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> Dumb is a pretty accurate description of a large fraction of criminals.

Is there any reading on that? I'd love it to be true.

Selection bias? It _might_ be a pretty accurate description of a large fraction those who _get caught_.

So we must compare those statistics for unsolved mysteries to find the truth and correlation.

For the best criminals, you wouldn't even know that there's an unsolved mystery to be solved.

Is there even a problem in such a scenario?

With the caveat already noticed for selection bias (maybe the smart criminals never get caught?), there's definitely some evidence to support this. https://law.jrank.org/pages/1363/Intelligence-Crime-Measurin...