If the central bankers couldn’t print money you could beat inflation with any bank account.
If the central bankers couldn’t print money you could beat inflation with any bank account.
See here for details on UST (Anchor protocol) https://www.anchorprotocol.com/docs/anchor-v1.1.pdf
Per https://docs.anchorprotocol.com/protocol/money-market#borrow..., it seems like there'd be zero risk as long as the LTV is >= 1.0, but that sort of defeats the point of loans. ;)
These are OVER-collateralized loans.
Like any other collateral backed loan, if the value of the collateral falls to a point where there may be a risk of the collateral value being less than the loan amount, then the borrower must either put up more collateral or their existing collateral is liquidated to pay off the loan, leaving no outstanding balance.
It’s not really much different from a mortgage or another asset-backed loan, except that the borrower must send the collateral to an account controlled by the lender and the lender can instantly liquidate the collateral if the LTV falls below a threshold.
If you think about it, crypto such as Bitcoin or Ethereum are really the most perfect form of capital for a lender to accept as collateral for a loan. Unlike a home mortgage or a car loan the lendor takes full custody of collateral valued greater than the loan. The crypto assets are volatile but they are marked to market in real-time 24/7. At any time if the value of the collateral falls below som safe threshold, the borrower is notified that their collateral is at risk of liquidation and given the opportunity to add collateral. If the LTV ratio isn’t corrected and the market reduces the value of the collateral further, then the lender can instantly liquidate the collateral and unwind the loan.
However, I suspect the market for such loans is rather small.
As the sister comment pointed out, it is currently a $50 Billion industry and it didn’t exist a couple years ago. In fact, DeFi is probably the fastest growing industry in the history of fast growing industries. You would be wise to have a curious mind in this field instead of being closed to the possibilities.
I've yet to understand where you got that idea from, or what it has to do with all of your nonsensical followup comments.
Which of my comments do you find non-sensical, specifically?
> original claim was “If it were not for central bankers printing money into existence, a person could work their life, save a portion for retirement in a bank account or other fixed income product, while enjoying a positive return on their investment, without taking on market risk of loss of funds.”
Let me lay out my logic:
- If not for central bankers, artificially printing money and putting it in circulation, there would be no inflation. No printing by central bankers = No dilution of the purchasing power of everyone's money -> therefore no inflation.
- In a no inflation environment, any nominal gains are real-gains because there is no inflation to worry about
- In a no inflation environment, for a banker to attract deposits from savers, they would have to offer savers a nominal rate of savings in order to attract those deposits
- In a no inflation environment, any nominal rate paid on savings is a real return, since there is no inflation
- In an FDIC insured savings account savings are insured, therefore not risk
- Unfortunately in our current environment where the Fed is printing money at 25-40% increases in M2 y/y, and CPI reaching 6.8% at last reading, and bank savings accounts paying 0.1%, it is hard to appreciate that a bank account could ever pay a real rate on savings, net of inflation. However, in a world without central bank money printers this is exactly what we would enjoy.
Help me see what I am missing, what is the point of loans that is defeated by requiring an LTV >= 1.0?
To my knowledge all collateral backed lending is based on the principal that the collateral value must always be greater than the value of the loan in order to remain solvent. Since crypto is a volatile asset, you would expect lenders to require higher relative LTV than vs real-estate, which for the most part they do.
More to the earlier point, though, this is really not how most lending works, so the idea that this somehow means that "absent central bankers, we'd all make 2% APY risk-free on bank deposits" is just silly. The global equity market is $50T, the global corporate bond market something like $100T. Total cash-equivalents (M2) in the US is $21T.
Even if "pledging shitcoins as collateral for speculating on coinbase" were zero-risk--which of course it isn't--the market for such loans is, unfortunately, too small for all of us to retire risk-free.