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Comment by nl | Hacker News Reader

Are you claiming this is good or bad?

By comparison, in some years the influenza vaccine is under 40% effective. 0.9 deaths per 1 million is amazing (especially given the likely age profile).

See https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200902/how-effective-is-th... for some information about the flu vaccine.

In April the vaccination rate was much lower. In a hypothetical situation where 100% of people are vaccinated, all Covid deaths will be vaccinated people.

With so small numbers if vaccinated people dying we should expect that deaths per million to jump around depending on regional outbreaks for a while.

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In addition, in April we didn’t have the delta variant in the US.

> Are you claiming this is good or bad?

Neither. In April, the rate of death from Covid19 among those fully vaccinated against Covid19 was 0.9/million.

By August 9, it was at 7.5/million. CDC used to provide updates every Friday for the preceding Monday. The rate increased with every report.

The last update was on August 13. So, I wondered why they had not updated on Friday this time.

I see now that they just posted an update since this thread started[1] and after the approval was announced. This will increase my posterior belief that the update had been held back to happen after the approval announcement for political reasons.

Total deaths: 1,829

Asymptomatic or not Covid19 related: 371

Rate (1,829 - 371)/168 = 8.7/million. Up again.

[1]: https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/health-departments/bre...

> The rate increased with every report.

Delta is pretty bad isn't it?

I don't think this is news to anyone. There is increasing evidence that the length of protection vaccination gives is less than ideal - hence the need to booster shots.

> I see now that they just posted an update since this thread started[1] and after the approval was announced. This will increase my posterior belief that the update had been held back to happen after the approval announcement for political reasons.

It came out on a Monday instead of a Friday. There was zero evidence of any political interest in the date of the release of this data before, and there are thousands of potential explanations for any delay. But sure.

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