Stray bullet kills English astrophysicist visiting United States
dawn.com
dawn.com
> the sound of more than 30 gunshots coming from an apartment complex directly behind Shepards
> The shooting appeared to be a random act involving individuals participating in the reckless discharge of firearms
How can this happen and keep happening?
It is not only about the number of weapons around in the US: the households with weapons in the US are 42% (2017 data), 37.9% in Finland, 16.6% in New Zealand, 28,6% in Switzerland (2005 data). But stuff like that in the US is in the tenfold to hundredfold when compared to similar episodes in any other country that is not bloody poor or a war zone.
Why is that?
data: gunpolicy.org
RIP
Feels like details here are being omitted.
If thirty shots can be fired in your neighborhood without an immediate and massive police response, you should move immediately.
That would be the case in a civilized city/country. Else, it appears as if 30 gunshot rounds is like routine in that place, so it's a kind of shithole.
Most of the time - no. Most farms I know of have a good backstop, consistent with any "official" gun range.
I checked the particular neighborhood in the article, and it's all single-family homes, so probably someone in their backyard goofing off. A neighbor in a similar place liked to run around shooting squirrels with a pistol. The police never showed up. It was an awkward, anxious few years before he moved out. He also liked to shoot bottle rockets without regard for direction. I got buzzed a few times.
Georgia is a land of contrasts.
> Shepard, whose apartment is in the Atlanta suburb of Brookhaven, who told the television station that the couple woke up on Jan 16 to the sound of more than 30 gunshots coming from an apartment complex directly behind Shepards.
Seems pretty clear that this wasn't a case of someone target shooting with an insufficient backstop.
There are some single family homes in the area, but it's not low density suburbs or a rural area.
As I said in another comment, this sort of thing is unfortunately not uncommon in Atlanta. My wife is an attorney and has worked on several lawsuits arsing from stray bullets hitting people inside in their apartments. For whatever reason, knuckleheads go out in the parking lot or the nearby wooded area and shoot off their guns. Tragically and inevitably someone gets hurt or killed.
[0] https://www.google.com/maps/place/3600+Buford+Hwy+NE,+Atlant...
[1] https://www.google.com/maps/place/3100+Clairmont+Rd,+Atlanta...
The police doesn’t do shit.
rephrasing: if thirty shots can be fired and nothing ever changes and the same things keep happening again and again, you should move ASAP, I agree.
You should move abroad to a more civilized country.
EDIT: this happened a month ago.
https://www.ansa.it/english/news/general_news/2021/12/03/col...
USA is no country for civilized people.
TBF some of them are dangerous even outside of their borders
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/05/world/europe/americans-mu...
In 2021 the whole EU (population 448 millions) registered ~3.5k homicides.
USA (population 332 millions)? > 20k (+29% compared to 2020, during a pandemic, while in the rest of the World homicide stats went down considerably)
But seriously, you don't have to look that far. Canada's gun ownership and gun crime rates are also puzzling to compare with America's.
Canadian gun ownership and gun laws are not comparable to the US. They have 1/3 the guns and 1/3 the gun crime per capita compared to the US, and ownership is more highly regulated.
My quick stat check shows double the households with guns[1] but 6X the rate of gun deaths[2].
https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Figure-One-Percentage-of...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_firearm...
Though there could be as much as a million weapons from WWII.
Many americans like to kill and die by gunfire, and consider it their constitutional right. That's why. And many of those opposing them, still agree to treat the Constitution as some holy scripture - they might differ on the interpretation of the gun related law, but they wont go out and say "who cares if the Constitution gave you the right, it's 2022 and it's just a piece of paper, let's change it anyway".
So in that sense, they reinforce their opponents argument (which is based on their interpretation + the Constitution, by upholding the second part, and thus keeping it at the level of a debate of interpretation).
How does this sarcastic, mocking comment contribute to any kind of rational discussion? You have no idea what you're talking about.
That's part of the whole point. That selling guns to civilians, and treating them as a hobby and point of pride to own at home, considering it some "right" to carry (or even "open carry") them, and them a necessity for protection from "the bad guys" (and especially the kinds of automatic guns allowed and routinely sold), should not be part of any rational discussion.
In fact, in saner countries, it isn't.
>You have no idea what you're talking about.
Please, enlighten me then, because your comment thus far has less informational content than mine had, and doesn't even state a position (without any argument would do to) to make up for it. It's pure personal insult.
https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/constitution/artic...
So, if as a politician you want to amend the constitution it needs to be that figurative hill you are willing to die on, everything else be damned, and have sufficient leverage to ensure other politicians don’t have to suffer your early career death.
And then have reasonable gun laws outside of those militias? It sucks having to worry about getting shot in a city in America.
I think the US has an unhealthy obsession with guns that I haven't noticed with other countries. This encourages US residents to acquire/carry guns to make a political point about the second amendment or their rights as opposed to any practical need, leading to way more guns out there than actually necessary for hunting/self-defense/sport.
In other countries you mention, I'm pretty sure guns are something people acquire when they have a legitimate need for them (even if just recreational shooting) but otherwise are a fairly trivial item with no "culture" nor politics associated with it - people don't obtain/carry them just to prove a point about the second amendment or their rights.
> I think the US has an unhealthy obsession with guns that I haven't noticed with other countries
Where do you think this obsession comes from?
> but otherwise are a fairly trivial item with no "culture" nor politics associated with it
Why would that reduce their risk? Flipping the question: why would this gun culture bring to more guns being actually fired? (for recklessness, violence, whatever stupid reason)
We can see this manifest in the use of violence by the state authorities. E.g. if state applies capital punishment to certain crimes then this reinforces the idea that violence is a solution to problems.
