single hour of every day is payday for a brokerage), and you have 50 million employees. People would sell stocks, and the number in their account wouldn't go up. In fact, people couldn't even buy or sell stocks, because that float is used to pay fees on every transaction to their clearing house. Now, people are scared; their faith in robinhood has been shook, and they want out. So, they try to sell stocks; they can't. They're angry. If they have settled funds, they pull those out, which just compounds the problem because now their balance sheets start looking weaker and weaker, which makes access to emergency credit lines harder. Basically, they would implode irrevocably. Even the hint of a liquidity crisis is enough to tarnish a firm's reputation.
IMO, I think the biggest driver of this issue for Robinhood is their instant deposits functionality. That feature is insane, and in market runs like this, deadly. Robinhood hasn't actually "lost" money (well, not enough to cause a liquidity crisis); its just the problem of not having enough money right right now to pay people who need to be paid.
But, the deeper issue is the US financial system and its molasses speed of moving money around. The Fed is making strides to improve this, but it will take a decade or more before we see real change.
Sorry, I’m going to be That Guy here and point out that when people accuse Bitcoin of having slow transactions, this is what they should be comparing against, not Visa card transactions. Actual settled transactions. Bitcoin takes 10 minutes. US financial system takes days.
I know Robinhood, and other firms, are trying to downplay what happened yesterday (and is continuing to happen right now!). Its possible their version of the story is accurate. It feels more likely that its not the whole truth.
We were treading really close to a 2007-level market event yesterday, though not due to bad ratings, rather liquidity. It wasn't just robinhood that was impacted; robinhood and IB both said that they made the decision internally, but WeBull said they were instructed by their clearing house to cease trading, and even large firms like TDA started enforcing limits. It was very close to going systemic, and not because of bad fundamentals, not because of an economic downturn, all because an unprecedented number of Americans wanted to join in on the stock market they're entitled to join in on, but our financial institutions were not ready for it.
When you lay out the reality of our system; that money moves so slow that every single institution who wants to handle money, for nearly any purpose, needs a bank account billions upon billions of dollars large just to be able to move as fast as people expect the system to move, and if that bank account gets too low the problem near-instantly spreads to the next bank in line; the system is very fundamentally broken, and people need to demand change, because our financial system runs EVERYTHING.
Moreover; if WSB's theory on this is correct, and if these WSB stocks like GME/NOK/BB/etc don't reduce in value; we missed a meteor yesterday, but a second one is still coming. This isn't just about bankrupting a hedge fund. When the margin calls on these short positions start coming in over time, the price of these stocks continues to rise, and eventually, the current "diamond hands" (as WSB call them) will sell their shares. We're talking about billions of dollars here; that's a massive liquidity spike that our institutions are still not ready to handle. Granted, as always, its the IDIOTIC institutions who got us into this by taking out the INDEFENSIBLE short positions in the first place, but they're systemic; they know they can do whatever the hell they want and get away with it, because if they go down they take every American with them.
Of course credit systems have their own problems, like debt growing so large that it's impossible to pay back. But usually a nice reset does wonders.
Since credit systems and money is created by governments, they have the power to do such resets and have done so in the past many times in the last 5000+ years.
If the credit systems collapse into a cryptocurrency hard money world, there will be a new emergence of desperate people, slavery, and war.
Credit systems are not created by the government. Sure, the government is the biggest player, but at the philosophical level, credit systems are created by anyone who has an asset but doesn't need it right now.
The bigger thing that crypto does actively do away with is actively managed monetary policy. The populace hates on the people in power (banks, funds, government) for their quest for wealth and power, but for all the wrong that happens, monetary policy has been the single biggest driver in providing creature comforts and a modern lifestyle for the average citizen of the planet.
There absolutely is a substrate of "holy shit nothing is actually anything" at the very core of our economy. We print money to pay off loans given to us by other countries bought with their printed money. Nothing actually is anything. But, computers aren't cool with that; there is very real, hard math in the deepest parts of cryptocurrencies. You can take one of two sides in this argument, and I'm not sure either is absolutely correct (partly because, I'm not even sure there is a definition for was "correct" means in this context): Either you believe that substrate should be hard math, and modern economics is a farce, or that you believe monetary policy is the only way to ascend an economy beyond trade and barter, that we need men in suits at the top pulling levers and twisting dials to keep this machine running another day.
Maybe its alright that nothing is actually anything, and it can stay that way forever, chasing infinite growth as we expand into the cosmos. Or, then, maybe someone hacks our computer and changes the value of the Blemfark from One of its itself to Zero of itself.
Here's what I do know; whether or not it would be better, people seem to increasingly desire less top-level control and less delegation of so much power to wall street firms. Crypto is going to continue to get more and more popular, even if its against the best interests of the people, because our government and wall street underestimated how much influence the 300 million people that aren't them actually have. That's the cost of democracy and a free society; it sometimes takes the wrong path.
I'm sure there are crypto systems that create this kind of credit, but "lending out your bitcoin to someone" is very different than how Banks create credit.
I created a Robinhood account on Wednesday evening and transferred $1000 via Plaid. My account is still not active and AFAIK that $1000 is in limbo.
The app tells me "We're reviewing your application and your deposit is pending. Application approval may be delayed. We'll notify you when you can begin trading."
(1) Credit risk - this is what you describe
(2) Counterparty risk - this is collateral. This is different.
The 2 are interlinked insofar that the counterparty (2) may react to the perceived credit risk (1) , however these are 2 separate risks at play.
** To go back to the milkman, the correct analogy would be:
Your son wants milk. You go to the farmer's market - but you can't hand over cash to farmer. Remember, his milk is spoiling, there's a huge line to buy, and he just doesn't have time to count bills, square exact change, or screen for potential fake bills. He only accepts bank transfers, and you dont have a bank acct. So you buy milk on credit, and agree to settle when he's not too busy (as you have always done).
