The history of the end of poverty has just begun
ourworldindata.org
ourworldindata.org
Today, America's poor have a better quality of life than medieval kings.
This can’t be true. Just look at the homelessness situation across the US. No shelter, no income, no sanitation. That is certainly worse quality of life than a king.
You must starting your definition of poor quite a ways up the income scale. Maybe you could make make an argument for solidly middle class and above?
Even then, there are even a lot of benefits to being a king which probably outweigh having basic modern amenities like running water and a nice bed. Who needs plumbing when you have a servant to bring you whatever you want?
Beyond that, quality of life is also significantly emotional. There’s a lot of stress to life unless you’re rich, and you also don’t have very much control over things around you. A king has a significant amount of control by definition, and that probably contributes a lot to their quality of life.
> Who needs plumbing when you have a servant to bring you whatever you want?
I like hot showers. I bet you do, too. Besides, what do you think happens to kings when they get a toothache? No anesthetic, nothing to be done except an idiot with a pair of pliers and filthy hands. I doubt many kings had teeth after 35 or so.
> There’s a lot of stress to life unless you’re rich,
I'm afraid that's pretty presumptuous. The rich just have different problems.
> and you also don’t have very much control over things around you. A king has a significant amount of control by definition, and that probably contributes a lot to their quality of life.
When you're the king, everyone wants to kill you. Including your own brothers and sisters and kids. You have no friends. The losers in the game of thrones are always killed.
Where'd you hear that? I've been watching a lot of Soft White Underbelly, interviews with people on Skid Row, and that doesn't really seem to be the case in general although there are a few [1]. Invisible People also does interviews with homeless people more widely and it's even rarer there [2]. Most of the time it just comes down to them not being able to afford to not be homeless and not having anyone to turn to. Without a home, they have no way to keep clean, receive mail or do anything else they need to do in order to keep a job. So it's a catch-22 for most. Without security, they are assaulted, get robbed (of even their basics), arrested and never get to rest, so there's a lot of positive feedback loops that can quickly make things even worse.
And 30% have severe mental health issues (same source).
Treating those issues solves only ~half the problem though (though that's probably 90% of the visible problem). The rest (to your point) is that it's really hard to afford to get a home when you don't have one.
I'd blame zoning as the biggest issue here. Boarding homes and micro-apartments are effectively banned in most cities. Meaning that the hurdle to go from homeless to not homeless is way higher than it should be. Instead of having to scrounge up a couple hundred bucks for a month's worth of housing, you're looking at a thousand or more.
The problem is treating both kinds of homeless equally: they have completely different problems with completely different solutions. Give the chronic homeless just housing and they’ll more than likely just trash it or figure out how to support their habit with it, the latter will use the housing in the way it was intended as help.
We should throw as much help as possible to those who aren’t in the drug and substance abuse bucket simply because it is very difficult to help them effectively once they move into that bucket.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpAi70WWBlw
"60 Minutes" did a segment on that, too, and went interviewing Seattle homeless. Everyone they interviewed turned out to be a drug addict or an alcoholic, even though they initially fooled the 60 Minutes crew.
Lots of them will say they were homeless because they lost their job, which is technically correct, but digging deeper reveals they lost their job because they were drug addicts and alcoholics.
This is more like a convenient truth. How many of those people become homeless, then turn drugs? It's not like the US's social safety net is particularly robust, and even just being on the street for a week can expose you to the violent way the homeless are treated.
Treating a homeless drug addict as a victim of poverty is like giving cough medicine to a person with lung cancer. It does not work.
BTW, those miniseries on the lives of medieval royalty that are popular today are romantic fantasies. For example, the only warm place in a castle in winter is right next to the fireplace. They had no concept of central heating, not even an iron stove. Do you want to live through a winter in England with no heating?
How about being around people who never, ever bathed? What do you think happened to all the poop in the castle? Did the cooks ever wash their hands? Most of your kids are going to die before they're adults.
Why focus on drugs? Do you believe that some people deserve to have no home if they have a drug problem?