Whether the state holds this position because the society does or vice versa or some mixture of the two I'm not sure.
I would hazard a guess that there are large parts of the US where violence is more comparable to, say, the average Canadian levels.
American action movies? Call of Duty?
My money would be on a lack of social cohesion, where people tend to not care much about their neighbors or society as a whole. Guns aren't themselves the problem, they just highlight the disease at the core of american culture.
Other countries have more history and culture and religion that bind them together. Being a young country of immigrants the US doesn't have those qualities.
If you don't feel part of the wider culture then you don't care about those people.
Thanks, that's a really good point.
Which factors in your opinion influence this lack of social cohesion more? Social inequalities, racial, religious, educational?
Celebrating Christmas is an obvious example here.
I'm not sure what the answer for the US is? Forcing everyone to church? As a kid I hated Sunday mass. As an adult I'm glad i went through that.
> The United States has a religious makeup that’s broadly similar to that of many Western European countries. Most people on both sides of the Atlantic say they are Christian, for example. At the same time, substantial shares in the U.S. and Europe say they are religiously unaffiliated: Roughly a quarter of the American adult population identify as “nones” (23%), similar to the shares in Germany (24%), the United Kingdom (23%) and other Western European countries.
> At that point, however, the similarities end: U.S. adults – both Christian and unaffiliated – are considerably more religious than their European counterparts by a variety of other measures, according to an analysis of data from Pew Research Center’s 2014 U.S. Religious Landscape Study in the U.S. and a 2017 survey of Western Europeans. For instance, about two-thirds of U.S. Christians pray daily (68%), compared with a median of just 18% of Christians across 15 surveyed countries in Europe, including 6% in Britain, 9% in Germany, 12% in Denmark and 38% in the Netherlands.
Also to my perception US citizens always seemed much more religious than Europens.
Norway is one of the most secular countries in the developed world today. The US is often used in Norway as an example of religion taken to the extreme, and it's often mocked.
Norway also has quite easy access to guns, yet the amount of gun violence is a tiny fraction of the US.
The following is anecdotal. My grandparents grew up in the rural west with guns because they needed them for legitimate protection from animals. They were never gun obsessed. Their children grew up naturally learning how to shoot guns, but none of them are gun obsessed except for my father. What is the difference between my father and his siblings? He is a doctor and the military paid for his medical school. His obsession with guns was a direct result of his service in the military. My cousins, whose parents did not serve in the military, are not gun obsessed. Most of my siblings are.
The USA has an obscenely huge military. I think our gun obsession culture is a direct result of so many people and their parents having served in the military. For some reason, the USA military engenders more of a gun obsession/culture than other countries militaries. Maybe it is the combination of the 2nd amendment and military service.
From my experience, having to carry an assult rifle night and day for months is very effective in curing childish notions about guns .
Switzerland for example has a heavily compulsory military duty but IMHO a less violent, less patriotic, less indoctrinated and less glorified military culture.
* American society is deeply mistrustful of itself.
* Firearms are freely available
Everything else follows.
It is like saying that driving a truck on a crowded street on LSD and killing somebody is an accident.
Part of the problem is like me, getting one just to protect yourself from everyone else that has one.
That's one of the best answers I got this far from under my comment, you're lead running for my totally worthless medal :)
"2A issues" have been, AFAIK, a hot political issue for at least a few decades. The right is generally "pro-gun"; we may also ascribe to the right (not to exclude the left from the same, but it seems less relevant here) a general enthusiasm for openly contrarian signaling and behavior. Another good example is "rolling coal"—maybe I just don't understand the appeal, but to me it seems like a totally pointless and destructive exercise that can be traced directly back to their hatred of environmentalist policy. The popularity of hybrid cars and cyclists as targets for "coal rolling" supports this.
I'd say their "obsession" with guns is coming from a similar place. To a lot of these people, guns are much more political and social symbols than they are tools. The same urges that make them drive around in lifted trucks covered in Trump flags compel them not just to buy and shoot guns, but also to decorate them with political slogans and symbology, to conspicuously and (often) trollishly display them, to argue vehemently against any policy that can possibly be classified as "gun control", and so on.
Even if gun obsession is a cultural thing, how that translates to gun violence? And to gun recklessness?
In some cases (e.g. the recent murder of Ahmaud Arbery), I think it comes directly from attitudes ingrained in right-wing gun culture and associated spheres. The murderers had been socialized to believe they were completely in the right to pursue, detain, and ultimately murder a man on no basis beyond their own (frankly) unhinged, malignant racism.
In other cases, I think it is less directly political and more a result of certain socioeconomic issues, organized crime paradigms, and the general availability of guns.
> gun recklessness
This is speculation, but I think subcultures that glorify guns and (sometimes hypothetical) gun violence are less likely to treat guns with the appropriate care and respect. It's not a sober mindset, and often these people seem to have a very clear idea of who they imagine they might shoot with their guns (yes, people, not animals) and very little empathy for them.
Even putting aside how toxic that mindset is by itself, the fact that your gun may just as easily kill you, a loved one, or an innocent bystander is a very sober fact, and not very compatible with said mindset. For instance, I don't think the kind of person who e.g. has the words "You're Fucked" milled on the inside of his AR-15's ejection cover^[1] is particularly concerned with minimizing violent outcomes.
Please note that I'm not saying all right-wing gun owners are like this. There are many, even those whose politics I may vehemently disagree with, who are perfectly responsible and sober gun owners.
^[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_of_Daniel_Shaver
After reading and rereading all comments here I'll try to generalize those findings.
Once the number of weapons starts growing without proper control you hit a first threshold that ticks weapon deaths: two groups begin being significant, those that are armed and stupid and those that are armed and violent.
