Chia's problem is your chance of "winning" is directly proportional to the global number of participating plots.

Adding plots costs 100GB a time, so an 8GB drive can get you about 80. If you want to double that, you must buy another drive. Double it again, two, four, eight drives etc, and they're like $200 each.

The number of participating plots you are competing with though, is going up exponentially. That will double by itself in a couple of weeks.

So people in at the ground floor, who premined, will do great, the whale-sized farming operations with a significant fraction of the lottery tickets will do great, for everybody else every hour dilutes their chance of "winning" anything.