Quitters Get Raises

They're reading into the data backwards. Most people will be more likely to switch jobs if they find one that pays more.

The take-away is those who can get more tend to quit more.

There is the other side too where those 'considering quitting' are more likely to find out they can get more. But then the headline is those who find out what they can get in the market get more increases which comes as a shock to no one.

Looks like it has varied by between a small fraction of a percent and around 2%. That by itself would not convince me to leave a job, or join a new one: the interview process and switching cost is too high. I have left plenty of jobs, but usually because the job itself was intolerable for any price.