With the security and comfort of having a home, becoming a productive member of society becomes much easier if that's what you care about.
Only in some very limited aspects. "Oh, they can eat wild strawberries in winter" or "have access to modern technology whereas a medieval king didn't" and such.
The don't have the power of medieval kings, the don't have the wealth of medieval kings, they don't have the estates of medieval kings, the servants and free time of medieval kings, they certainly don't command the respect medieval kings had, they don't have many luxuries of medieval kings, and lots of other things besides. They also have to work shitty jobs (even two jobs), they can end up homeless and live in the streets (including out in the cold), a random cop can abuse them, etc.
There's more to "better quality if life than medieval kings" than modern medicine and gadgets...
And they live longer, too.
Homelessness is bottom 0.1%
Kings had zero access.
If you had to choose between being Louis XVI or Henry VIII and a middle class American in Cleveland, Ohio, what would you choose?
So? The Kings had access to much more information than they cared about already.
>They can travel across continents in a number of hours for less than two weeks wages.
A big chunk can't even afford to take a couple of sick days off, lest they be fired, or can't afford to retire and work in their late 60s and 70s in shitty jobs like a Walmart greeter - much less travel across continents to have vacations.
>They can push a button on their phone to have gourmet food delivered to their house in under an hour.
The King could do the same, all day, every day, with personal chefs familiar with their preferences, and without fear for the expenses...
>They can press another button on their phone to fetch a personal driver that will deliver them to any destination.
Oh, how Kings would be jealous of the magic of Uber...
Still, are we talking about the poor - for which Uber is an expense they have to consider very well, and days off a luxury, or people above that? Because I don't see many trailer park types visiting Paris or Barcelona...
>If you had to choose between being Louis XVI or Henry VIII and a middle class American in Cleveland, Ohio, what would you choose?
Depends, if the middle class American is also cherry picked to die (e.g. from some stray bullet or robbery gone wrong), I'd pick one of the Kings. As for Kings who didn't die in guillotine, that would be a no brainer. Who wants to be a middle class schmuck in Ohio, as opposed to a King? (I guess the kind of people who overestimate the magic of Uber and food delivery).
> The Kings had access to much more information than they cared about already.
Royals used to have portraits painted and transported just so they could get an idea who the person their arranged marriage with actually looked like. Bet they'd like Facebook.
Louis XIV commissioned a more accurate map of france. It took 4 generations to make.
The first semaphore was so valuable it was initially reserved just for government use.
Oops, no wait, these are all post-medieval by a few centuries! Things were even worse before.
> The King could do the same, all day, every day, with personal chefs familiar with their preferences, and without fear for the expenses...
The king would be stuck with local food, in season only. At least he'd probably be able to afford some foreign spices. And they probably couldn't get food in an hour, due to the less efficient kitchens of the time, and not having thousands of restaurants already on standby to serve every kind of meal.
> Oh, how Kings would be jealous of the magic of Uber...
That device that travels twice as fast as a horse for hours without break, and at more comfort? I think so.
> As for Kings who didn't die in guillotine
England has never had a king live past 81. It's even worse if you look at medieval kings. US Life Expectancy is ~79. Even ignoring life expectancy, pretty much all illness was vastly more unpleasant. As a king, you'd likely have gout (called the "disease of kings") or an StD.
> Who wants to be a middle class schmuck
The purpose of the exercise is to determine who is poorer in terms of what is available to them. Kings are no doubt more important and powerful, but can we agree that's besides the point? I for one, would take the quality of life of said schmuck.
In fact, I'd rather be some random middle-class female from Ohio than any female in the Middle Ages, because of the dangers of childbirth back then.
With your final sentence I realized you're not talking about poverty at all, but the wealthy, which in a sense clarified things, but also made me confused: what does your comment have to do with this discussion?
