The cognitive distortion is taking uncertainty and replacing it with the worst possible interpretation.
Or, inserting artificial uncertainty into a direction and using that opening to pretend that an alternate explanation is true.
> People can intend one thing and harmful outcomes still result. One could drive drunk without any intention of anything bad happening and still get into an accident. One could fire a gun randomly into the air with no intention of harming anyone and the bullets still come down and hit someone.
Your examples aren't really relevant, though, because they have concrete and definitive harms.
The article is about imagined harms that only arise from different subjective interpretations of something. There is no subjective interpretation of getting hit by a bullet or killed by a drunk driver in which the person isn't harmed. Claiming good intent doesn't bring someone back from the dead.
You're making the mistake of equating speech with violence, which is explicitly discussed in the paper.