Now, the farmer has been noticing you are buying a lot of milk for your son, and the empty milk bottles you left with him on deposit ("float") are not sufficient to carry all the milk you are buying....so he's now asking for many more bottles, which are expensive. He refuses cash collateral - he will only take more bottles, because he's concerned about all the cash you seem to be handling recently.
You don't have extra cash of your own, for bottles. You can't commingle funds. So therefore, you stop taking milk requests from son...and the other 10M children
Robinhood is accessible, so it has serviced the bulk of the retail investor spike that happened this week. Additionally, I expect that their net liquidity is far, far lower than a traditional bank, just given their age and diversification of business. They needed money, so they went to JP Morgan. Plenty of people also trade with JP Morgan, but (and I can't believe I'm saying this) JP Morgan actually, to some degree, knows what the fuck its doing. Robinhood doesn't; Robinhood is basically a teenager who just got a new car, wanted to show off to some friends, crashed it, and is now crying on the phone to daddy.
Which, to be fair, is exactly the same thing every bank had to do in 2007, except daddy was the US Government.
Also, it should probably exist somewhere a bit more first-class than buried in an HN thread, because it's just unbelievably educational.
A Bankrun!
This is not (and is not expected to be) true of stock brokerage. Nobody generally has an expectation of moment-to-moment liquidity (or even closure of deals), even in a stock with significant availability. However, a brokerage deciding independently "You're not allowed to buy this one stock" is unusual, and can cause people to start backing towards the exits.
And why exactly did they have to let people sell GME shares? In light of the current situation, it sounds to me like the responsible and impartial thing would have been for them to temporarily suspend all trading of GME - not just buying.
Never ever use a broker where you can't pick up the phone and talk to a real human being. They all have zero commissions now so there's no excuse.
A real brokerage should, in my opinion, and some sort of duty to act in the best interest of its clients.
A brokerage should not have huge backlash because its users got margin called, and those users didn't even know what a margin call was.
They should not have huge backlash because its users stop-loss orders were triggered, and then executed at a lower price.
This is just confusion that shouldn't exist, because a reasonable brokerage shouldn't be luring people into these risky positions just to make a buck on the sale.
Would you have preferred the alternative where Robinhood risks exploding, has no liquidity, triggers a rush where everyone tries to get their stock out of Robinhood at the same time, fails, and every Robinhood customer is stuck waiting on SPIC for some undetermined amount of time?
Or would you have preferred the alternative where Robinhood didn't allow you to sell either? And then it the stock went down during that time, you can't try to get out?
Robinhood is a shitty company for a lot of reasons, but preventing themselves from being over-extended into bankruptcy isn't really one of those reasons.
Nobody is complaining Robinhood disabled naked calls/puts on volatile stocks.
How is not illegal for Robinhood to disable cash accounts from buying stocks?
Your cash is transferred and deposited. If the stock price crashed, it crashed, investors still own the stocks with their cash paid.
> Your cash is transferred and deposited.
When you open a new account, and start a transfer from your bank, that is not instantaneous. "Cash" doesn't magically appear in Robinhoods' account. Until that deposit clears, you are effectively operating on margin.
If you recently sold something on Robinhood, and want to buy something else, "cash" isn't in your account yet, because that original sale hasn't settled. Robinhood is papering over that as well. This one in particular I'm not saying they shouldn't paper over, since I believe it's less of a risk.
But each of these "Robinhood covering your unsettled positions" adds a little bit of risk. This risk adds up.
The suggestion of Robinhood only letting people trade with cash that is fully settled into their accounts would completely swap the underlying paradigm of Robinhood's product.
Even so, new trades you want to make would have to settle. And as discussed elsewhere, Robinhood has to funds and deposits to cover potential risk associated with those trades until they settle.
There is a lot under the hood that is abstracted away by Robinhood, and now those intricacies are leaking out (and completely mis-understood, because one of the premises of Robinhood's product is that you shouldn't have to understand, or even know about, them)
1. No, not all Robinhood accounts are margin accounts, a simple google search tells you that: https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/robinhood-accou...
2. Yesterday, all Cash accounts were disabled from trading GME, that’s a fact and please defend that again.
3. Trading with a margin accounts and trading on margin is different. I can have a margin account and borrow $0 on margin to trade.
I don't think I said that; I said that Robinhood papers over the differences in a way such that the end user doesn't explicitly interact in a hugely different way, and it's not explicitly clear what kind of account you have.
I did imply that new accounts are all technically margin accounts. The link you provided seems to prove that?
> When you sign up for a new account, you’ll automatically start with a Robinhood Instant account, which is a margin account.
> 2. Yesterday, all Cash accounts were disabled from trading GME
Yes, but I didn't say that this was because they were "margin". I said that this appears to be because Robinhood, as the broker, still requires additional cash on hand to cover these positions until they settle. This is a different thing than the margin issue.
> 3. Trading with a margin accounts and trading on margin is different.
Yes you're right. But a new user that just signed up may be thinking they are using a cash account, but it's actually a margin account. It also appears that you have to manually downgrade from an "Instant" (margin) account, to a "Cash" account[0], and I highly suspect that most people didn't do that, and thus are still using a margin account.
[0] (yes, it is really bad that this link is broken at the moment) https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/downgrading-fro...
But I am against what they did to the cash accounts (and margin accounts not borrowing money to trade). It seems that you think it's a small portion of all of the accounts, which I disagree.
Even if it's only a small portion, what Robinhood did to these cash accounts was unprecedented and unacceptable as a broker.
