NFT sales plummet nearly 90% from their peak as collectibles market cools
msn.com
msn.com
Long ago, back in my web designer days, I bought a CD from CompUSA full of clip arts and stock photos and used them on my clients' websites. I moved on to web development and out of nowhere 5 years later I got a panicked call from an old client who said Getty is threatening to sue them for using copyrighted images on the website I made for them. Try as I might, I could not convince either my ex-client or Getty reps that I legally (and most likely naively) bought a stock photo CD but did not have that in my possession any longer. Cost me a month's rent out of pocket to get the matter resolved as I did not have the resources to fight either of them.
I can imagine a (non-physical-media) future where all commercial stock media is signed upon download, with the NFT signature embedded in the file itself like EXIF data. Editors can be made to respect the source file NFTs and include them in the exported files. YouTube could easily identify the NFT for the audio track you used in your video and if you had licensed it legally, it would not even run the fingerprint algo on it. Now it doesn't matter if the original seller or vendor goes out of business. The history is in the blockchain forever (or as long as the license permits).
I'm not saying I support going all NFT for ownership/copyright. I'm saying I can imagine it happening as a valid use-case for NFT/blockchain.
As far as I can tell, the only thing that NFTs might be useful for is uniquely identifiable assets whose unique identification can be embedded in the NFT itself; for example, a car's VIN number or a property's address or lot number. Unfortunately, we already have much more effective and well-regulated systems to handle both of those situations, and I'm at a loss for any circumstance in which an NFT would be better and also guaranteed effective.
Correct. But the license owner can require the license buyer to use editors that preserve NFTs or be subject to automated DMCA notices. Once Adobe and Apple start respecting the NFT-copyright-format in their tools, other commercial vendors will be forced by the market to support it too.
Again, I'm not in favor of any of this. Just admitting that I am pessimistic enough to see where all of this could end up eventually.
In theory you could add all of NFT Images into the software but what happens when someone creates an NFT of a basket ball. Are you going to stop people from printing any picture with a basketball in it?
the license holder could require license buyers to use editors the preserve the claim via that centralized application?
If github wants to add NFT to support its users to monetize the users generated contents, how would github do that?
Or how might a special NFT/PDF reader sw enables the PDF creators to monetized their creations?
Explain exactly how pissing away all that electricity by burning all that coal and generating all that carcinogenic pollution and greenhouse gas would have caused him to not lose the entire original image just like he lost the original stock photo CD?
NFTs are not proof of ownership, because anyone can create an NFT of anything. I can create an NFT of my neighbour's car.
Obviously any random person could create an NFT and claim that it represents ownership of a particular stock photograph, but that's not really relevant or problematic. You could also create a traditional paper certificate of title for your neighbor's car too, but obviously no one would respect it (unless they were tricked, but that's against the law and the legal system would tend to respect that genuine certificate of title).
Copyright is big business and big business is copyright. Disney could absolutely start signing all of their media with NFT and every license holder would have X years to implement it properly. After that they can automate takedown notices for any commercial site/platform that uses their non-NFT'd images. Right now they need to manually verify if the Hulk coffee mug on Overstock.com is using licensed images or not.
This is not proof enough. You don't know that getty 1) owns the asset 2) hasn't sold other "proofs of ownership" of the same asset to other people.
If I want to buy licensed Hulk coffee mugs from any source, and resell them, Disney doesn't have any rights.
Great! We agree! People have been signing digital assets for thirty years now, and it clearly works well.
So why use the NFT?
> Disney could absolutely start signing all of their media with NFT and every license holder would have X years to implement it properly.
Or Disney could just start signing all their works _today_ without an NFT or blockchain of any type, using proven, decades-old, open source technology.
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The blockchain is amazing because it solves a very difficult problem - the consensus problem. Yes, blockchains are very expensive, but that's because they need to solve that hard problem. If you have a consensus problem, the blockchain is the only known solution to it.
Signing assets is NOT a consensus problem, because the origin of the idea of ownership comes from the real world.
When Disney signs their assets, it makes no difference what order they sign them in, or whether they sign them before or after someone else does.
For example, suppose Disney decides to sign everything, and then someone else "signs" Mary Poppins before Disney gets to it. Nothing happens! This signature has no legal, moral, or practical value to anyone: Disney _legally_ owns Mary Poppins and will continue to do so.
Or suppose a hacker breaks into the network and "signs" ownership of Poppins to Elon Musk. Again, this has no legal, moral or practical value.
There is no hint of a consensus issue, and therefore the incredible cost of a blockchain is completely wasted here.
What other system are you talking about? I could determine that you control the NFT of a digital work by observing the artist's statement of issuance and your message demonstrating control of the NFT on the blockchain. Determining the validity of the artist's statement of issuance could be done using public-key cryptography. I fail to see what additional system is necessary.
