> Campbell’s law states that the more important a metric is in social decision making, the more likely it is to be manipulated.
> Goodhart’s Law, states that “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure”.
These are basically paraphrases if you accept that “target” = “important in decision making”, and “likely to be manipulated” = “not a good measure”.
That’s fine, important discoveries are often made multiple times independently, but let’s not pretend there’s some important difference where there isn’t any.
There's a scene or two in The Wire about "Juking the stats" (1) - its about fooling the people in order to look good and meet campaign promises. Manipulating indeed. More like "Mayor Carcetti's going to juke himself a second term"
> “Wally is going to code himself a minivan” (Dilbert ref) from Goodhart
Not really, Goodhart was talking about UK monetary policy in 1975. It's political from the start. (2)
These aren't different.
1) https://medium.com/@roshanrevankar/juking-the-stats-5926eaf5...
2) "Goodhart's law is an adage named after British economist Charles Goodhart, who advanced the idea in a 1975 article on monetary policy in the United Kingdom, Problems of Monetary Management: the U.K. Experience:
Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes."
(Wikipedia)