If the number of weapons keeps growing you reach a second threshold, that boosts weapon related deaths by a lot: the group of people that are armed and violent and stupid starts being significant, a really dangerous subgroup.
You can keep boosting this argument adding other kinds of people: desperate, psychos, stressed.
Probably arming too much people that are stupid, desperate, violent and stressed... you end up with a big mess, like in some hotspots around some US cities.
>Why would that reduce their risk? Flipping the question: why would this gun culture bring to more guns being actually fired? (for recklessness, violence, whatever stupid reason)
Availability, if nothing else. See also: Tide Pods
I responded to another comment but I feel it would be relevant here too: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30050462
The US is a society founded by colonists who needed guns to protect themselves against the people they were enslaving and the people whose land they were stealing.
I would also assume that the Swiss don't just allow anyone to join the military and thereby obtain an assault rifle, but that there is some psychological screening, that would prevent an unstable person from joining the military.
Meanwhile, in the US such a person just walks up to the gun shop and buys a firing weapon.
Also in Switzerland people store their military service gun but they don’t have bullets.
It doesn’t help that guns are also a political weapon - whenever a party wants to introduce gun restrictions, the other can use this as an advantage to secure votes (supported by pro-gun organisations such as the NRA). This of course isn’t limited to guns per-se but guns happen to be there and have a cult-like following often defying rationality - a perfect tool for politicians to take advantage of.
I’m not sure what a good solution to this would be. In my mind, the right to bear arms is already meaningless - my understanding is the the original purpose of the second amendment was to allow people to be armed to defend themselves against an abusive government - as using these arms to defend yourself against abusive law enforcement is already outlawed and can only result in life imprisonment at best and death (as in by deadly force used by police) at worst.
In this case (assuming my understanding of 2A is correct) I believe a solution might be to forcefully restrict gun ownership. There’s definitely going to be turmoil and collateral damage (I believe guns can be owned and recreationally enjoyed responsibly without harming anyone and it would be a shame to let that go) but the advantages of having less guns around might pay off in the end.
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-close-to-violent-conflict...
But why does a gun in the US kill more than that same gun in almost any developed county by an N factor?
Is this also a cultural factor? Or maybe social or political?
Or maybe there is a threshold over which weapon violence rises with a higher exponential in relation to weapon ownership?
For example over a certain threshold you end up having a significant number of armed individuals that are poor, desperate and armed which boosts potentially lethal criminality. Or stupid and violent armed people.
Or maybe: over a certain threshold you have too many people that are simply both armed and stupid. Occam's razor point towards this one IMHO.
I've lived almost my whole life in rural areas, and have owned guns almost my whole life. With my brothers, father, grandfather, etc. Most of my friends own guns. I have never known anyone who shot somebody (with the unfortunate exception of suicide.)
I guess it's an urban thing.
https://www.ncjrs.gov/ovc_archives/ncvrw/2017/images/en_artw...
It's probably an EDC thing:
* https://twitter.com/well_regulated_
In rural areas I think long guns are generally more useful, whereas in the non-rural, (sub)urban areas it's pistols that are carried about. Every time a gun is handled there is some probability of an ND, and the larger the number of guns, the more often the dice will roll for that ND.
Adding to that is that some people have no right/business owning a firearm in the first place because they lack self control and/or have psychological/emotional issues that need to be looked at:
* https://www.cbs17.com/news/local-news/wake-county-news/1-dea...
* Via: https://twitter.com/Well_Regulated_/status/14799401563460485...
There needs to be some kind a filter about ownership, even if it's as simple a one day course learning gun safety:
* http://www.firearmstraining.ca/actsprove.htm
* https://www.bulletproofset.ca/page8/page12/prove.html
The folks with absolutely zero discipline will be unlikely to bother with that course.
It's generally pistols that are carried in either setting. My state has has carry license (effectively only covers pistols) numbers at the county level. The number of licenses are much higher in rural areas. This also matches with the higher rural ownership numbers.
"Every time a gun is handled there is some probability of an ND, and the larger the number of guns, the more often the dice will roll for that ND."
True. The real question is what level of probability is acceptable. I would expect this to be a highly opinionated. My own view is that AD/ND happens so infrequently, and even more rarely hits someone other than the carrier (usually shooting themselves in the foot/leg), that it's a non-issue compared to many other daily activities that carry risk.
"There needs to be some kind a filter about ownership, even if it's as simple a one day course learning gun safety...
The folks with absolutely zero discipline will be unlikely to bother with that course."
We could teach it in schools. That's supposed to be the purpose of schools - educating society to be a fully capable responsible member of society. Whether that's with safety issues, self sufficiency, financial literacy, etc, it seems we are doing a poor job. The benefit to teaching everyone is that people who are non-owners may come across a situation where a gun is present.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/jun/19/charle...
Fast-forward 15 years - bringing my wife over to the same family house. Me, "uh-oh, they're shooting again, get on the floor". My wife looking around, everyone on the floor "Oh, you're not joking?!"
It's not a new problem and it's not a good way to live.
And though many households may have a gun, they don't have ammunition. In the event they need to use the gun for military service, the canton will distribute ammunition from the arsenal.
Aside from service weapons, it is possible to simply buy a personal weapon and ammunition for it but firearms are much more regulated. You are never permitted to carry a loaded firearm in public for example (aside from a few permitted purposes like a security guard with a permit), only an unloaded firearm that you are transporting (and the police aren't going to buy any bullshit like "I'm transporting this gun to the protest").
So comparing the US to Switzerland just doesn't make sense. Sure there are guns but the rules and culture around them are completely different. It's not impossible in Switzerland but it's close.
Plus, the whole economic situation in Switzerland is different. There isn't such a huge part of the population living on the street or just barely scraping by. There isn't a whole lot of violent crime in general, let alone gun violence.