> observing the artist's statement of issuance
eg: having an authority affirm your ownership of something.
The secondary system of using ownership of some piece of a blockchain is superfluous considering the first system is all you would need to prove ownership.
Everything else is just recording those facts and transactions. That's why you can transfer ownership by writing it down on paper. NFTs are just fancy electronic documents. It's just paperwork.
Yes, of course that's what NFTs are. Is someone claiming they are something else?
What is the point of wasting so much energy, burning so much coal, and belching so much carcinogenic smoke and greenhouse gas into the atmosphere, if we can simply solve the problem much more efficiently and easily without wasting energy and destroying the environment and giving people cancer and heart disease?
And for what? I think the human race deserve fair use of the atmosphere, as well as pictures of Mickey Mouse.
How those contracts are written, whether it's on paper or on the blockchain, is the least interesting part of it all. NFTs add no value that existing recordkeeping cant already do (usually much better and faster).
So in order for the NFT to work, you need some sort of way to identify the copyright holder before the NFT even exists. Don't see you the issue?
If you can identify the copyright holder of a work without an NFT, what's the point of the NFT?
Even if current NFTs don't support everything, the blockchain algo could be extended incorporate the needs of the parties involved.
Blockchain gives you three things. 1) Censorship resistance (no one can "lose" or forget about the license). 2) Protections against mis-spend (no one without the private keys can grant the license). And 3) Protection against double-spend (in the case of two grants, we have a universally agreed upon history of which came first).
A non-exclusive license only requires the first two. You can satisfy the problem with digital signatures and a censorship-resistant P2P file share like IPFS. Comparatively putting data on the blockchain is fairly expensive. Even with sharding O(log(n)) nodes have to store the data, whereas with IPFS only O(1) do. On Ethereum, every kB of storage costs around $5. If you don't need canonical sequencing of history, then blockchain is probably overkill.
Imagine a future where you can engage in completely legal torrenting of copyrighted works, where all sides have NFT proofs of ownership. Owning an NFT would mean you own the notarized right to download a copy as well as to seed it to other torrenters who can cryptographically prove they own the same NFT.
As usual, you don't need a blockchain to do either of the two things you're talking about. For the copyright case, what matters is that you have a legal authorization which will be recognized by a court. An NFT can do that but so can an email or anything else — and the problem you're trying to avoid is a concern either way because the same people who require terms of use for their content aren't going to reverse course due to magical thinking advised by blockchain salespeople.
The secondary problem of unreliable cloud storage is similarly very expensively not solved by an NFT. Due to the inherent inefficiency of blockchains almost all NFTs point to a URL for the actual payload. If that hosting provider shuts down or restricts access, you have the same problem as you do now. Now, some people will say that IPFS solves this but if you've thought about the problem at all that is only a solution for content which is very popular and released under an open license: someone has to pay for the storage, even the few people willing to provide storage unpaid aren't going to do so for encrypted content which they can't access, and nobody who cares about access restriction is going to put it in a public blockchain anyway since they'd be one key leak away from the content being available without payment.
An email or anything else creates legal gray area. What if the email is from 20 years ago and the company that sent you the email doesn't exist any more? Do we know the email was authentic? Emails don't have cryptographic signatures. And even if, maybe their PGP key leaked. With an NFT, even if someone hacks the wallet of a creator and releases fradulent tokens, they are still trackable. The second advantage is the ability to sell the token. In NFTs, this is a builtin first-party feature, similar to your ability to sell DVDs. But how do you sell an email? How do you ensure that people didn't clone give the email to multiple people? If this problem sounds familiar, it is, it's the double spend problem, which various blockchains have found solutions for.
As for the cloud storage, I think it should be separated. NFTs can be set up in multiple ways. I propose to set them up as follows: a) you can prove cryptographically to others that your wallet contains an NFT and b) the legal framework of the NFT gives everyone the permission to give copies of the work to anyone who has given them a proof after a).
This move would create an entirely separate market for obtaining the work you have gotten an ownership title for. The barrier of entry for these services would be low, and some services can specialize for niche content, others can specialize for speedy delivery, etc. As the cost per work is quite low, I'd imagine a quite low price for these services. The most important advantage: one service going bankrupt wouldn't mean the loss of some people's collections. Especially, anyone would be allowed to host the content.
The single key leak issue is non-existent, because each single download is end-to-end encrypted via say TLS, but the download is only offered to accounts which have proven they own an NFT. Similar requirements are on torrenters, they too have to verify cryptographically that someone owns some content before they send it to them with a end to end encrypted ephemeral key. Maybe, for abuse prevention, there needs to be a record of the verification/download in the ledger as well, so that one can find people who lend out their wallets or something.
