What you should know before starting a doctorate...
plasticbag.org
plasticbag.org
This resonates really well with my personal experience. Conscientiousness is the word to keep in mind.
Another thing to keep in mind is that the 22-year old kid just starting graduate school is very different from the 27-year old standing at the other end with a burnt wick. You cannot predict how your interests evolve, but you should at least try and gauge if your current interests run deep enough to allow for the sacrifice of four, five, or six years.
irrelevant factors: [being] the best and the brightest, the most imaginative thinkers or the people with the great ideas
You can do great work outside a university, be an artist or industrialist, in poverty or in wealth. I love the idea of working in splendid isolation, but (I feel) you need something to push against, to measure yourself against, peers to celebrate or hate you. Each discipline in academia is all that (as are industries and arts). How can you rebel without a cause?
There are problems, though. There's a lot of pressure to do things that are either in the academic norm, or are part of the academic fashion. Unfortunately, such things tend to get popular after the first people start getting interested in it, who often cover so much ground that there's little to do. So you need to stay away from academic groupthink if you want to do good work there -- but otherwise, it's a good place.
So now academia has been reduced to an industry that produces mountains of useless, trifling research to justify the academics' own positions. The technocrats at the top of the system put unit prices on conference and journal papers, but they're not judged on quality, just the amount that can be eked out. To get more funding, you need to produce. I remember reading essentially the same paper 10 times from different conference proceedings, as the author managed to squeeze out one trivial variation on the same theme after another. Hell, my supervisor was a prime culprit (and I an accessory).
Any graduate student will tell you that the first (and most important) skill to learn is how to wade through all the bullshit papers and find things of value.
In some ways it's great that post-doctoral work (if you can get it) has become a middle class profession, spawning an industry that employs people, but the dilution of academic work has made research much more time consuming.
I never finished my PhD program, dumping my scholarship after a year for an engineering career in oil and gas. 7 years on, and I'm actually thinking of going back part-time. I like research... just at my own pace. Without being saddled with the constraints of money (which is every poor graduate student's dilemma), there's no pressure to produce. Now that's what I call the ideal research environment!
Meanwhile, try getting a plumber or a plasterer. The UK govt. has the objective of getting 50% of school leavers into university. Formal education beyond a certain point is suboptimal both for the individual and for society as a whole in probably most cases. The great irony is that this is a Labour government, you'd think if anyone realized the value of traditional trademen, it would be them...
Conversely, nobody hired CS PhD's outside of think tanks or academia as far as I can tell. Similarly, engineering PhD's seem tracked to academia.
Google, of course. Xerox. A bunch of big DoD contractors have R&D departments. Video game companies have been known to pick up graphics focused Phds. Pixar.
It's actually quite hard to move from industry back to academia as an engineering PhD. According to some academic friends, unless you've been publishing tons of papers while in industry, you're looking at an adjunct faculty position at best.
"But the usual reward of the eminent teacher bears no proportion to that of the lawyer or physician; because the trade of the one is crowded with indigent people who have been brought up to it at the public expence; whereas those of the other two are incumbered with very few who have not been educated at their own."
There's more at http://www.econlib.org/LIBRARY/Smith/smWN4.html
On the other hand, if a person has an interest in grad school, I'd encourage them to give it a shot. At worst you waste a couple of years. Once you get out into the real world and start piling on a car, house, girlfriend, and then the 2.5 kids plus golden retriever, it becomes that much harder to go back and get that degree if you realize it was a path you wanted to follow.
"Holy shit, you mean somebody will actually let me sit around and just do research on P for a few years? And they'll even pay me a little bit of money while I do it? What a sweet deal!"
Anyway I'm one of those dropouts. If a Ph.D. counts for little outside academia, an ABD counts for even less.