A homeless, flat-broke prostitute can turn 4 tricks in a day. Let's call them $50 each, for $200 cash-in-hand. Then they can take that $200 to Wal-Mart, buy an Android phone for $50, a SIM card for $50, and one of those loadable debit cards for $50. That leaves them with $50 cash and a $50 debit card balance. They can use their smartphone and debit card to access many of the modern amenities that the parent post mentioned, such as a delivery meal from Uber Eats, or a Greyhound bus ticket, or music on iTunes. The point is, this stuff is within the realm of the possible for the modern poor. It is NOT for a medieval king. Not at all. No matter how large his army, no matter how much gold in his coffers, Richard the Lionheart can't instantly access music from the other side of the planet while traveling across England in a climate-controlled vehicle at twice the speed of a horse.
There are some tradeoffs where the average person doing a boring middle class job really does have better opportunity and greater security than pretty much anyone in pre 20th century history (and some forms of ancient kingship that really weren't pleasant lifestyles), but let's not take it to reductio ad absurdum levels
You moved the goalpost from:
> Today, America's poor have a better quality of life than medieval kings.
They also generally can't afford medical care, child care, a wide variety of leisure activities (plays, shows, even movies cost!)
They do have access to information and music, but if I had to be a medieval king or a poor person in Cleveland, it is such a no-brainer I can't even understand how the question is being asked.
How do you explain the hundreds of thousands of destitute migrants tramping thousands of miles to get here?
They'll get treated for free in emergency rooms. Medieval doctors were worse than no medical care at all, ever.
> even movies cost!
During the Depression, the movie houses were full of people sleeping, as they were cheaper than a hotel.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_I_of_England#Death
The King of England died from a disease caused by getting shit particles in your food. Diarrheal disease deaths are barely on the radar of US fatalities. https://www.healthdata.org/news-release/despite-reductions-i...
That may be true from a purely materialistic point of view but a lot of the unpleasantness of being poor is stress. Not knowing if you can feed your children tomorrow, you may become homeless, if you work minimum wage you often get treated like crap. Medieval kings didn’t have to worry about that.
In short, this is a pretty condescending line mainly uttered by people who aren’t poor and don’t know how it is to be poor.
What?
> your only way to control things is to convince others do what you want
LOL what?
Humans are social animals, and kings are at the absolute top of the social hierarchy. They had immense power. Poor people have very little power in comparison. This has an immense effect on their experience in the world.
Most poor people in the US face a variety of real hardships. Your comment seems quite tone deaf to this reality.
And today's rich are doing even better than that, so there's no harm in taxing their wealth, right?
This is hardly true, and is only "common" wisdom due to an incredibly effective PR campaign by Ronald Reagan. In the 60s, when we were sending people to the moon, people didn't generally hold such contempt for government. Any large government is no more dysfunctional than a large private corporation - the inside of Google isn't all sunshine and roses.
>that it can print as much as it wants
Just because you don't see it come out of your paycheck doesn't mean it's not a tax. It's an undemocratic, flat tax that is paid with inflation.
The state isn't an amazing tool, but it is the best one we have. It can bring about universal healthcare and education, mass housebuilding programmes, regulation and optimisation of dysfunctional markets.. and even put human beings on the moon.
Meanwhile, "investors" pile money into.. um, dogecoin?
The "government is bad" narrative is too simplistic to be helpful. I'd suggest broadening your outlook.
And why are they doing this? The trail leads right back to... government.
"Side effects include investors to dumping money into sketchy stuff because nothing else returns worth a crap" is one of the big gripes people have with 2008+ fed policy.
And work two jobs and go bankrupt and die of some treatable disease? I'd rather be poor in any european country or Korea or Japan.
Besides, that's a pretty cheeky comparison.
Belarus?
Bulgaria welcomes you
I could imagine lot of people who would think they are better off there than in the US.
E: There's of course a lot of things that aren't great about Bulgaria - it is probably the least developed and most corrupt EU country - but since US is very unequal, it depends whether your baseline is millionaire FAANG software engineer or minority person working in Walmart.
I love Bulgaria (beautiful country, great people) but it's just your imagination: there are still more Bulgarians emigrating to the USA than Americans to Bulgaria. Lots more. Like almost one-way street, really.
Poor minority Walmart employees having no idea how good they would have it in Bulgaria instead...