Can these issues be solved by a government run centralized registry instead? Absolutely, they can. In many countries, the govenrment runs a land registry already. Land registries share in fact many of the advantages of NFTs. The main issue I have though is centralization.
Thank you! You get what I'm talking about. Many folks here are replying to me as if I'm saying NFTs can prevent copyright infringements. That's not possible and not the goal. The goal would be to track ownership and handle violations more reliably than mass DMCA-notices that plague YouTube.
This issue doesn't exist, because an NFT gives you absolutely no legal rights whatsoever - only the law does.
You could accomplish the same thing just using signed files, or a hash in the exif.
The NFT is only a proof of ownership of the NFT. You don’t own the artwork. If you want to buy the artwork you need an old fashioned signed contract documenting transfer of ownership.
The immutable nature of NFTs and crypto in general doesn’t really work well in the real world where we rely on the ability to change things.
Except NFTs don't "prove" anything.
The only form of proof of ownership of media assets is legal.
If I have a legal document proving that I own media asset X and you have an NFT, you will be in the cold.
Why do you think handwritten signatures have gotten us so far?
Because the literal act of signing something is the lease important part of contracts and trust relationships.
I don't support HDCP or DVD-region-lock but they worked for the copyright owners without inconveniencing the users enough to affect the bottom-line. It's the technical users and hackers among us who have a problem with these.
I'm not looking forward to NFT everywhere for creatives, I'm saying I can see it happen. I don't want to sign every JPEG I edit but if the tools preserve the source signatures, it wouldn't really affect me.
Photoshop has had counterfeit detection system for over a decade. I'm sure Adobe would love to offer Getty + CS Cloud NFT-copyright integration if they can make it work. I'm sure they can come up with a catchy marketing name for it and build an ecosystem to license, edit, and distribute media with detailed tracking of every asset.
How can hype like that not set off everyone's bullshit detections, I can not understand. Todd Morley sounds like a complete charlatan.
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Woo
>The term comes from "woo-woo", an epithet used in the 1990s by science and skeptical writers to ridicule people who believe or promote such things. This is in turn believed to have come from the onomatopoeia "woooooo!" as a reaction to dimmed lights or magic tricks. The term implies a lack of either intelligence or sincerity on the part of the person or concepts so described.
>As a coincidence, the Chinese word 巫 (pronounced in the Mandarin dialect as Wū) means a shaman, usually with magic powers. Also coincidentally, the Chinese word 無/无 (pronounced Wú in Mandarin) means "nothing," "lacking," or "negation." Another Chinese word 误 (pronounced in the Mandarin dialect as Wù) means "mistake" or "incorrect". There is also the English verb "woo", which means to seek someone's love, especially with false promises; it can also be considered appropriate, because woo-meisters seek people's admiration, falsely promising them miraculous and easily understandable knowledge.
Quibble - it's _bona fide_, pronounced "bonna feeday", because it's from the Latin literally meaning "good faith".
It sounds Fidé as in "Semper Fidelis", always faithful, or "Adeste Fideles", "Oh, Come All Ye Faithful".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJMKGeICf0Y
Also:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iKmLUA2yHFE&ab_channel=Borre...
Blockchain charlatans are woowoos.
Just look at the ridiculous hype around NFTs. Who actually believes that $69 million was paid in auction, against presumably other 8 figure bids? For a bunch of useless pixels designed by an unknown in the art world?
There are many terrible problems with NFTs, and a lot of these problems are being worked on. The initial hype could not possibly last. It was fueled by crypto zealots and people that want to get rich.
I also believe there is a lot of long term value to be had, but in order to realize that long term value the NFTs will need to deliver actual intrinsic value to the NFT owner. Some examples of this may be: an NFT that unlocks access to special content, and NFT that also serves as a DAO to determine future art created, an open world (metaverse) that tracks ownership of digital goods using NFTs. All of these things already exist, of course, but the decentralization part is what makes it new and different. The future we see is creators not relying on Apple, Amazon, or other massive corps to control their content, to put much more of that control into their hands. Same with the purchaser's of said content. Transparent, trusted, interoperable, verifiable transactions.
(I am super curious as to what percentage of NFT purchases were existing crypt-millionaires vs. collectors or even independent investors)
Who knows. Maybe they will. Maybe not. But at least I’ve tried to remind my friend that it is a highly speculative asset. And that she should not put in more money than she is ready to lose. All or most of it.
Poor 8 year old me really thought that Brendan Shanahan rookie card would mean something someday.
The NFT cards with fake / digital signatures are particularly pathetic.