For point 2, I think you are referring to the clearing process. Brokers were liable to cover if clearing houses do not[0]. But that is Robinhood's liquidity issue and not does justify Robinhood disabling cash accounts from buying stocks.
[0]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7RH4XKP55fM&feature=youtu.be
> But that is Robinhood's liquidity issue and not does justify Robinhood disabling cash accounts from buying stocks.
Robinhood having a liquidity issue 100% justifies them not offering services that they may not be able to actually cover. Because the alternative is way, way worse. You want Robinhood to just... make up money that they owe people but don't actually have? I'm fairly confident that financial institutions can't just make up numbers in order to manipulate their way into compliance.
I very much dislike Robinhood as a company, but what you're suggesting doesn't make sense.
That’s exactly the point the parent commenter is making: there is nothing to cover for stock purchases on accounts with a balance. No liquidity issues can arise from that. You can say it’s easier to just turn off everything at once, but there is no actual reason to prevent stock purchases without margin, the buyer bears all risk.
There would have to be an insane ratio of meme-stock trading vs SP500 for GME alone to impact their cash requirements - if that’s the case it seems they dug their own grave...
But, if you're a buy and hold investor, it shouldn't be an issue.
My gut feeling is that RH is designed to maximize the number of trades people make, as a core "engagement" metric. A few examples: 1) The UI is designed to induce in the user the feeling that something is happening, always - the graphs are not to scale, so small swings in price appear bigger than they really are. 2) The "Top 10" and community trends feed will trigger FOMO, and again will likely result in more day-trading.
In all, RH has too much "clutter" and noisy notifications for a buy and hold investor. Most platforms are now commission-free.
My guess it that the customers are wrong most of the time.
They lost my trust yesterday.
The trade-off was suspending trading on some stocks vs suspending trading on everything when they hit their limit.
In part due to the product’s UX having to change after a customer killed themselves and cited the app in their suicide note. [1]
I noticed that before but bad stuff happens, I had not heard of further issues and it was likely a series of contributing factors.
That said, this bind broke the entire concept of the branding of the product. I’d never install this thing now.
If they have broken the brand and lost trust of users, no amount of short or medium term liquidity will save the company.
It would be interesting to see stats on how many people use RH for long-term investments (buy and hold, DCA, etc), and how many use it as a form of gambling (day trading, leveraged options etc).
This is all that day trading is. Regardless of whether the traders even know what a meme subreddit is. Why would any day trader want to use a platform that’s going to do stuff like cut you out of an epic short squeeze? If a non-professional investor had sensible ideas, they wouldn’t be day trading.
https://www1.interactivebrokers.com/en/?f=%2Fen%2Ftrading%2F.....
Because RH abstracts those details away to make the interface easier, the only hammer they could use was to ban trading in those securities.
There’s this need to paint retail investors as incapable of understanding margin and leverage to bias the conversation and make them seem in need of being rescued from themselves — but robinhood hurt a lot more than just those over-leveraged people (not that they would be justified in hurting any of them).
I had small positions in the app for the last year after starting an etrade account — none of them in memes and none of them on margin, none of them blocked by RH’s actions - and I will be joining the people exiting and closing their accounts.
If you’re looking for a casual broker that doesn’t behave unethically and incentivizes safe and informed investing for newbies, take a look at Public[1].
[1]: https://medium.com/the-public-blog/a-note-on-access-with-res...
More or less likely than enabling or collaborating with the crowd to massively pump a stock for the sole purpose of disturbing the market?
This, to me, looks like their stay-out-of-jail card.
If the SEC could they would probably pull the stock pumpers as well, but you can ask Hollywood how easy it is to pull a random crowd of Internet disruptors in front of any kind of court in practice. Very difficult to prove coordination in a case like this as well, although not impossible
Is American Airlines a meme stock? They were halted too? Think there were any admirable long term investors wanting to buy it today? I dont know, but what I do know is that they wouldnt have the choice if they were using Robinhood.
I think the main point people are upset about is that it just feels gross when the rug can and as we saw today WILL be pulled out from under you at the discretion of a few people within their brokerage.
Not denying that all securities have risks, but that was a bad response imo.
Not sure I buy it (esp with the amount of call options that are just going to magnify the move up but also the move down).
Why don’t you “buy it”?
Also they apparently forced sale on some accounts, which combined with an inability to buy more, definitely affected stock prices.
Scenario 1: 1. Client buys share for $400 2. Hedge funds get short squeezed (because trading is not restricted by Robinhood) 3. Stock shoots up to $1000. Client made $600
Scenario 2: 1. Client buys share for $400 2. Robinhood restricts buying the shares (so the short squeeze doesn't happen) 3. Shares plunge to $50 because the short squeeze failed to happen (ie the hedge fund did not have to purchase the shares at higher prices, which is where the capital that the traders would share amongst themselves would come from) 4. Client lost $350
The anger at Robinhood reminds me of when the government in Nigeria cracked down on MMM ponzi scheme. People were furious because they all assumrd they wouldn't be the bag holders at the end. But here there's been a full day to close positions so I'm fairly sure the people who aren't doing it now wouldn't have done it whenever the stock starting going down in other circumstances
Source: https://www.ortex.com/symbol/nyse/gme/short_interest
It is a pyramid, but the base layer of “suckers”, those that end up taking the losses in a standard ponzi/pyramid are already determined ; they are the most finance literate people in the market, and they did it willingly. WSB is just adding layers in the middle which is rational.
The short sellers knew their risks perfectly well and did it willingly. They just didn’t expect anyone will figure out how to take advantage of the setup they created.
Whether buying stocks should be considered investment or gambling - is an entirely different distinction.
This is very likely criminal market manipulation, but I’d be surprised if it ends up with more than a slap on the wrist to anyone.