That's definitely not true. That's a bias with some social researcher focusing on certain metrics such as income and education level. But in many societies (especially prior to that period), quality of life was rather unrelated to anything measurable: mutualizing resources on a local scale provides quality of life improvements which cannot be measured by looking at commercial activity (money).
That's a pretty big assertion without evidence especially with America's awful healthcare system and it's smaller safety net than some other countries.
Germany had made a few baby steps towards socialized healthcare at the very end of the 19th century, but other than that socialized healthcare systems didn't start until the 20th century and universal coverage not until after World War II.
Thank you. I will add that to my list of fantastically bad quotes.
I'm thankful that I've gotten to live in Northwest DC, South Chicago, West Baltimore, Oakland. Our country's extremes are often as bad as a war-torn country.
I infer you've never spent time in a war-torn country.
My father told me that in Germany after the war, if you were smoking a cigarette, people would follow you until you threw the butt away. They'd fight over the butt, and the winner would combine the bits of tobacco left with other bits and sell the result.
Accurate figures are not known, but likely millions starved to death in Germany after the war.
They didn't live in ruinously expensive, heavily fortified castles for nothing.
They endured constant plots against them, from everyone, and to misjudge those threats meant death.
Natural causes: 60
In battle: 15
Murdered, assassinated, executed: 17
Euthanised: 1
Other: 2
Accidental: 3
Unknown: 10
The "other" category seems to be cases where the monarch was effectively imprisoned and/or murdered, and I'll exclude the euthanised king as being controversial from the point of view of "violence". That leaves 107 deaths, of which 34 were violent (battle, murdered, assassinated, executed, imprisoned), giving a percentage of about 32%. I guess if you live like a king you have to be willing to die like one too.[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_monarchs_of_the_Britis...
We're in the 21st century.
Are those tribes who are still living a secluded life in the forests of Amazon or say even those who are completely isolated like in Indian ocean islands considered poor? They've had everything they need and unless there's no external interference(Humans, Weather events e.g. Tsunami) they're living a successful life.
Also I have serious issues with the term 'Civilization', I don't know how tribes who have been co-existing with nature successfully for thousands of years could be called uncivilized where as we who have set in motion the likely destruction of vast majority of the species on the planet considered civilized?
I feel that mentality is a relic of colonial mindset, There are vast amount of written accounts of colonists calling the indigenous people 'Uncivilized'.
And there is nothing romantic about being poor and ignorant at the same time. Even if hot running water is now considered a colonial luxury.
For example the book explores the fact that much more europeans went into the indian tribal societies in colonial America than the other way around. As well as people longing for the times they were under siege (Saraevo) as they remember the closeness and belonging those situation caused. Fascinating really.
And it also has the virtue of being short - recommended.
We all were equaly poor and even if you had money there were few things you can buy anyway. You had a house (build by yourself) and food. If you were in good standing with government, you might get a chance to go to international holiday (in other eastern bloc country). Going anywhere in west would be totaly cost prohibitive even if they allowed to do it. Buying coffee in Vienna (closest big city) would easily cost 3 months of your paycheck.
So you were poor and you know you are poor, but it doesn't matter that much. 30 years later you can easily spot the difference in what does it means to be poor in developed economy: easily available loans and brain drain destroyed the periphery communities as whole. Now people are poor, they know it and they can compare to more well off everyday.
It is very different being poor in functioning community of similarly poor people, where people barther among themselves and being poor in developed country, where you are isolated from wide society or living in society with widespread drug/alcohol/mental illness problems in debt and no way out.
All the fantasy of cotagecore, simple life, #vanlife, home steading is basically trying to get into former type of being poor: not being stressed by work that much, having little societal asspiration, living with other similary minded people (even if that means watching each other posts on social media) and such.
If you consider yourself in any way a Marxist or a leftist, you _aren't_, you are pretty far from it. You are not making a rational analysis of society, humanity or reality based on historical materialism. Going back 200-1000 years is not progress. Period.