Or the way a physical card is designed, the way it looks in real lighting, the way its material properties exist and interact in physical space. There are qualities to that, and the manufacturing process involved, that you can never replicate with NFT collectibles. The same is true with physical vs digital art. Art hanging on the wall can have a majestic quality when it dances with lighting; digital art is flat garbage by comparison in that respect (even when it's really good digital art; it's bound to a screen in most cases). Manufacturing a nice physical collectible card to a high quality specification is dramatically more difficult than spitting out NFT cards by the zillions; quality control is a huge challenge in collectible cards. There's a scarcity effect generated in physical collectibles like cards, in regards to quality of manufacturing (damage, corners, centering, errors, etc), that doesn't exist in NFTs (unless you intentionally fake that, which would be something beyond stupid).
There are many aspects of physical vs NFT collectibles, where the NFTs will never be able to compete, not under any circumstances. And there are almost no benefits that an NFT has over a physical collectible, with the supposed simplicity of digital storage & transacting being the primary (which also has an obvious, huge risk / downside associated with it simultaneously).
For all the physical properties of a material thing we might admire, someone else might admire an NFT for the lack of those properties and inclusion of others.
There might be no more further reconciling than that. People will like what they like, they’ll pursue what they pursue, and sometimes they will enjoy their share of delusions. At least it keeps life interesting.
Are there also digital versions available?
I'd be surprised if a noticeable percentage of the value of your comic books is that you can read them. It seems like it's essentially 0% to me -- almost as baseless as an NFT, and makes me think some sort of functionality isn't actually needed for lots of people to agree that something is valuable for a long time.
Like for example, something like First Comics's Warp is incredibly valuable to me, because it's a comics adaptation/spin-off of an old science fiction stage play that doesn't seem to even exist any more. (By Stuart Gordon of Re-animator fame, no less.)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warp!
It's not the popular first appearance of a Marvel character we've seen for 50 years, but it's much more of a historical rarity imo. There's a lot of things which are of value to collectors less than speculators; something like trying to collect a lot of Carl Banks's Disney books simply because of the sheer quality of them for example. Or loving independent comics of the 90s and trying to track down the beginnings of the furry movement; Albedo, Hepcats, Omaha the Cat Dancer, etc. There are whole teams that are just ignored by the speculators; Wally Wood's DNagents for example.
It's just the speculators market is just actually trying to flip really common comics that are evergreen. Those really have little value to them; stuff like Spiderman's first symbiote costume appearance wasn't really that earth shattering a story. Secret Wars was kind of a lame crossover for its time and i doubt would even be considered one of the great crossovers. That's why its main interests are mostly forgotten, like the Beyonder or Molecule Man.
So yes, some of the value is in reading the comic itself. It's just the market is weird and never reflects it. Did you know the first video game tie in comic dates back to the Atari age, with DC's release of Atari Force? And it actually was a serious, decent SF comic? Yet you could probably find it in a store's dollar bins, while a spiderman or punisher apperance that was really common at the time is considered valuable even if all the story does is introduce something kind of commonplace or unspectacular.
Sorry this is one of my passion things, I'll get back to my usual growly self soon.
I'm not trying to categorically throw shade at comic books, and I appreciate you citing a whole bunch of comics that are ignored by speculators but which have a lot of value to you. But that seems like it's exactly in line with my point, that NFTs aren't that new and different from other stuff we've seen before, which is comparably absurd; they're 100% speculation, but we've seen assets that are 99% speculation and manage to hang on for quite a while
Value in whose eyes, though? The commenter seemed to be stating that the utility provided by being able to read the comics is valuable _to them_. There are also a number of other uses for a physical comic book that provide "value": you could frame individual pages, use the book as kindling, etc. You can't do any of those things with a NFT.
Some quick googling, apologies if I'm wrong, says this comic book is worth 3.2 million dollars: https://viewcomics.me/action-comics-1938/issue-1/full
And yet it would seem I can read it right there on the internet for free, and can surely get framed prints of individual pages much cheaper than 3.2 million dollars, and I can get kindling much cheaper than 3.2 million dollars. You can point at those things as properties it has that an NFT doesn't. But those things aren't what's making it worth 3.2 million dollars
It's worth 3.2 million dollars because someone trusts that it's worth 3.2 million dollars to other people. Value like this is an exercise in group trust that has had to build up over time. It's not actually a property of the functionality of the object
If an artist makes a painting, that original painting has collectible value. If the same artist makes copies of it, those copies have less value. That seems to make sense to most people.
Now imagine if an artist makes a digital painting. Is that work of art any less meaningful or valuable? Of course not. But there's been no way to define an "original" in the digital art form, and so there's been no way to assign collectability to digital works of art. NFTs seem to provide a way for an artist and fans to collectively agree that some digital object is the original, and to treat it as such.
