Ask HN: How do you think phone usage will affect programming jobs in the future?

I know this is just speculation but I'm noticing that more and more young people are not familiar anymore with computers and desktops. Phone usage is becoming the standard now and less people even know what a file is. I've noticed that this also applies at freshmen at colleges.

So, without being catastrophic and pessimistic about the future, it is undoubtedly true that programming and coding requires a decent knowledge of the desktop UI/UX and of basic PC functionalities. While the IT markets growing, the set of people with those skills seems to be shrinking, even between those studying coding/engineering.

So how do you envision the future of coding in the next 10 years? How do you think this will affect the job market and the available technologies?