And ... at the time I wrote that, si/float was still more than 100%, so - no, they most definitely not. (Am on phone now, will check later)
The only reasonable valuation for either is (assets-liabilities), or liquidation value. All other value is based on a belief something will happen. In GameStop, it’s the belief that there are buyers of last resort who would pay almost any price - which is likely true for some of the shorts. Whether it is 1% or 10% or 100% is what these people are betting on.
And the call from industry to pause trading to regroup against Reddit indicates it’s likely a lot more than 1%
That makes no sense to me. If they really wanted to buy they could use another broker? If the market really is dropping then tough luck. You can lose all your money investing in the stock market. If you're leveraged you can lose even more (which might explain why some accounts were closed).
That's assuming you have multiple accounts in brokerages, and multiple other ones also have blocked buys (for example Interactive Brokers).
Market will be dropping if significant number of people who want to buy are unable due to third party actions, that's exactly what's market manipulation.
Days like this are exactly why you should always have more than one bank and more than one broker !
You cannot open the account within same day even if people wantto buy. Robinhood played with people physchology. After seeing the price drop everyone wanted take profits out because even if people want to buy they couldnot.
It was logical short squeeze which could drive price of GME significantly up but due robinhood manipulation it stopped.
The people held and the volume was low.
I disagree. They've offer a way to trade like other platforms. Other platforms did the same thing and blocked trading.
The question you need to be asking is why did they ALL block trading?
They're competitors to each other, so why did they make the same decision? Remember that these firms make money on every trade done. They want to take your trades. BUT they have to manage risk. They lose money if the client can't pay. They're there to facilitate but they are taking risk themselves if they provide leverage. They, like banks providing mortgages have to have limits set. If would be unprofessional and irrational to do otherwise. These firms are there to make money in a highly competitive environment. They are professionally run to ensure that they stay in business.
The comments here are of the theme 'RH has screwed us to make money'. No, what they've most likely done is made a decision to take no more risk to ensure that they remain in business. EVERYONE is speculating though. If that's the case these arguments that the clients are somehow being screwed over is really unfair and shows a lack of understanding. Clients need to understand the risks of what they're doing, and need to understand the risks associated with executing via one broker. It's a professional environment and drive by retail unfortunately are mostly unaware of the true risks.
Examples: 1. Traders have multiple brokers to trade via because there are technical issues
2. If something is too good to be true, it probably is.
3. If you're betting against some professionals, you need to ask what they know that you don't. Why are they comfortable taking on the risk. The professionals will try very hard not to be emotional and have more info that a retail customer will.
4. The retail investor need to understand the business model of the brokers. Why are they in business and what are their limits?
I see the real problem here is that it is easy to put a trade on. It is difficult to know how to risk manage it and understand the risks. This squeeze has identified a limit in the market that wasn't considered.
But in a more normal position, if there is not buyers at current offering prices, you try to sell at a lower price. Thus, the price drops.
https://twitter.com/ChrisCuomo/status/1354994000294522881
In the entire interview there's no real answer to any question.
You know, I've been on many job interviews this past year, and when that happens, I immediately know not to go further with that person (and if it persists, the company).
I just finished watching a video from Louis Rossmann [1] as well as one from Bruce Fenton [2]. In his video, Rossmann covers the technicalities and systems behind actually __making__ a trade with an app like RH. The videos were very informative and I learned quite a lot.
With the exception of his recent interviews, it isn’t exactly clear what Robinhood was supposed to do differently. If my understanding is correct, clearing houses required more money up front to perform trades - RH didn’t have it so they stopped the trades unidirectionally. People got upset that they couldn’t buy but could sell which made it seem like RH wanted to manipulate the price - but isn’t it better than the alternative, the inability to both sell and buy would seem to me worse than what was done. Imagine them closing both and preventing people from selling if a crash occurs. The discussion would simply be « Robinhood stole our gains and wouldn’t let us move our funds ».
Now, should it be the case that more money is required up front, intuitively it makes sense, I mean, who is supposed to front the bill on those 5000% returns? The hedge fund that just went bankrupt? Where exactly does this money come from?
Isn’t RH just trying to play within the realities of the current system?
Genuinely curious.
[1]: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MAqxQe0l4g0&feature=youtu.be
[2]: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=RQTC5f_VR9I&feature=youtu.be
Robinhood tanked their credibility by letting the mask slip and people are on that like hyenas because of the irony. Really though, the focus on them is a distraction from the much larger slip by the entire financial system.
Exactly. I also watched the recent CNBC interview with Chamath Palihapitiya [1]. I would like to it, but CNBC keeps taking it down.
In any case, the host really doesn’t seem like he’s there to « get to the bottom of things or to understand » but to push the idea that the problem is anything other than the preconditions that led up to this.
Chamath was spot on.
[1]: CNBC Chamath Palihapitiya Interview January 27th, 2021
what a world where a free platform takes an action to stay solvent and in business and its a bullshit claim that theyre helping their customers. i guess they shouldve done the more helpful thing and gone bankrupt, illegally allowing trades they cant cover.
They were always working for their hedge fund investors. They just got a hard slap to the face by the people they claimed to be working for.
And honestly, I'm not very impressed by anyone who would defend them.
youre saying WSB making a stock so volatile that a brokerage cant afford to keep it on its books is a moral victory? what morals are you basing this on?
> And honestly, I'm not very impressed by anyone who would defend them.
we're commenting on an article about how RH had to borrow billions to stay afloat AFTER they already took action to minimize their exposure. they couldve gone under, and were probably insolvent. im not exactly doing mental gymnastics here.