The bonus is that it provides another avenue for digital artists to make money, which to my mind is always a good thing.
I get that the concept is hard to wrap our brains around, because at the end of the day it's a collective delusion. Everyone just agrees to say that some arbitrary string of bytes is the "original" and anything that comes after it isn't. But ultimately how is that different from the arbitrary rules we use to define which physical object is the "original" and why those arbitrary rules define value.
That said, I haven't looked too deeply into the technical side of NFTs, so this is more my take on the concept than the application. I'm sure there's slews of caveats, like how most NFTs only store a hash, the importance of exchanges, etc. And I totally agree that the market was in a huge bubble, so that's definitely worth criticizing (to an extent; I mean people can do whatever the hell they want with their money ultimately.)
Is there a flaw in my take here? Are NFTs somehow more arbitrary and asinine than other collectible markets simply because they're digital? Or is everyone hating because hating new technology is as cool as it has ever been? I suppose Dropbox did turn out to just be git+rsync, so shrug /s
I don't think it's "hate" for people to marvel at the insanity that are NFTs. You have people literally posting and selling NFTs for other people's creations. And even if those people post NFTs, their NFTs have no additional claim to what they represent than the other people, beyond some social "oh that's the guy who made all of those crummy doodles".
There is a notion of digital ownership, copyright assignment, etc. NFT is an extremely poor proxy for any of those.
Owning a rare gun skin in CS:GO is much more "real" than an NFT is.
Exactly the problem. If these were used to prove legal ownership of real assets, whether they be intellectual or physical, they would have value. Selling individually numbered digital pet rocks is not valuable.
Say I own an asset legally, and lose my private key. Or it gets stolen by a malware. I’m still the legal owner.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SG0FAKkaisg&ab_channel=DonHo...
It always links to a wallet and thus proves originality. You're right, anyone can mint a mona lisa and claim it's a van gogh, but if it wasn't minted using van goghs wallet, it's not van gogh.
>It isn't a copyright grant, a contract, legal ownership, or even a binary container
Say i have an octopus NFT. I am the only person who can transfer ownership of my octopus. you don't need 'Legal' ownership, this is real 'ownership' of my keys. You can show that this EXACT Octopus sold for $50m and was previously held by a wallet associated with mark cuban. Yes, some random can make a duplicate octopus but it won't be created by my wallet, mark cuban wouldn't have previously owned it and it wouldn't have previously sold for $50m in the metadata.
>Owning a rare gun skin in CS:GO is much more "real" than an NFT is.
How many people own the 'Rare gun skin in CS:GO? would you trust the company if they said only 5 people owned that rare gun skin? What's stopping them from infinitely minting the rare gun skin and saying there's only 100 of them. Would you be willing to pay more for the CS Skin if only 100 people could have it, than if it was inifinite? If CS:GO was to adopt a standard blockchain for the sale of their NFT's, you could see exactly who had what skins and what the bidding price is for them. Complete transparency in scarcity.
I am Leonardo da Vinci. My wallet is ABC. Would you like to buy the Mona Lisa?
I am NYC. My wallet is CBA. Would you like to buy the Brooklyn Bridge?
The notion that a wallet is authoritative is not grounded in reality. There is no central authority. There is no registry. There is no legal correlation.
And your Octopus NFT isn't an Octopus NFT, it's an NFT with a pointer to a reference that points to an octopus. Great, now I just minted an Octopus NFT with a pointer to a reference that points to the same octopus. Now what?
But you're claiming that we need to backtrace each NFT to some wallet which somehow (even though there is no authority, by design) I guess we'll find a MySpace posting by Mark Cuban saying it was his NFT. It borders on parody.
Could Valve "mint" guns through a blockchain? Sure, they could. There is another game (an F1 game) where they do something similar for tradeables. But that is neither here nor there with the reality that NFTs as currently implemented are effectively equivalent to selling certificates offering people a plot of land on Jupiter.
In the 1970s, people would buy rocks as pets. Yes really. Manias are real things.
Lol “Real”
The point is that it remains to be seen if humans actually care if we declare "ownership" in this way, when as a non-owner I can see and get access to the exact same bits as the "owner".
With physical goods, even though the value assigned to an "original" is arbitrary, it does seem that humans care more about "I know this collection of atoms is the original, and no one else can copy this same collection of atoms" that just the idea that there is a record of ownership on some blockchain.
To contrast, every digital good is exactly the same as the original. Heck, once the computer is turned off the first time, the original is technically gone, and a new copy was made when the computer turned back on.
The concept of originality goes away on a digital world.
