The reason here is the extremely low cost of energy from photovoltaics: We see less than $0.03 per kwh [projected prices for some currently planned large scale farms] - that's about $0.3 for the energy of 1 kg of bunker oil. Bunker oil sells for about $300 to $500 per ton, so roughly $0.4 per kg. That means that a replacement fuel with more than 66% conversion efficiency could already be competitive right now. High Temperatur Hydrogen Electrolysis is reportedly available with 80% energy efficiency. As far as I know, there is no indication that solar costs could stop falling anytime soon, so in the next 20 years we will probably see it drop well below $0.01. So if I did not misplace a decimal somewhere, the future should be in relatively cheap large-scale green fuel.