The person has already answered it:
>> the kind that institutions do all the time without having these kinds of problems.
a certain percentage of people in WSB only want to light a pile of their money on fire for the sole purpose of bankrupting some hedge funds. they expect no returns and only want to cause pain to people with more money than them that they dont like.
another percentage of people (i think this group is much, much larger than the first) think bankrupting the short positions is gonna make them huge returns. they think theyre all david collectively fighting a goliath as the proletariat rises up. most of these people are sorely mistaken and will lose everything, but some will make money.
the RH trade halt (EDIT: only buying was halted, a "trade halt" technically means both) is allowing the shorts to unwind more gracefully, making the first group of people angry. theyre not getting their witchburning, or public execution, or lynching - however you want to frame it.
the problem is the second group of people think theyre being defrauded out of huge returns by an artificial exit from the short squeeze. these people are wrong to begin with. most of them were never going to make huge returns. even if they successfully bankrupted the shorts, most of them are left holding stock they bought for $100, $200, $300, or $400 a share (WSB was memeing share price was gonna go into the thousands) that is worth <$90. those people were always going to lose, they just didnt know it. but now they have a scape goat, even though they were on the wrong side of the trade to begin with.
People argue that this is criminal market manipulation.
you are correct, I used the term "trade halt" incorrectly. i clumsily meant the portion of trading that was has halted, which is neither clear nor an appropriate usage of the term.
> People argue that this is criminal market manipulation.
shrug. some people wouldve said that if it WAS a full trade halt - if people can't sell to get their gains before a crash, thats illegal market manipulation right?
regardless, it seems clear that RH couldnt cover more volatile stock buys so they halted volatile stock buying. maybe they shouldve taken different actions, but they have well-known legal and contractual requirements about liquidity and cash-holdings for the volatile stock trades they broker.
Many people said the same thing about TSLA before it stabilized at higher levels. I bought at under $40 and sold around $80 because I thought fundamentals mattered. Turns out they don't right now.
Everyone talking about what GME is 'actually worth' is spouting bullshit. The fact is, no one knows. Because it's up to the market.
youre right in that no one, least of all me, can predict future stock prices, but i think youre missing the point. even if GME stabilizes at $150 - which is an unlikely tripling of value - most of the people involved are going to lose most of their investment.
the fundamental principal is that a short-squeeze HAS to end in a pricing crash. its the whole mechanism by which the squeeze occurs in the first place. the final price isnt really relevant, the point is that most people have to absorb large losses by definition. I think a lot of the players dont understand this; they think its free money, and are gonna scream bloody murder because they think they only lost because RH did something illegal. RH actions are irrelevant, legal or not, because the trade was bad in the first place.
the only way this doesnt happen is if the original market was wrong about GME to the tune of 1000%. maybe the short squeeze happens and GME never crashes, it peaks and stays at $350 and then beats the S&P 500 by 10% YoY for the next decade and everyone that bought long just makes money. if you believe that then well, good luck.
The reason I used TSLA as an example is because this is pretty close to what happened there! The future scenarios 'priced in' to that company now are several degrees beyond ludicrous. I don't think I'm missing the point at all, which to me is: massive swaths of the entire market are super irrational right now, and have been for a while, with no end in sight.
> no one, least of all me, can predict future stock prices
This seems more true to me today than it ever has been. After all the shit I've seen happen with stocks in the past few years (2020 especially), things I used to consider impossible I no longer do. None of this makes any sense any more. I don't really have the stomach for it, honestly, the whole thing makes me nauseous. But if I want my meager savings to do anything other than lose value, I still have to try to evaluate what's going on to weigh my choices.
good point. youre making me second guess myself, but i think in the end GME's case is just too extreme. it mightve been undervalued at $20, but i just dont see the volume of positions >$200 as defendable or profitable. even if the gamma drives the price bananas high today, the end result will just be an even larger crash at the end.
Fundamentals never matter "right now". Fundamentals are about long-term investing and growing money over time.
Day trading is about speculation, not investing. WallstreetBETS has nothing to do with market fundamentals or investing money. This is the point of the Keynes quote "The Markets Can Remain Irrational Longer Than You Can Remain Solvent" - Markets don't rely on the the "fundamentals" in the short term, only in the long term.
>Everyone talking about what GME is 'actually worth' is spouting bullshit.
That's because in the long term, GME's value hasn't changed. GameStop the company is just as valuable as it was a month, meaning it's basically worthless. Which means before too long the stock is going to crash and the majority of people who bought it are going to lose a lot of money, while the few who bought earlier will make out.
Whether it's the legal definition of "pump and dump" is pretty irrelevant, because in practice it's a pump and dump scheme, and is going to leave the majority of people involved with a lot of regrets.
What you call 'day trading' has turned into week trading, has turned into multiple-month trading, and I would argue even beyond a year now in a lot of cases. Plenty of stocks have been pumped far beyond what their 'fundamentals' would justify. In some cases, that has changed the trajectory of companies and even entire sectors.
> in the long term, GME's value hasn't changed
This is entirely debatable. The investors just changed it, and new people are on the board who could potentially turn it into an eSports empire, or the next Valve, or who knows what else. Not at all likely, I know, but money changes things and there is some amount of 'true believer' investment happening, like we saw with Tesla.
Honestly, I don't like all this volatility one bit. I am increasingly concerned about not ending up homeless when I'm elderly. But the fact is, the market appears to be changing, and so-called 'retail investors' may be gaining new prominence in the greater order of things. Valuations based on hopes for what could happen 30 years out instead of how much paper profits got jacked up over a 3-month period. It's scary and I don't like it. But who knows, in the long run it could be a good thing? I don't think you, or I, or anyone else can say from here.
