Covid/Vitamin D: Much More Than You Wanted to Know
astralcodexten.substack.com
astralcodexten.substack.com
Yes, this is one possible conclusion of these experiments. It sounds to me like the mechanisms/pathways of vitamin D are well understood and not controversial. It is known that there can be very long delays (weeks) until blood levels increase from food supplements, and it is blood levels at the time of infection that matters.
The results confirm all this.
> It would make me more comfortable if someone who did understand Vitamin D biochemistry would confirm this, but I'm not going to hang the whole argument on it.
Ok, then. Thanks anyway.
Can best advice can be extrapolated from this: The people who took Vitamin D supplements consistently for a year before being hospitalized did better because people who can do anything consistently for a year will do better - this selects for high-conscientiousness people who care a lot about their health and have good relationships with their doctors - though one might say 'Anything?'.
Naaaah. Biologically plausible mechanisms of something helping don't predict what actually works as measured in an RCT so well.
In the end, you have to try things. Sure, having plausible mechanisms helps: you probably shouldn't be trying the most implausible, crazy things so much. But even most things that seem like they should work, don't.