Yes, pretty much all of the value in expensive works of art is in the provenance of the artwork, not the actual image. But the fact that that provenance is embodied in a non-copyable physical piece of art, versus a ledger in the literal ether that is just a piece of text that says "Yep, this person bought it", is a critical difference that I think is unbridgeable.
Absolutely, that remains to be seen, and I think we're very clearly in an NFT craze at the moment that is going to result in a lot of people putting money in and losing it. My argument is simply that it is not absurd to use an NFT to represent originality for a digital work and for collectors to value that originality more than digital copies, and in fact it's extremely similar to how the determination and valuation of originality already works for physical paintings. I do think that a lot of the actual financial activity going on with NFTs right now is absurd, but not fundamentally more absurd than much of the financial activity going on with most assets in the world!
> But the fact that that provenance is embodied in a non-copyable physical piece of art, versus a ledger in the literal ether that is just a piece of text that says "Yep, this person bought it", is a critical difference that I think is unbridgeable.
My prediction is that it won't be any less bridgeable than the notion that the amount of money you have in your bank account is actually just a tiny amount of digital information stored on a computer somewhere in your bank's computer closet. The bank isn't actually storing the physical cash that you deposited, and moreover, that physical cash doesn't even represent anything physical!
The real value in having an authentic painting comes from the history of the piece, that it is the same canvas and pigments that were touched by the (famous/reclusive/dead) artist (or at least one of their assistants)
The same could be said of any museum piece. There is a weight and responsibility attached to that physical item that is carried with it.
With an NFT, the digital asset you hold can never convey anything tangible about the creative process and history of the work; it's not like owning that unveils the PSD file and Youtube livestream of the artist at work with their Cintiq. The stream of bits is the stream of bits. Everyone gets access to the same stream of bits, except one person gets to wear a special hat while they look at them.
It's like you started with a print or reproduction of the masterwork, but on a new canvas. Like you're saying this is print #00001, and you get to have that specific one. Sort of.
So really it's not at all the same.
The artist issued the NFT.
What I'm saying is that NFT _itself_ does not embody any aspect of the creative process or context. With the exception of the fact the artists issued an NFT in the first place on such-and-such date, and that might mean something in the future when we look back on this topic.
They're valuable because that meant the autographer had to be present and see and individually touch whatever was being signed. Often times it is a memento of a fan meeting their idol.
NFTs have no such limitations on their issuers.
But the value of a piece of art that is pre-signed by the artist, versus a print that was signed after-the-fact, is not the same.
Some of the value comes from authentication. But if mass produced, this is not really more valuable than the author's printed name on a book.
Some of the value comes from the face-to-face interaction between the artist or famous individual and the signed item. This has no analog in the NFT.
Of course yes it is - its less valuable after it is created because copying it costs nothing.
Valuing a work above the creation cost of the work is what the art world certainly does, but replicas of the art are still valuable for being appealing and taking some work to create - a digital version is appealing but takes so little work to create and store that its hard to justify the rest of the collective delusion.
Adding scarcity to non-scarce things is just stupid.
That is not the case for digital works. If we get strict about it, everything apart from the original file sitting in the artists' computer disks are copies. The file you downloaded after purchasing your "original" is a copy.
But well, whatever makes people happy.
Yes, and a copy of a digital work still has some value, but there's only one NFT that the artist issued to represent ownership of the digital work. These are precisely identical stories. Even if you could create a physical copy of a physical painting with arbitrarily high fidelity (perhaps at the atomic level), there would still only be one painting that sat in the artist's studio, and I suspect the art world would still only value that one as the original.
In other words, the fidelity with which one can create copies of an original work is irrelevant to the determination and valuation of originality.
However, if the molds are still available and another can be cast and finished, then no.
Still a specific instance of an unoriginal item might be special. It could have been painted post-casting by someone famous, or survived a war or shipwreck, and so forth. Originality is now no longer a distinguishing aspect of the sculpture's value.
A marble sculptor shouldn't be valued more than a digital sculptor, its really just about time and effort either way.
This is the best lesson. People who try to add artificial scarcity will eventually be proven wrong (but con men have existed in all eras).
I think you can apply that same argument to something like a normal painting. Sure, the price for making copy isn’t zero, but it’s practically zero when comparing to the millions of dollars that the most expensive paintings are sold for. So why do people pay so much then? Because they want the original. That also applies for wanting to own the original version of a digital painting.
You have a meme, and someone sells you a little laminated card saying "I own the meme at this URL", and all it costs is $80,000 and you have to burn down an acre of rainforest. It's purely asinine in every respect, and, like a lot of crypto, is basically just a gold rush plus pyramid scheme.
I don't think the current model where everyone and their mom doodles something and mints an NFT is sustainable without external anchors of value.
