Like bike racing's game of chicken in the velodrome.
Like bike racing's game of chicken in the velodrome.
Crops fail. Promising biotech turns out to be impossible; new drugs are shown to be ineffective. The housing market turns out not-to-go-up-for-ever. A drought in Taiwan stifles semiconductor manufacturing and good chips are hard to find for years; ASML's factory catches fire. Oil spills, and must be cleaned up; Union Carbide leaks gas all over Bhopal. COVID-19 kills people, makes others (rationally) fear for their health, and far less gets done.
TBH, if these things were rational, I would have guessed most "bad" news would have pumped bitcoin's value; but I clearly have no clue what's going on, which is why I'm asking.
I'm also open to explanations that complex adaptive systems have intermitent booms and busts.