This isn't a business model problem, it's customer relationship management problem. They screwed it up big time. Like corporations usually do with their ISO standard PR, but then usually there isn't a critical mass of angry customers looking for blood (some of which are really angry, because they're already operating in the "I'll YOLO what I have on a chance to make Wall Street pay for the pain they inflicted on my parents in 2008" mode).
because people are mad at them? you think they shouldve gone public during a high-volume, high-volatility feeding frenzy with tens of billions flying around and said "we're insolvent, but its ok we're taking action to recover our position"?
it looks to me like their actions were totally rational and at least a good-case scenario, if not best-case. platforms have been deleted in the past due to circumstances like these, and i think the CEO going on TV and saying theyre on the verge of massive legal and financial problems is suicide. keeping their business alive is supporting their customers. no if, ands, or buts.
calling this a PR problem is a bit obnoxious. its like saying theres no technical problem, but people think there is, so the company has to not only continue providing their free services but also make their users feel good while doing so. RH had to navigate dangerous waters, with bankruptcy to the left, bankruptcy AND lawsuits on the right, and only lawsuits ahead. im not sure how they couldve done better.
Sure, why not? Everyone knows the situation is extremely unusual and not indicative of RH's ordinary performance. This way, they'd stay on the friendly side of everyone.
> its like saying theres no technical problem, but people think there is, so the company has to not only continue providing their free services but also make their users feel good while doing so.
I'm not saying they should've allowed people to continue buying GME and other meme stocks. I'm saying they should've honestly communicated the actual reasons behind their decision.
because if youre having liquidity problems, telling everyone that creates an incentive for them to liquidate on your platform and leave, creating a death spiral resulting in the destruction of your company and preventing everyone from liquidating in the first place. a bank run, but for RH and their clearing firm(s).
in other words, they were and are doing whats best for their customers.
If the clearinghouses didn't put these requirements on RH, or ask brokers to stop buying of these shares, I assume they themselves are at risk of going under? (As you said, who's supposed to front those 5000% returns?) If that happens, would it not lead to a cascading failure of both clearinghouses and brokers going under? The end result being a major market crash?
The IB CEO seemed to be hinting at something like this on TV yesterday. It seems like there actually may be a lot at stake here, but I imagine that the clearinghouses and brokers will just shut it down again before any of that happens.
These means that the WSB narrative is sort of correct. It isn't direct collusion, but all these Wall St. firms are so reliant on each other that they'll always get each others back - if they don't they themselves are likely to go down.
EDIT: I just started watching the first video you linked and the CEO of WeBull is basically saying exactly what my comment does, so I guess I should've just watched that first.
On the flip side, (1) they’re known to ask people to post more money than necessary, because they like to err on the side of caution, and (2) if they ask you for money, you just post it, or you risk being kicked off from trading US equities for a long time.
Not being able to meet the terms of a lending agreement is likely a legitimate reason for altering the services available to their customers, but it is also a massive failure.
More importantly they didn't communicate any of this in advance - they must've known this was coming yet suddenly stopped all buying and auto-sold everything on margin. It's hard to believe they couldn't have e.g. halted just margin trades a day before, given a warning etc. Instead they pretended everything was fine up until it blew up, and then as their first explanation claimed they are doing it to protect investors. It was only after a lot of outrage and filled lawsuits that they hinted at the real issue. So yes, they could've played this a lot better.
If RH had been upfront about it to begin with I think most would understand. The Webull CEO made similar interviews, and explained why they stopped trading; if the RH CEO had done similarly I wouldn't be so suspicious.
This is more or less like the futures market, except futures trades settle at end of day (when CME closes for an hour at 5pm, and next day starts at 6pm lol) and DDTC is the equivalent of CME
Who’s irresponsible here? DDTC for their lax cash requirements? Individual brokers that only keeps the minimum required cash? Futures cash requires 10pct or less, but no futures trader would only keep that much in their account, unless they don’t mind being wiped out and liquidated at end of day settlement (and then deposit more money the next day to trade again). Brokers cannot risk being wiped out at all.
Edit: Nope, looks like Robinhood "Instant" is now the default, margin account, but still limited to $1000 per account:
https://robinhood.com/us/en/support/articles/robinhood-accou...
It's not even clear that continuing to allow low margin on these high volatility stsocks would've been good for consumers. The price would've got driven up further, the shorts would go bankrupt, the companies that loaned the shorts the stocks would recover pennies on the dollar, likely forcing them to sell off their position in GME to cover the losses driving the price through the floor, at which point all those RH traders who don't have quick accecss to the market would be left holding worthless stock, wiping out both their initial investment and probably getting margin called.
I'm assuming you mean the DTCC? This actually isn't true now, as the DTCC have reportedly upped their margin requirements for GME orders to *100%*. That's according to the CEO of WeBull. That's why these clearing houses, and by extension brokers, cannot afford to sell GME stock to retail traders.
Sequoia, thinking that the fundamentals of the company are still solid long term and that they can wash their hands of this in an IPO in the near future, extends them a lifeline at absolutely brutal terms.
https://learn.robinhood.com/articles/4UWpxUy5G0KNDSbcMRs6WE/...
It was part of what caused the drop in combination with the no buying.
Although I'm glad that RH has driven the price of trading down for everyone, this is one more reason why most people should keep their money with a more boring financial institution.
Reminds me of when RH launched a "checking" account and claimed it had deposit insurance and then in about one day regulators said "absolutely no it does not": https://www.forbes.com/sites/ronshevlin/2019/01/02/the-robin...
They say WallStreetBets is "4chan found a bloomberg terminal" - Robinhood is Silicon Valley masquerading as a real broker; perhaps even the Juicero thereof.
I only have a small amount of play money there, and I continue to draw it down. TD Ameritrade and Vanguard serve as my real brokers.
Side note: I kinda wonder what Bogle would have to say about all this if he were still alive; probably would have killed him.