It's different because the artist actually put their brush on the original canvas, but not the copies. I could buy that the emphasis we put on the original having more value is arbitrary, but there's nothing actually arbitrary about selecting which painting is _the original_.
The problem I see with NFTs is that the arbitrariness is shifted from deciding which piece has value (original vs copy) to which one is _the original_ (copy A or copy B). They're both copies.
And, identically, the NFT of a digital work is different from copies of the digital work because the artist actually issued the NFT.
> I could buy that the emphasis we put on the original having more value is arbitrary, but there's nothing actually arbitrary about selecting which painting is _the original_.
And again, the situation with NFTs is identical. There's nothing arbitrary about determining the NFT issued by the artist and who controls that NFT (assuming the NFT blockchain technology works as intended), in fact it should be much easier than determining the originality of a famous painting.
The NFT kind of loses that.
Sometimes ownership of a thing doesn't matter if there is a psychological barrier to the product itself and its relationship to the owner.
If we are talking about the ownership of an item in the traditional sense a painting then NFT's need to fall into two categories:
Vanity: Private ownership for personal enjoyment. Here I find NFT's silly. People will duplicate the work if they have access to a digital file and run wild with it for the sake of personal enjoyment. This is where I think most NFT hate comes from and its not without merit.
Investment: NFTs could indeed be used for issuing ownership, or even fractional ownership, where a work is displayed at its maximum potential (resolution/medium) and access to the display is owned and profit is split among owners. This is really the remarkable aspect of NFTs and I am not even sure you have to limit digital goods either.
If we are talking about ownership of an item in the commissioned sense then NFT's make copyright and trademark infringement easier to litigate ownership if the work is used by someone who isn't an owner.
It is hasty to hate NFTs. But it is ok to question their relevance in certain regards.
This misunderstands the ultimate reason why art becomes valuable.
It has nothing to do with the scarcity itself. There's a billion works of art out there that are 1/1 originals and yet are worthless.
So scarcity alone doesn't bring the value. What does?
Mostly media and public relations originally, and if an artist gets attention for long enough, government, non-profit and educational institutions will legitimize that media coverage and write an artist into the mainstream "lexicon" for history going forward.
You need both the scarcity combined with the mainstream knowledge of an artists name to create that value.
The problem with NFTs is, now that the media channels that create "star" artists are getting more and more decentralized, the chances your friend will know the names of the same artists as you is diminished.
Everybody's instagram feed is different, so there isn't the same shared language that existed in the past to attach value to these scarce objects.
That, combined with the fact that you can't hang it on your wall as a signaling device to show off to your friends or prospective mating partners...is the reason why NFTs will never be as valuable as pre-internet art.
I think a big part of it is that once an artist has this status, it becomes part of the industry that tracks provenance and detects forgeries. If your cousin's painting was valuable without being part of this system, you could crank out 100 of them and no one would know which one was the original, or whether your cousin actually painted the other 99.
So in this way you're begging the question a little bit. If scarcity alone doesn't bring value, provable scarcity might.
This all draws pretty reasonable critiques.
Is it? I thought the value of a collectible was having it, not that other people don't have it. I don't think it's worth throwing away abundance for the sake of the satisfaction of having something scarce.
They're precisely as asinine as a certificate of ownership, if a certificate of ownership used a household-month of electricity to produce. And the paper it was made out of attracted assholes.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1372739631846936581
I think the reason they seem silly to a lot of people is because when you buy an NFT there's nothing extra you can do that other people can't when you hold the NFT.
I can have the exact same experience as the NFT holder for free with no effort.
Sure technically you can also make copies of physical collectibles but its not (trivial + free) like copying and pasting an image.
Many of the NFTs are not distributed even though they claim to be, so while they have the same kind of centralization, they have no such authority. If we were to grant them such authority, we'd want it to be a normal centralized database and the benefits of decentralization would not be needed. There would be no need for non-cooperative consensus either.
This is an important thought experiment that I brought up in another comment, but my conclusion is the opposite: I think that efforts would still be made to determine which physical painting was the original one painted by the artist, and that one would still retain the value as long as the determination of originality remained well-respected. This already happens with paintings: there are extremely skilled forgeries that have fooled experts.
Maybe I don't understand NFTs
The scarcity is having a spot in a ledger between other entries in one lineage by a (supposed, but rarely purely) distributed non-cooperative consensus of ledger entries.
Anything other than that is imagined and probably done through other means just as well. I'm not sure why someone couldn't just periodically tweet pictures of note cards with a list of who owns what because that'd be just as effective.
Eventually we might see values trend so low that it may not make sense to make digital goods at all; i think video games in particular will be vulnerable to this soon.
Value is the scarcity not the physical support.
edit: pressed publish too quickly
whether or not digital good carry that same weight, is left to be seen.