Americans have guns because they distrust their government
The concept of a collaborative governing body does not exist in the US, everything about the governance concept employed in the Swiss system would be a culture shock to Americans
As soon as a gun comes into play, police take it extremely seriously.
It seems like in some US cities not much is going to happen unless and until someone actually dies.
In France, when I helped an old lady who had slipped on ice, the emergency services were on site in less than 5 minutes, with all the competences and material to provide life saving interventions. And this was just normal.
Why does it look normal in the US to have to wait 20 minutes after having called for a gunfire, and only for a transport ambulance ?
I know in our case, when an emergency happens, people panick, and keep trying to call 911; I have to wonder if that makes the phone lines backed up even more.
They called back over 10 minutes later ( I believe; I don't recall the exact number of minutes ).
Had to give up and get a neighbor to rush us to the hospital. As an American, it really does feel like the wheels are falling off of the bus so to speak.
“Did you know that in the United States ambulances will not take you to the hospital unless you have insurance if you have an accident? OMG, yes! I read it on HN!”
The US perverse infatuation with healthcare as a business is kind of horrifying to those non-US citizens. If poking fun at it is what it takes to effect change then hurrah for the power of humour!
That is a wholly different situation where the patient is making the decision because of a lack of insurance instead of the EMS provider.
And…it’s generally because of ignorance that folks make that decision. They base it on rumor and assumption, where in many cases a simple phone call or two is all it takes to get those large charges decreased significantly. An ambulance provider has zero benefit to them in intentionally creating a bad debt account that will ultimately default.
The kicker was he said (he's a quiet, older, straight talker) "Thank God it didn't happen in the UK, if it had I would be dead."
[0] https://medicalnewsbulletin.com/response-time-emergency-medi...
I was talking to a couple of them in a bar the other day, who told me this.
Told me about getting stabbed, attacked, shot and other stuff they have to deal with. For $15/hr.
Both of them were looking for other jobs.
“Current response time targets are for the responder to arrive at the scene within 10 minutes for 80% of responses, and within 15 minutes for 95% of responses”
Reading https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamasurgery/article-abstrac..., the USA is a bit worse (table 1 shows the 90th percentile to be at 14 minutes in the suburbs). I would guesstimate that’s at least partly because of lower population density.
⇒ 20 minutes could just be an outlier. It also could be that some neighborhoods get disproportionately many high end outliers or that those numbers changed since 2015 (that’s were the data in the 2017 paper is from), though.
US healthcare is a mess.
I would imagine the time to respond would vary widly by location, especially with covid raging.
2) But since the early 1990s violent crime had been consistently declining, which got to the point the decline was taken as almost a baked-in feature of national discourse.
3) Since a blip up in 2015 the homicide rate plateaued, and then jumped by an unprecedented 30% starting ~summer 2020. This sort of spike didn't happen in ~any other countries during this time.
These are the (mostly) uncontested facts, but the debate seems very confused to me because people will point to one or another structural factor as "the reason" for so many American murders, without specifying whether they're referring to 1 or 3 or explaining how that accords with 2 also being true.
My assumption is any holistic explanation that encompasses 1/2/3 will not be monocausal, but it's primarily the dramatic recent spike that's causing public attention and concern, and longstanding structural factors don't seem well-suited to explaining a huge overnight jump in murders after a reversion from a decades-long decline.
3) I wonder what happened culturally and economically from early to mid 2020. Quite mysterious.
2) Economic prosperity, increased surveillance, and simply learning that there are better ways to engage in the drug trade than murdering people over street corner turf, probably contributed to the decrease in violent crime. There was an article a while back about how gangs in LA had essentially transformed themselves in the past few decades—less standing out on street corners, more delivery/pick-up kinds of operations; I can't find a link right now. They still do some of the same stuff, but there's less of it. Also, if you buy the environmental lead explanation or abortion explanation, those are available too.
Could you be plain about the point you’re making here?
The extremely basic overly simplified summary I have is that people who don't have hope or think they've been cheated have less incentive to work within the broken system.
https://news.northeastern.edu/2020/01/06/can-gun-violence-be...
It's reasonable that some people don't want to talk about these issues since it makes them an easy target to be misunderstood and called a bigot.
these kinds of incidents shouldn't be possible.
I am not saying it really feasible to change the approach in the United States, but it's not really honest to claim that widespread firearms ownership does not have costs. The simple way to think about it is that it decreases the marginal cost, and increases the impact, of many things like suicides, and senseless rampages.
Yes.
> Why belabor that point?
Why appear to not understand it?
If you're not allowed (or it's made legally risky enough) to shoot lethal projectiles around, near instantly, and to targets who are merely within a line of sight or just close by then your ability to harm and kill multiple people are heavily bounded by your ability to physically chase and catch individuals. It takes time to exert violence so even if you manage to attack one person the others will use the time for fleeing away. You really have to be busy if you try to implement even a fraction of a mass shooting with a knife.
Similarly, knives, fists, batons, and axes keep the damage very local. Even if the astrophysicist's neighbour had stabbed some poor soul thirty times in an adjacent apartment the tragedy would have been mostly contained in the crime scene. Bullets fly far and they fly through, expanding the potential crime scene like what just happened there.
Guns turn any situation into a whole another level of danger which is the reason most sane countries have regulated gun accessibility, penalised gun usage, and implemented emergency and judicial response to the point where most criminals don't want to use or carry guns because doing so turns minor risks into show-stopping ones. It could be argued that criminals might often be stupid but even criminals aren't that stupid.
I’m quite certain that you’re not allowed to do this, so you’re setting up a straw man here.
