If the crux of the argument is that there are many more simple simulations than complex ones, and therefore we should be in a simple simulation but do not appear to be, then I don't buy it.

So why wouldn't complex life (humans) be correlated with more complex simulations? Anthropic principle of the simulated universe?

Furthermore, the simulation hypothesis has the same get-out-of-jail-free card that creation myths do: There's no reason to think the universe didn't just start half a second ago.

And here we are, fully realized humans with brains, sitting above layers of rock with fossils and below a long train of photons that looks an awful lot like the cosmic microwave background, all just paused, tweaked, and started from T not equal to zero.