Ray Dalio predicts there is a 30% chance of US Civil War in the next 10 years

Ye well political riots in the US seems really uncommon compared to e.g. Europe or whatever. How would they rate France in the same scale? How many European "capitols" would be stormed if the museum' police picked up riot gear for the day?

Is this is our new guy, since Rabio got eaten?[1]

I don't know how I feel about this. The octopus had a better track record.

[1] https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/world-cup/world...

It's the Daily Fail. Basically a joke newspaper in the UK. Take anything you read there with a mountain of salt.

Seems exceedingly unlikely to me.