> Guns turn any situation into a whole another level of danger which is the reason most sane countries have regulated gun accessibility, penalised gun usage, and implemented emergency and judicial response to the point where most criminals don't want to use or carry guns because doing so turns minor risks into show-stopping ones. It could be argued that criminals might often be stupid but even criminals aren't that stupid.
It’s possible that the guns in this case were illegal, and I’m quite sure there are steep penalties for being caught with such weapons. Many criminals are that stupid (case in point: firing guns randomly).
The reason this is reductive is because the argument you are making seems to be “more gun control would have solved this”. I’m not at all opposed to gun control, I just think this is probably more complicated and I’d like to understand exactly why it helps. E.g. why is the problem 10x what it is in Canada, but gun ownership is nowhere near 10x?
Because it’s disingenuous to say “guns don’t kill people” if they increase death rate by a factor of 100x. Your rock throwing example killed two people over a span of months. Guns sadly kill dozens in minutes pretty regularly.
Interestingly very few of the people claiming “guns don’t kill people” think we should allow private ownership of atomic weapons, even though the same logic applies.
“Hey, I’m not saying anything about guns killing people, but let me argue against it for a minute.”
> …I just don’t think reinforcing or debating that point is helpful in diagnosing the root causes of gun violence or the right policies, just as debating “cars kill people” would provide any meaningful advancement in traffic safety.
Discussions about cars killing people have absolutely shaped traffic policy. All manner of safety features are now mandatory to reduce the number of people cars kill. Drinking and driving laws have rolled out worldwide to reduce deaths from cars. We require licenses to drive because incompetent drivers kill people with their cars.
If you want to draw a line between the danger from cars and the danger from guns, the obvious conclusion is a lot more regulation around gun ownership.
The guy hit ~470 people with actual gunfire. On his own.
Truck driving has a minimum age, a licensing requirement, registration of the vehicle, often annual inspections of it, etc., in part because we recognize their potential for danger in the wrong hands. Very much not the case for gun use.
Every country other than the US already knows how to solve this.
But for a lot of folks, their gun ownership is tied up in their perception of what it means to be a man. Protecting your family and all that. It's terribly toxic.
I’m not willing to give up my individual freedom to protect my family for the benefit of the group. If you are, cool.
Also, my eyebrows are raised at the idea that protecting your family is toxic in your OG comment. Come again?
What will actually happen is something like this: https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/texas-toddler-gun-car-sh...
In the worst cases, people's gun collections become a significant contributor to their ego. See also: lifted trucks.
Agreed with your point on ego, it is sad. I would just add that responsible gun owners keep their guns locked up at all times especially with children in the house. Can’t say everybody is responsible but the benefit is worth the risk from an individual level IMO
Look at the Mexicans. They have absolutely no way to protect themselves from criminals. No rights to own guns. No functioning police force. No functioning government. They just live in fear and constantly get fucked.
Now what's the risk of kids finding the guns in the house and accidentally discharging them? What's the risk of increased suicides? Someone firing a gun because they got into an emotionally heated argument?
There are many factors. It's not clear-cut. If we followed your reasoning, we would never step outside the house, because a drunk driver might crash into and kill us at any moment while we're walking outside.
Regarding your first point, according to my Mexican friend the solution is most definitely NOT to arm all Mexicans. I’m not sure what the solution is but I know if I ever live in Mexico I’m obtaining a gun for protection. Fun fact gun rights are enshrined in the Mexican constitution as a right of the people but surprise as government's tend to do they have taken that power away from the people.
I don’t see how my logic is related to drunk drivers possibly killing me. I’m not paranoid about possibilities but check the LA news about how many homeless people break into people’s houses / stab people. If I lived in rural America I wouldn’t be worried but if you live in a rough neighborhood you have to be prepared because the cops aren’t going to come quick enough to save your life if needed.
> No arrests were made.
Bumping into downstairs neighbors in the elevator will be awkward for some time.
While the second amendment arms US citizens and for reason, simultaneously, the punishment should be 100x greater than it is today for any gun violence of any kind that isn't pure self defense. Whether it's this or school shooters, a serious public example needs to be made that is strong enough to send a chilling effect to stop this horrendous behavior.
I feel so sorry for him and his loved ones.
Even capital punishment for the shooter will not give that man his live back. If the USA was not so obsessed with owning weapons he would be alive, thou.
> to send a chilling effect
The USA puts more people in prison that any other developed country, by much. Vengeance does not stop bullets, removing weapons from the streets do.
Do you think the situation would not get substantially worse? You could ban guns tomorrow but the type of people who are firing 30 shots in to random houses aren't going lay down their arms.
There's a leap of faith involved in making that connection, but it is a small leap once you look at other countries and see how their systems work. The fundamental step is to not make life so awful that desperate people decide a high-stakes life of crime is worth it.
I don't think any kind of punishment could effectively deter this because I don't believe this was intentional or that the perpetrator even imagined that the bullet could still kill someone despite the distance and obstacles on the way. Not to mention that as another comment points out, capital punishment is a thing and that still isn't enough to deter murder/etc.
The main problem here is that people have access to and an obsession with deadly weapons. This obsession leads them to acquire those weapons even when they have no legitimate reason to own/carry them. Accidents are bound to happen even with trained users, but typically the risk is worthwhile when you have a legitimate need to own/carry the weapon. When you don't have a legitimate need however, it's just needless risk-taking that will eventually produce situations like this.
This is most certainly not what I or anyone else means by root cause. Guns are just instruments. This is like blaming hammers for building houses. The root cause is that which causes someone to use a gun they have or get a gun they don't have. Having the right to have one is not that cause.
> This has nothing to do with poverty.
You've provided zero evidence or argument for that yet sociologists over deacdes have accumulated masses of evidence that poverty does cause gun violence and countries have responded to this in real life by reducing poverty which in turn actually reduces gun violence.