The next best thing is Warren Buffett, has he said anything on this?
But then I remembered about the RH checking account that clearly wasn't approved...
Would be crazy to think short sellers were buying up all the sell side stocks/options while retail were panic selling, to hedge against their shorts.
Please make a movie out of this.
Edit: If you haven't watched "The Big Short" yet, watch it! Tonight!
Morty: Ooh, oh boy Rick, I don' think you are allowed to say that word, you know.
Rick: Morty, I'm not disparaging the differently abled. I'm stating the fact that if I'd used this microscope it would have made me mentally retarded.
Morty: Yeah, but I don't think it's about logic, Rick. I, I think the word has just become a symbolic issue for powerful groups that feel like they're doing the right thing.
Rick: Well, that's retarded.
Trading places.
Edit, removed some tin foil.
*I don’t use RH so it could be back by the time you read this comment.
High volume causes sudden operating expenses up to a billion? Like, they're launching more EC2 instances?
Or is that because they suffer from slippage? And if so, why don't they adjust the spreads?
And if it's slippage, why would they still allow selling but not buying?
Color me skeptic, but this makes no sense.
For now I believe they just come up with some story to mask their obvious, IMO criminal, market manipulation by being a victim themselves.
The billion is probably for the lawsuits.
Can someone with a deeper knowledge chime in as to what could have happened so that it fits their narrative?
They are financing this turnover. When volumes go huge and turnover increases, they have a lot more capital tied up in this process.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-29/for-robin...
If this afternoon Robinhood didn't have 1B secured how could it have taken the orders without violating every trading regulation in the book? They would either have had to lie to the people they were buying from or lie to their clients.
"As a brokerage firm, we have many financial requirements, including SEC net capital obligations and clearinghouse deposits. Some of these requirements fluctuate based on volatility in the markets and can be substantial in the current environment. These requirements exist to protect investors and the markets and we take our responsibilities to comply with them seriously, including through the measures we have taken today."
This collateral requirement goes up when a stock becomes heavily traded, or more volatile.
Because of the insane volume & volatility of GME, RH's cushion of collateral was exhausted (And they've now replenished it, by borrowing & raising money.)
The reason that sells were permitted to execute was because each sell by one of their users reduces the collateral requirements in their settlement accounts. (So the settlement houses allowed sell orders to go through.)
The tl;dr is - when you are trading through a discount broker, you get a discount service. Serious brokerages, that are used by institutional investors don't have these problems, but they also charge a lot more for their services.
From what I heard from the WeBull CEO, what you described sounds right. And he said the whole market could not function.
So in order for other stocks to trade (which have much lower requirements) they had to shut down several stocks.
So I'm sure the big shorts would know that if they get super screwed (price going higher and higher) this collateral requirement would cause this (and the stock to drop big like it did to $112 the other day)?
And this is basically all because of the risk that some hedge fund may not be able to pay (which causes collateral requirements to change)? Seems like the rules should change for these big shorts.
This is not a problem for most stocks, because they have a balanced flow of orders (for every one of RH's customers buying, there's another one selling, which raises and then lowers their collateral requirement.) This is not a problem for bigger brokerages, who have larger cash reserves, to keep as collateral.
The tl;dr is that if you're going to do an uncoordinated mob short squeeze, with unprecedented volume and volatility, don't use a discount broker to do it.
https://www.reddit.com/user/deepfuckingvalue
He posted updates regularly of his positions. Scroll all the way down and see how much money he made over time.
As he started becoming more successful, more and more people wanted to replicate his success, eventually creating the movement that you hear about today.
He takes pride on holding no matter what.
Spoiler alert: he went from ~100k to 33m USD.
[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GZTr1-Gp74U&ab_channel=Roari...
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/kk0g0f/gme_...
Usually this collateral is between 1-3%. Because of how volatile gme is at the moment, dtc upped the percentage to 100%. So for every buy, rh has to put up cash collateral equal to the price of the purchase of gme.
Obviously this isn't a big deal if gme is at $50. This is a big deal if gme is at $350. This is an even bigger deal if robinhood is doing this for millions of trades a day.
The reason these mechanics exist is if you sell your stock, you should be guaranteed to get your money for the stock. Whether that money comes from a user of RH, or RH, or dtc, does not matter. Someone will give you the money for your stock. Therefore, sell trades are not restricted. Buy trades are because they require collateral.
Some firms have cash on hand to cover the collateral. That's why some firms are letting you buy while others like RH aren't. RH paused buying of gme, took out a billion dollar loan and got hundreds of millions from investors, and will now enable buying again now that they have more cash on hand for collateral.
Anyone please feel free to correct me on anything. This is my understanding from WeBull's CEO.
Full video: https://youtu.be/4RS4JIEVyXM
I still don't see how they need a billion-dollar cash hoard for non-margin buyers.
Because what happens if Robinhood can't, for whatever reason, put up the cash for the buy transaction? Some one still has to pay up. The problem is that eventually these failures start piling up moving up the system until eventually the government has to step in and hand out bailouts again. Collateral is a way of trying to prevent that. If Robinhood goes bankrupt, and they're dealing with this highly volatile stock, well at least they have enough collateral to cover transactions and the failure stops with Robinhood instead of moving up the system.
This is all info I've gathered from reading around and I'm not an expert. Please anyone feel free to correct anything I'm saying.
Also you kinda saw a hint of this when there was that Robinhood bug with infinite leverage. People turned $5,000 into tens of thousands via the glitch, and at the end of it all, Robinhood was one the that had to pay up for these glitches. Then they had to start hunting people down to try and recover the debt.
Someone, at the end of the day, is going to pay for any of these transactions. DTC is just trying to ensure that the bag holder stops with Robinhood.
