>The new Java applications are NOT credible threats to traditional PC software any time soon. [...] Cool new technology always expands rapidly into NEW ares (where there is a vacuum).
Java's hype of Write-Once-Run-Anywhere to kill Microsoft Windows didn't happen on client desktop apps like many expected. Desktop apps are still C++ and some newer apps are Javascript(Electron). Yes, there are a few niche desktop apps using Java like JetBrains IDEs but history has shown that Java made more market penetration on server-side code. The 1990s dot coms like Ebay and Amazon were early users of Java on their servers. I read that Google uses Java on the web servers to generate the results page. (To be clear, I think Google uses C++ for the crawlers to build the index and the algorithms for search engine ranking.)