> The main problem here is that people have access to and an obsession with deadly weapons. This obsession leads them to acquire those weapons even when they have no legitimate reason to own/carry them. Accidents are bound to happen even with trained users, but typically the risk is worthwhile when you have a legitimate need to own/carry the weapon. When you don't have a legitimate need however, it's just needless risk-taking that will eventually produce situations like this.
This is just a litany of assertions with no evidence or argument behind them which happens to contradict all research on the topic and effective policy (in most of Europe).
My argument is that the US has an unhealthy culture around guns that prompts people to acquire/carry them to make a point as opposed to a legitimate need of them for self-defense/etc. This in turn leads to more weapons being out there than necessary and more opportunities for someone to be stupid with them. I don't believe this particular shooter was involved in any kind of legitimate use of a gun during this shooting, and I doubt they had a good, rational reason to have one on them at the time. Rather, they were bored, stupid or under the influence, a gun was within reach and they decided to play with it.
> You've provided zero evidence or argument for that yet sociologists over deacdes have accumulated masses of evidence that poverty does cause gun violence and countries have responded to this in real life by reducing poverty which in turn actually reduces gun violence.
I definitely believe poverty causes intentional shootings. But so far I don't believe this was an intentional shooting (even if the original target was different); this sounds more like idiots negligently discharging a gun many times without thinking about the consequences but there was never an intention to kill or harm, so I'm not sure the usual statistics (which are mainly due to gun-related crime which can definitely correlate with poverty) would apply here.
> This is just a litany of assertions with no evidence or argument behind them which happens to contradict all research on the topic and effective policy (in most of Europe).
Potentially, and you are indeed welcome to disagree. This is just my personal opinion based on noticing an obsession with guns that I haven't seen in other countries that allow guns.
Its not an argument, it's just an assertion with nothing to back it up.
Anyway, if you do ban guns, you'll just end up with rampant knife crime like the UK. This has all been tried before and we know what works and what doesn't work already. Why not just do what actually works.
It's really hard to believe that people still write stuff online without doing some basic searching. But here we are...
Here's a couple links to illustrate how RAMPANT knife crime is in the UK:
[1] For the year ending September 2019, there were 221 homicides involving a knife or sharp instrument recorded by the police. This figure is for England and Wales only and it excludes data from Greater Manchester Police (GMP).
[2] Recorded knife crime rose by 7% from just above 41,000 in the year to June 2018 to just above 44,000 in the year to June 2019, knifepoint rapes, robberies and assaults logged by police continued to rise.
I think it's pretty clear that your "rampant" is off BY A LOT. Knife crime in the UK is definitely not something to dismiss but guns (and gun crime and gun accidents) in the US tromp pretty much every other crime statistic in the "modern, civilized" world.
[1] https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/fre...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_statistics_in_the_United...
I also don't think it's all merely poverty or mental illness; especially (but not exclusively) young adults can make stupid decisions without thinking through the consequences ("lol let's shoot {in the air,at this wall} it'll be fun!") which is even harder to eliminate. Yes, education helps, but everyone driving a car is educated (i.e. has a license) and look at the number of yahoos there.
Reality of the matter is, if you're opposed to gun control then you're making the trade-off that these type of things will happen. If you want to make his trade-off: fair enough! We make loads of trade-offs in society and human lives are often involved in them. What I find frustrating about the entire debate are comments such as this which pretend that this trade-off does not exist.
(For my part, I think it's actually not that important of an issue one way or the other and that the much deeper issue is this paranoid fear of criminals that has taken hold in US culture, and fear that even the most petty of criminals is really a Hannibal Lector who will kill you and your family just for shit 'n giggles. People arming themselves to protect against these imagined monsters is just one symptom among many, such as excessive police violence, mandatory drug testing, locking up more people than China which has literal concentration camps, etc.)
I don't think so. It's been done plenty of times in Europe. You can do it if you want to.
> I also don't think it's all merely poverty or mental illness
I agree. I think that's just the easiest place to start to knock out a whole hell of a lot of what's going on in the US.
> Reality of the matter is, if you're opposed to gun control then you're making the trade-off that these type of things will happen
Definitely, but they shouldn't be happening at the rate that they are. I think everyone sees that.
(Cool username btw.)
And yes, we can do it if we want to, but the political reality is that we don't seem to want to. You can think all sort of things about that, but that's just how it is.
And in the US specifically, the political reality is pretty fucked in all sorts of ways (that is my polite opinion) and I'm not expecting any significant movement on this in the foreseeable future.
For the record, the U.S. is reported at 1.7% poverty levels; not much above Sweden's levels.
I don't know you or your background, but I think of people who are relatively well off (i.e. programmers and the like) don't quite grasp how much harder everything is if you're working low-income minimum wage jobs. It's perhaps not "poverty" by some measured standard, but it sure isn't easy sailing either.
Punishment is very limited as an education tool. It has some uses, but positive incentives complement it and, in the end, are more powerful.
To my mind, the US has a violence problem and guns much more so than a gun violence problem.
Focusing specifically on murder by guns, California and Texas, who are largely similar in murder rates are also largely similar in murder-by-gun rates despite having regulatory environments that are about as far apart as you can get in the United States. I'm not taking a position here, and I understand there might be compounding factors (like both states being border states); but it does make me wonder if what has been effective in other cultures will be effective in the United States.
I think your points about reducing poverty and providing for education are on point. Generally speaking, states that I consider "poor" states and regions within states that are generally depressed seem to have higher gun-murder rates. They also seem to have generally more violence. These are things we should focus on anyway (and would probably also help with gun-suicide and gun-related accidents).