So NFT markets don't crash, they stall. As I mentioned previously, this works just like Beanie Babies on eBay. High asking prices, no bids.
One might say that a company could come along and provide the authority and trusted infrastructure to handle transferring digital assets across games and users, but let's draw a parallel to the real world. What if every time you wanted to sell something, you had to sell it on Amazon. You couldn't just give someone cash for it, or put it up on Craigslist. Blockchain tech lets people trustlessly transfer assets and have full digital ownership over a digital asset.
The exception is account trading and resale, and that's a huge minefield no digital creator really wants to happen. Being able to sell your character or library often has significant issues with little upsides to the functioning of the environment.
I think people will want to have real true ownership over an asset, such that if the game provider stops running their marketplace or game, you can still own the asset. I could be wrong, but I really think there's demand there.
If I buy a flaming sword. I can actually take it and go hit enemies with it for fire damage and show it off prominently on my person (in game). I can break it into component parts, I can trade it, I can enhance it. Other players can buy a similar one but they can’t just copy it. Basically none of this is true for non-game NFTs
And you could still do that with a centralized auciton house or exchange. the tricky part of that is getting people on board to use the system. not the technology.
i could make an easy crud app with a database that allows all that.
The basic tennet of an NFT would have been fine, if the people selling them actually owned the thing that they were selling, and had contracts to prove it.
Until then, they are just receipts for things you bought out the back of a van.
Check out Art Blocks
You do realize that the NFT markets are fuelled by controversy, right? Stop giving the NFT concept more attention if you truly want it to fail. Nobody is forcing you to buy an NFT, you have nothing to complain about.
Justification for this claim? This is not at all clear to me!
Ok, it sounds like you are saying that news coverage increases the price. That I can buy.
The questions are:
How were the the "dumb money" NFT buyers ever going to liquidate their "investments" on the other side?
Did they ever intend to cash-out or just show-off how much money they can burn?
Or is it 95% blackmarket money (i.e., drugs, sex slavery, worker slavery) that had nowhere to go except buried in the ground or in the walls of houses?
People have this idea that because NFTs are selling for $10M some moron must think that particular NFT is worth $10M and have spent $10M to buy it - presumably thinking it will be worth even more in the future and s/he can sell for a profit.
What an idiot, most people think...
However, it could just be that people are buying NFTs from themselves (like CryptoKitties) for massive sums, to attract the interest of get-rich-quick retail investors to spend ~$100 dollars on NFTs - just in case they're suddenly worth $10M a piece in a month. FOMO.
It's not like retail investors investing millions of dollars into NFTs. They don't have millions of dollars in the first place!
I should bring crime and decay to the neighborhood, buy my neighbors' houses out, and then sell my own house to myself for $10 million. Who wants to invest? Now offering NFTs as stock. :B
https://www.npr.org/2021/03/12/976513031/the-69-million-jpeg
Details here: https://www.ledgerinsights.com/christies-beeple-69-million-n...
I'm not aware of any crazy NFT auctions that have been purchased by "normal middle class" people. They've all been people heavily involved in crypto.
That goes for the losing bidders also. The person who was the second highest bidder in that auction is also heavily involved in the crypto space.
I've always said the best money-laundering / money-stashing instrument are paintings in a rugged floating tube that can be stashed in a yacht equipped with salt plugs in-case it ever went down.
I mean, who didn't see that coming. NFTs, IMHO, have been money grabbing jokes, dumping on those naively looking for the next hot thing. Or rich people with money to blow...and since it's money to blow, who cares if it's now worthless?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27212475
Any takers?
NFTs are worthless trash.
It's only logical that the second NFT from the New York Times (or whomever) is going to be worth only 10% as much as the first one.
BREAKING NEWS: Superman Comic #2 is worth only 10% as much as Superman Comic #1.
How is this at all like NFTs again?
Collectibility needs a few things in the equation: rarity and here is the _big_ component, some shared nostalgia or cultural history. NFTs don't have that really any of these things.
Taking the example of fine art, there is a clear reason that an original piece is unique. When artists release numbered prints, the buyers are aware that the numbering could have continued but the print run was stopped at an arbitrary point. For this reason, they are rarely anywhere near as valuable.
These days “chase” sports cards are often given extremely low print runs of just a few or even one copy. But in my view they will never have the collector appeal of older cards that are rare in large part because few of them happened to survive.
Creating artificial scarcity is an obvious way to manipulate collectors, and NFTs are completely built around that practice.
There are other examples where you are right though. Comics in general with variant or the dreaded hologram colors were an attempt to do so, and it's kind of rare to see them valued today.
Unless, people were buying hype and nothing more, and NFTs are indeed are a ridiculous fad with no intrinsic value.