> How do you know a signed print is really from the artist?
you don't, that's partly why they are cheaper, that and there are more of them.
> If the provenance of that artefact can be reliably tracked over the years, then you can also be fairly certain.
This is why auction houses are a thing, its also why eBay are spending loads of cash with their verification services. They have provenance tracers, and "experts" who try to assert that something is "real"
> Obviously, a signed inkjet print can be forged more easily than a NFT,
Apart from looking at the specs, you can only embed the URL in the NFT: https://eips.ethereum.org/EIPS/eip-721 so the only thing thats really guaranteed is the URL and metadata. as soon as you download the NFT, it ceases to be the NFT anymore.