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Comment by ubercow13 | Hacker News Reader

>(which they already have the ability to pay).

I guess I just find it questionable that all or most companies can increase engineer salaries to FAANG levels and remain profitable. I am pretty sure this is not the case for my last employer, for example, looking at their recent earnings report. Remote hiring might push up wages in most places but there could still end up being a bi-modal distribution of wages, between high-leverage companies and low-leverage ones, as long as there aren't enough jobs for every engineer at highly profitable companies. It's already like that in some cities.

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That doesn’t seem related to this discussion though. Whether a given business can afford to pay it or not is a reflection of customer demand for that product or service combined with good or bad executive leadership.

If the competitive wage rises but a company can’t afford it, that’s not the worker’s problem to accept a bad wage to help the company. That’s the company’s problem to hire better leadership or cut executive pay in favor of employee pay or get acquired / raise funding or go out of business. None of that changes the reality of competitive wages.

At the root it sounds like your question is more about aggregate market allocation of labor. But why should workers accept inefficient allocation at worse wages? That just seems like an aggregate market expression of “these businesses are unwanted by society” - the same happens to 90% of startups all the time.

>If the competitive wage rises

That's begging the question. The competitive wage will not rise to FAANG levels just because some FAANG jobs are available in every city. It's the worker's problem if they can't get the that FAANG job anyway, because the number of FAANG jobs hasn't changes and instead they've just been diluted over 100x as many cities and a much larger talent pool.

Affordability is relevant because it's one aspect affecting how much the competitive wage will rise.

I don’t agree. There are way, way more jobs than qualified candidates for San Francisco & New York level of salaried jobs across a bunch of major cities, and as the candidate pool increases, these companies are likely to just increase demand for more headcount.

My forecast is that prior to the pandemic there were X “FAANG-paying jobs” across ~5 big cities in the US. After wider remote work normalizes in the next two years, there will be 10X that number of jobs and the average wage will likely only go up.

There will be room for all the headcount there currently is across the ~5 largest tech hubs, plus nine times that amount in additional, new headcount. People from all kinds of regions of the US and the world will have much greater chances at these jobs. And it will create spillover effects where lesser tier employers have to raise wages to compete for the remaining candidate pool and so on.

Well I hope you're right. We have FAANG in London already and many tech jobs, and salaries haven't risen to FAANG levels. There still seems to be a bimodal distribution between big tech, high finance and some contractors, and everyone else. Of course it's a different country altogether and there are likely many different reasons for that.

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