Ahhh, the old "i was there when it started but was above it and happy I didn't buy in and make 100000% gains" argument.
Yes, I'm sure he's really savoring that one.
Yes, I'm sure he's really savoring that one.
I invest because I want value. I want to own a part of something that generates value to the world. I invest to meet my goals (which I've already done without BTC). I invest to sleep well knowing that my money is making me money. BTC offers none of this. I challenge you to name any value BTC provides beyond moving money from one jurisdiction to another. (Which is still value, but not one I need, nor feel the need to speculate in.)
Am I bitter others got rich? Nope. Do I wish I was richer? Not really, I'm doing fine, I don't spend what I have anyway. Do I worry about BTC mania infecting others and possibly causing harm where it's not needed? Yes.
That is why BTC is a bad idea. It's pure speculation. There is no value beyond what someone else will pay you for it.
> I invest because I want value.
So you want value, but you don't feel that you missed out by throwing out over a million dollars worth of assets? (couple dozen at ~50k/BTC valuation).
Sure it has no value beyond what someone else will pay you for it, but today somebody else would literally be willing to give you over a million dollars for it.
Would I have sold it before 50k? yes, yes I would.
Can I accurately predict what someone would pay me for it tomorrow? No. Can I estimate the amount it will return to me in 10 years through dividends, or earnings growth, or repurchases (or in BTC's case, lost wallets)? No. Is there regulation protecting my investment? Not really.
It is a purely speculative investment.
If you want to go find my laptop, it's in a landfill in Massachusetts somewhere. Have at it! It was an early macbook. It has a Daft Punk sticker I bought at Newbury Comics.
Value is NOT price. BTC objectively has no little to no value. Price, sure, it's all over the place.
What is the par value of a BTC? What's the earnings yield on it? ROIC? ROE? How is it providing jobs to people (beyond speculators)? It is (objectively) a drag on society and progress.
No thank you.
I have made so much more in salary and investment growth than those BTC in the same time. I provide value to the world, and world has rewarded that. BTC provides nothing but speeding the heat-death of the universe and hodl memes.
Ok, I have a proposition. Let's negotiate. How many BTC/year do you require for me to buy all of your work product, for the rest of your life? How many BTC do you want? Choose carefully.
I posit, there is no amount we can agree on to make this transaction.
It's great that you're successful enough that throwing away over a million dollars worth of BTC isn't a big deal for you, but that's a life-changing amount of money for most folks. I'm making no claims about the features or benefits of BTC, but one million dollars worth of bitcoin is primarily useful because it can be exchanged for one million dollars, today, right now. It doesn't need any additional features, promises, guarantees or selling points.
1M is life changing, agreed. But there's no reason to have known it would be worth that. There's no reason to believe it will be worth that tomorrow. Yet someone else, possibly far less astute than I am, is on the other end of that trade. For every dollar in wealth it created for me, it destroys for someone else. Nothing else has happened but I got lucky, timing was good, and I robbed wealth from others. That 1M would be better spent on people's salary, or a dozen Teslas, or a bathroom in the bay area. But, it was given to a jerk who downloaded some program and ran it for a couple of days in 2009 (or whenever I did, it's not important).
BTC is objectively bad. It is objectively speculation. It is objectively a random number. That is all. It is a shame we place any price on it, when the money spent speculating on it could create actual wealth.
Put another way - If somebody were to buy SNAP stock, it's also a purely speculative investment (no dividends, no votes, etc). I may think this is a poor use of money, but I'm still confident if somebody gave me some SNAP stock I'd convert it into USD instead of just straight up throwing it into a dump somewhere and claiming I didn't miss out on any value.