Crippling half the order book just can't be right.
As if your grandmother wants to tell you a story and weaves in random info of every participant’s relation to your family.
Glad I did that!
For Chrome, open dev tools, ctrl/cmd+shift+p, "disable javascript".
I've never seen somebody say speculation is healthy but rather the opposite. Care to elaborate?
Billions of dollars were on the line.
A) SEC should remove the option of "without admitting or denying" this time
B) The CEO is choosing to speak in double speak because anything he says will violate the antifraud provisions after already being slapped for violating the antifraud provisions. (isn't the point of a law for the punishment to be a little more than agreeing not the violate the law? circular civil suit that should have been referred to the DOJ)
C) Refer current actions to the DOJ and this prior settlement that was violated.
The mere existence of the prior action makes them cannon fodder. Hit them.
If they did restricted selling it would be “fair” but it would be illegal because only regulators can halt sales.
I think outside of specific sanction any resulting regulation should be a comprehensive restriction on payment for order flow, as part of the already ongoing populist trend of valuing data and considering it users property with its own property protections.
It’s hard to say they weren’t impactful, though we can disagree on the positivity of the impact itself.
it's flashy and sort of stylish, but it's really woefully under-featured compared to just about any other broker e-trading software out there.
Alternatively phased:
It is easy to use even for people who are new to investing.
I personally use IBKR because their margin interest rates are less than 1%, they have excellent fills and order routing, access to an overwhelming amount of products (equities, equity options, index options, futures, futures options, foreign markets, bonds, etc.) and features. Their portfolio margin feature lets you trade with a margin maintenance rate as low as 15%.
If you don't want them to sell your order flow (and offer you the industry's best margin rates by far) IBKR Pro is your thing.
A lot of people like Think or Swim, Schwab, Fidelity. If you compare, you'll see what I mean about fees though!
That's what it is. But what really matters is how it is perceived.
Their pitch is quite literally "We’re on a mission to democratize finance for all. At Robinhood, we believe the financial system should be built to work for everyone. That’s why we create products that let you start investing at your own pace, on your own terms." [1]
It's a lofty mission. And it does so in two major ways: (a) Building a platform - application, knowledge base,... - that simplifies trading stocks and (b) offering bottom pricing for brokerage. The idea is to get as many people to the stock market as fast as possible.
RH saw an gap in the market for financial brokerage and took a plunge.
Their business model isn't that different from other brokers: capturing as much trading volume as possible. However, instead of making money off commissions, they earn millions on the back-end by charging fees on routing orders, or making interests off of cash payments in customer accounts.
> It’s hard to say they weren’t impactful, though we can disagree on the positivity of the impact itself.
There are two big issues with RH.
The first is that it only offers the bare minimum of information on financial trading on their knowledge base and through their app. In fact, on their website, the "risk disclosure" link on their first sales pitch is just a pop up with literally just 1 line: "Investing involves risk, including the loss of capital. Investors should consider their investment objectives and risks carefully before investing." [2]
Sure, the application provides restrictions through automated profiling, but at no point do you talk to a knowledgable human up front who can assess whether you should be using RH, let alone trading on the financial markets, in the first place.
At the end of the day, no matter how this gets spun, the trader is - quite literally - left to their own device to decide whether or not trading on RH is a good idea in their specific situation.
The second is their brand / image. RH gained some brand notoriety as it was first adopted by a young population with a bit of cash on hand but not enough to invest in anything meaningful or stable like a home or a family. The "democratizing financial markets" pitch resonates with an audience / generation whose general outlook on the world and the future isn't all that positive to begin with.
Over the past year, RH gained further traction through the fundamental economic and social changes caused by the pandemic. A community like WSB embraced e-brokers like RH and further boosted their notoriety / brand image / narrative. Moreover, an online community like WSB is another clear example of like-minded people clustering together and how a shared collective identity galvanizes in a surprisingly short time frame.
Over the past months, RH lost control over the public's perception, partly by their own pitch, partly because of the sudden change in circumstances. This wasn't an issue as long as the nature and the volume of the trading fitted within the existing assumptions of other, traditional / incumbent stakeholders in the financial markets.
That changed over the past 2 months as speculative investing via RH, WSB, online ivesting,... went "viral" overnight.
But that's all it really did.
RH is just one of many more actors that provide access to the markets. And their audience of day trading investors represents only a tiny fraction of the total volume of trading on the financial markets. RH had about 13 million users in 2020. [3] Consider the hundreds of million of people and companies who are vested in the financial markets through pension funds, mortgages, household debts, business loans, saving accounts and so on.
An e-broker like RH with their particular brand, the audience that it accrued and the emerging culture / identity could only become as popular as it did because of inequities and sudden shifts elsewhere in the economic system. Their story lays all of that bare for everyone to see, including policy makers and finanicial regulators.
Personally I see this story more as an expression of a particular zeitgeist rather then a driver in itself for fundamental long term change.
[1] https://robinhood.com/us/en/about-us/ [2] https://robinhood.com/us/en/about/#our-products [3] https://www.businessofapps.com/data/robinhood-statistics/
It feels like HN is in the middle of an invasion by people trying to draw attention to it, but there could be a coincidence? Is it just the buzz around this GameStop action?
How can and will the SEC react to this market manipulation; it seems unlikely they can pursue the millions of retail traders individually, so can we expect some new regulations instead? Can companies like RH exist in the same form in the future? The fact they stopped people from buying stocks may or may not have been legal, but it certainly distorted the action price. Again, I think this is pretty unprecedented, at least on this scale, so the financial landscape after all of this settle down might be significantly altered. Finally, if the short squeeze happens, what will be the consequences? Are we in for another huge financial crisis?