In the US, I think both sides in this argument are generally disingenuous. Speaking very broadly... Gun control advocates manipulate statistics and call any death by gun "gun violence" as if there is no distinction between a suicide victim and a murderer. They also don't separate out legal versus illegal gun access in the use of gun murder, which I think is meaningful if you're talking about adding more laws/regulations. Some are at least honest enough to state they want to restrict all private gun ownership. Again, broadly speaking, they push laws that are about restricting legitimate gun ownership rather than promoting responsible gun ownership. On the flip side, gun control opponents oppose any change in law and while they acknowledge that there are differences in types of gun-related deaths, they aren't any more nuanced in their views about it and generally don't seem to acknowledge that non-murder gun deaths are also a problem we need to work on.
I'd much rather see everyone gather around responsible gun ownership for those that want it. (And I do think that more severe punishment would be useful in reducing accidents and maybe suicides, even though I think it wouldn't do anything for murders.)
This has turned into a bit of a ramble I suppose, but I'm just generally wondering what you think the path forward should be, why you think such a path would work in the United States specifically, and how regulations work if deterrents don't work.
I would be happy if we could avoid that kind of death and the pain that their family and friends suffer. So, they are different by definition, but both are avoidable and should be reduced as much as possible.
> responsible gun ownership
That's an oxymoron. The most responsible is to not own guns. Guns are not toys. Buy a PlayStation if you want to shoot something. VR is also getting better.
> how regulations work if deterrents don't work.
Deterrents are just one of the tools. In combination with reducing gun advertising, and concienciation campaigns on the dangers of weapons, it could cause a great improvement. Mental illness treatmeants, better general education, etc. also help.
> That's an oxymoron. The most responsible is to not own guns. Guns are not toys. Buy a PlayStation if you want to shoot something. VR is also getting better.
Your two first statements cannot both be true. The latter statement ("most") implies a continuum, the former a binary condition. It is also unclear to me if you mean private gun ownership or any gun ownership (such as organizational ownership: police, army, etc.). Regardless, I'm not sure your statements are meaningful in a world in which both violence and knowledge of guns exist. And, even if so, I think only dedicated pacifists could hold such a view without cognitive dissonance.
Regardless, the opposite of not owning a gun is not "I own a gun because I see it as a toy."
> Deterrents are just one of the tools. In combination with reducing gun advertising, and concienciation campaigns on the dangers of weapons, it could cause a great improvement. Mental illness treatmeants, better general education, etc. also help.
Most of those things are not gun regulations. I agree that those things would help. However, my question was about the inherent conflict between your claims regarding deterrence and regulation.
There is however an effect from people being basically lazy and doing things that make sense only in the spur of the moment, without thinking things through. If getting a gun meant a headache inducing amount of work and waiting time, only people who really want a gun would have one.
This is basically the situation in the rest of the world. There are guns, and criminals that want one have no problem getting one on the black market. But even so, most criminals don't get a gun, because the day to day situation simply doesn't give you exposure to them.
These people aren't even doing the mental accounting where Z disincentivizes X if it isn't plainly obvious. The most responsible and humane thing to do is to ask why are they able to skip that gap. I think what you'll find is that they're victims to society in many cases - removed from opportunities through any number of institutional or economic processes. E.g. criminal record, or living in an economically depressed area (which itself has many widespread effect). In other cases they're possessed of a genuinely destructive pathology. And in any of these cases they're probably poor. This shit occurs when people are poor. Stop making poor people and violence goes down to the point where pathologically violent or otherwise unstable people are the baseline.
Either some criminals are not in a state of mind where any rational cost-benefit calculation is happening at all, or a considered cost-benefit calculation puts their own life below the perceived benefit of the act (maybe religiously motivated attacks, say). Alternatively they truly think they won't get caught, which, depending on the crime, place and competence might be the most rational reason.
There is nothing that you can do so to deter these "irrational" crimes by just twiddling knobs on the sentence harshness generator.
Well, the reason has been debated endlessly so we should skip the debate here.
What we can try to figure out is how to make it more difficult for people who commit crimes with a gun to get away with the crime.
It's unlikely we will ever catch the person who committed this crime, for example.
More technology might help. Machine learning, cameras, ...
If people want to keep guns for their own reasons, they're allowed to have those reasons and should argue them. But the fact that the constitution was once amended to allow them to is not, by itself, a reason to keep doing so. That's just circular reasoning.
you can find whatever explanation will satisfy your political leanings.
Feel free to debate it endlessly or amend the Constitution, etc. We have a lot of pre-existing material.
In the meantime, I’m simply trying to have a discussion on using technology to lessen an immediate problem where we should be able to get a little more consensus.
in the real world, where everyone has to live, the constitution isn't seeing amendment any time soon on any subject, and the 2nd certainly isn't being removed.
suggesting that it's somehow a plausible option is isn't a productive use of your life, or anyone else's.
And then there's the problem of what to do with all of the guns already in the country. No one is confiscating them without a fight, regardless of what the law says.
So yes, it's technically possible in the same way open-heart surgery on yourself with a ballpoint pen is technically possible. Practically speaking, though, it means a lot of pain and a lot of bloodshed, and it's easier to regulate around it because at least then the US doesn't turn into Northern Ireland.
What if your brand of extremism gets you pinned as a probable criminal? How would you like that? Your search history and your playlist parsed into an AI, the way you move spells criminal. No due process. Would that be good for you?
No where did I imply that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_policing
Even if your proposition isn't initially designed as such, it will almost inevitably trend towards that. Tweaks to optimize sensitivity turn into increasingly thorough surveillance, suddenly the scope grows. Parkinson's law. Viola, our quaint police state is amplified into some chimeric synthesis of 1984 and some other jackbooted caricature. You can find these trends elsewhere, y'know, basically anything the government is allowed to touch. The old adage "Give them an inch and they'll take a mile."
