Here's the thing. Does anyone think that today's fed stands ready to plunge the economy into a deep recession like the 1980's to kill inflation if it gets out of control? Anyone? I have no such faith.
Here's the thing. Does anyone think that today's fed stands ready to plunge the economy into a deep recession like the 1980's to kill inflation if it gets out of control? Anyone? I have no such faith.
I mean, look at it from their side. They've been doing everything they can think of to hit 2% for a decade without success. Now, after the pandemic everyone is rushing back to work on a massive scale never seen before (plus some fiscal spending with additional unemployment benefits are still out there) and inflation is what, maybe 3% over two years if you are super generous with the numbers.
They are basically just in "wait and see" mode to know if this inflation trajectory has staying power.
There is a clear mismatch in demand and supply. Supply is booming and its taking time for supply chains to catch up because of the structural damage that was caused by COVID. It takes time to fix that. This is short term angst, not a monetary crisis.
If there's a monetary crisis occurring (asset inflation?) its been going on for almost a decade now, and its not reflected in the CPI.