Get ready for many more record-shattering heatwaves
axios.com
axios.com
I don't know how people don't understand that we face, without exaggeration, an existential crisis.
Rich people can burn carbon to run their air conditioners. They can buy real estate on higher ground. So, no problem for them.
If you're so narcissistic/nihilistic/whatever as to fall into the latter group, what do you care? Appeals to future generations won't work on people who only care about themselves.
They also won't work on people who only care about next quarter's earnings, either, and that's another issue.
Let's say I'm rich and selfish and care only about things and not people. If I bother to look into the future, don't I have more real estate to lose than the poors, who might have one (or fewer!) homes to lose?
Your second point, that long term thinking is hard seems to be a bigger issue, even more so for anybody who is living paycheck-to-paycheck. It's too difficult to get rid of, eg, single use plastic in my life as an ordinary consumer. How do we set things up so the system is incentivized to change itself? Especially when the culture is opposed to any change in the first place.
Climate change denialism has enormous overlap with the people who promote COVID denialism. Even before that crisis, they were responsible for creationism and anti-same-sex-marriage (which has since become legal without the world collapsing).
These aren't matters of opinion, values, or world-view. They're Just Plain Wrong. Nor am I talking about fringe opinions; these are political party platforms and talking points that candidates rely on to attract voters.
There are tons of other areas where I am quite certain they're wrong, but more importantly, they argue about them using the same poor forms that they use for climate change. They cherry-pick, they are manipulated by deliberate disinformation, and they place their own ignorance over knowledge.
That creates a hostile, toxic atmosphere in which there is no way for me to convince them, even on the things that are as conclusively scientific as it's possible for a thing to be. That makes it beyond impossible in areas where there might actually be room for legitimate disagreement.
So yeah, I care a lot about climate change, but not because I'll be alive, nor my direct descendants. The way we talk about climate change makes my life a lot worse, today. I believe that we've seen a deliberate inculcation of an anti-intellectual bent in the US that has become weaponized.
It doesn't happen overnight: https://www.kirkdurston.com/blog/unwin
I'm not a Christian either.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02...
It seems like the closest you could hope to come to scientific method in these studies is to try to divide the world's geography into a set of geographical pairs that could be considered climatically similar but distant enough from one another to be decorrelated in terms of weather systems. For example, maybe Mediterranean climates on the Mediterranean paired with comparable regions in coastal California. Then, use a random selection of one region from each pair in all the set of pairs to be used as training data, with the other component of each pair for testing.
Maybe this is already done? I recognize that drawing such equivalency is impossible, but it seems like it might be an improvement nonetheless.
If you know, you know.
Might also be the solution to the great filter: Once optimization for the hard problem of "supremacy" / massive expansion is solved, there is too little time to optimize for self-regulation. There sure are possibilities to solve this, but require huge amounts of luck, e.g. discovering clean & especially cheaply salable energy sources quickly enough, adding another tiny coefficient to the drake equation
In our case, it's also a matter of actually using what we discover vs continue using petroleum
However, whats super interesting to watch unfold is that as we hit this "peak climate" phase - all the other things that are happening around it, FN UAP/UFO sightings and semi-disclosure is unprecedented... and clearly they have some sort of zero-point or better energy capabilities... and just the general shift (albeit slowly) in global awareness on a myriad of matters...
While there is a subtle subtext of Dread in the zeitgeist, I still feel optimistic... aside from the overall global oligarch-parasite-class, which I hope we figure out a solution to...
I'm still waiting for silicon valley to "make the world a better place" - each time I attempt to contribute to that, it kind of backfires on me... hopefully I can change that.
I find the massive floodings in Germany, Belgium and also China to be very interesting...
It was already stated many times regarding the chinese using weather modification to create effectively what we referred to as "acid rain" in the 1980s - in an effort to sequester particulate pollution in some cities -- there are several possibilities:
1. Freak 10,000-year flooding
2. Weather warfare via HAARP or such
3. Weather modification fuckup gone awry (or intentional)
4. We broke the weather system some time ago and weather modification and technologies such as HAARP are being used in a failed attempt to fix the weather system. (I love this science fiction take on it, personally)
I meant more smth like this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dSu5sXmsur4
I'll trust the science - but I also love science fiction.
When it comes to extreme flooding, I find the foundations of my understanding to be extremely fluid.