Call it slippery slope all you want, it's happened time and time again.
Or we can work to eliminate the egregious discrepancies of wellbeing, and give these people something to work for so their risk analytics aren't weighing zero.
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/gun-death...
Would banning guns make the USA a more or less violent country?
>real education in terms of firearm handling
We used to do this as part of physical education in the midwest US. We had a 1-2 week course on gun safety and would shoot shotguns and rifles (no pistols though).
>get out of the culture that firearms are for republicans, rednecks and hillbillies
Agree but this means shushing the people that reject firearms based on that specific association.
>be over with the cult of guns
There isn't just one 'cult of guns' in the US. The vast majority of gun owners are just normal people, but cult-wise there's the tacticool mall operator type with $8K of gear and cringeworthy social media, the Charlton Heston old guard that fondles their Colt single action on Sunday afternoons, the brooding emo outcast that constantly makes vague threats from mom's basement and the hood rats and gang bangers that dgaf about anything.
Statistically its the last two that have had the biggest effect on mass shootings [1] and homicide rates [2], but addressing it head on is super complex and politically dangerous so nothing really gets done.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_S... [2] https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-...
This is not your average gun safety course. Having so many guns lying around, I would hope one has to go through all the hoops that the Swiss and Finnish gun owners have to, including the initial screening.
In other words, high gun ownership rate is not the problem. The regulation is (or lack thereof).
And to follow up, what's the probability that the US still exists in its current form after the immediate short term?
Even as someone that would support repealing the 2nd amendment entirely in an ideal world, I'm not ignorant of the absolute political shitstorm it'd cause. Civil war round 2 type stuff.
But how to get to less guns in a country like the US, that’s the real puzzle.
"The Small Arms Survey stated that U.S. civilians alone account for 393 million held firearms. This amounts to "120.5 firearms for every 100 residents."[0]
--mildly upsetting story but it's relevant to my subsequent comment--
When I was 10 years old I would ride my BMX bike into a large vacant lot that had abandon cars that were stripped, riddled with bullet holes, and/or hollowed out by fire. But there were also small dirt mounds that were fun to jump. I paused to watch some kids do jumps when I noticed an angelic looking boy my age pointing a revolver at my head about 15 feet from me. I could tell the hammer was pulled back and I tried to keep calm by telling myself it was a toy.
We did not break eye contact and ~8 seconds into the staring contest I felt my face involuntarily twist into a blend of defenseless smile and tortured expression. That's when he pulled the trigger and the heavy hammer strike sounded confirming it was not a toy. His focused expression then changed into that special satisfied grin unique to sadists and we both resumed looking at the other BMX riders as if nothing had happened. I don't think his friends noticed the incidence or would have cared if they did.
I saw this repeatedly growing up where angelic looking kids commit crimes with impunity. I didn't have that look so I knew if I were ever to say something no one would believe me and perhaps I'd be the one in trouble. You also don't appreciate events like this as a child since everything is normal to child.
--
At the risk of down votes, the U.S. should come to terms that the ship has sailed regarding meaningful gun control given there are more guns than people. We should teach gun safety practices including hands on training as early as possible in schools. Perhaps by demystifying guns the boy in my story above would have reminded his parents to lock-up there gun, know to treat all guns as loaded, and the criminal penalties his family could face. Perhaps one of his friends would have also have stopped him if we could change the culture.
As a reminder children are curious. Do not ever give your sweet looking child the benefit of the doubt when it comes to firearms. Later today I will ride my dirt bike in there nearby hills where again there are abandoned burned out bullet ridden vehicles, so the above story isn't just in my distant past.
The angelic-looking psychopath kids are a problem gun control wouldn't solve. That can't be solved with gun control. As a child I too ran into these types, and they had other weapons. Knives, screwdrivers, rocks, slingshots -- you name it, they had it. Parents need to teach children manners and empathy, but people who have to work multiple jobs and have no time to parent their children... won't.
Enforcing existing laws would be a great pace to start. But we've basically decided as a society to minimize police contacts, so that's going to be difficult. Basically, as you surmise, there isn't much that can be done now.
I'm having a hard time imagining a justification for personal ownership of fully-automatic firearms, especially for hunting.
I'm an individual gun rights absolutist, but I'm also fine with restricting those aspects of corporations. There's no point in getting mad about the gun industry's activities in those respects without being even more incensed about the food and pharma industries. Those destroy a lot more healthy life years than the gun industry ever could.
Not much is done, though, because capitalism and because 1A — even though I don't think the 1A inherently applies to corporations, at least not to formally registered ones; nothing about them is an inherent right. In exchange for the power to pool multiple people's resources — capital, tangible property, and labor — under a single authority, once that pool gets sufficiently large, the state imposes requirements that it could never impose on individual natural persons.
Incidentally, nothing in the 2A is specific to firearms. Pencils, when carried or used as weapons, do fall within the meaning of "arms" in the 2nd amendment—they're just not very good compared to kubotons. So do knives, swords, baseball bats, golf clubs, and bows&arrows. None of those are regulated even remotely as much as guns are. Of course, they kill far fewer people, but they're used sometimes. And yet, no specific reporting on them is available: all edged weapons, from folding knives to katanas and broadswords, tend to be lumped together, as are all blunt objects, whether a table lamp or a golf club or baseball bat owned by someone who doesn't play golf or baseball.
You will be very lucky if a bullet hits something to make your blood pressure drop too fast. Its not the most common way bullet injury plays out.
And most deaths are rarely instantaneous, in fact I feel even getting shot in the brain isn’t instant but rather leaves you alive and bewildered for a few seconds until you die.