Clearly, underdeveloped tribes living primitive lives are poor in almost every sense of the word. They may not be poor spiritually, which is debatable, but that's it. There is no colonialism boo-hoo here. Their means, technologies and knowledge are primitive compared to most current day humans. You are romanticizing them based on tedious with current day lives, but if you analyze their situation they _are not_ in a good position compared to humans in more advanced places in the world.
If you think you would like being one of them just think what their average lifespan is, or what their access to drugs, medical treatment, etc is, or what happens to them when there is a drought.
There is nothing to romanticize about it. They have it very rough and they are poor. You shouldn't based your world view on the "noble savage" myth.
That doesn’t mean that modern society has nothing to learn from its antecedents, though.
It's far more complicated than that. How do you measure inflation across the world of disparate currencies and circumstances across a century? How do you measure it in hostile zones? Some warlord/dictator isn't going to report how much of their population is in poverty.
The error margins would be massive even if you could.
Then there's the complication of poverty vs extreme poverty.
Ultimately what we want to measure isn't 'do you have enough money' but rather 'do you satisfy your maslows heirachy of needs' or rather really how much?
If you look at a tribe, their physiological needs are met, their security needs are met, they most likely have friends and good social order, they very likely have a sense of accomplishment. So what's the problem?
Flipside, we in the rich world have created multiple planet wide problems and what if those tribe people are who have the solution? We want to get them connect to the internet as soon as possible.
they have very helpful history in understanding how poverty is manufactured, within the context of colonial capitalism.
When we talk about basic needs, our global community is making tremendous progress. At the same time, we should not forget that the same system that abolishes poverty also creates enormous inequality, which not only makes people unhappier, but also leads to enormous social tensions within whole societies. So while we should be celebrating the decline in poverty, we are somewhat also left with a sour taste about the side effects that occur.
[1] https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34890015-factfulness
i dont know why everyone keeps getting away with statement like this.
the proposition of equality as a meaningful metric is absurd at every level of examination. no one is equal to anyone else except on the most trivial and simplistic terms about anything.
do you feel inferior to rich people? do you feel superior to poor people? what hogwash. i reject this axiom that inequality is bad.
people don't hate inequality - they hate unfairness. they hate having their house repossesed because they took a loan they couldnt afford while the banks get a taxpayer bailout for making financial decisions THEY couldn't afford. people don't hate gates, jobs, buffet, or bezos; they love and idolize them. but if the system that purports to give commoners a path to wealth like those people instead shackles them with 200k in debt you have to fucking die to get rid of... things start feeling a little rebellious.
the problem doesnt have anything to do with equality. there is a loss of control, of autonomy. no chance of growth or the ability to change your circumstances.
In a world with limited resources, huge levels of inequality necessarily means that a small group of people are consuming vastly more of the available resources than everyone else. It also tends to concentrate political power in the same small group. Many people would say there is something inherently unfair about this.
I think these things aren't as separate from your concerns as you make them out to be.
Poverty comes from lack of opportunity (usually due to centralization of control), perverse incentives (often due to lack of centralization of control), ignorance, delusion, and other kinds of mental problems, not from limited natural resources or from "a small group of people consuming vastly more."
Why would you think so? Inequality means wealth inequality, it does not measure consumption. There are still people starving in the world; that is because they cannot afford to buy food, not because Bill Gates and Warren Buffet are eating 1000000x more food than the average person.
Are Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk consuming vastly more available resources?
I mean most of their wealth is invested, in companies, that provide a livelihood for tens of thousands of individuals.
Let’s say we stopped Elon and Jeff from accumulating such wealth (i.e. stopped their companies from growing and/or forced them to divest their investments and captured it via taxes).
I think we can all agree that both companies would likely be much smaller. So how many jobs not created? How many consumers paying higher prices? How much was technology advances delayed?
I don’t have answers but they are questions worth asking.
People create wealth by work and trade.
> people don't hate inequality - they hate unfairness.
You seem to contradict yourself in the span of two paragraphs.
Inequality is OK (according to you) if it is fair. So rich people are superior to poor people?
(It’s not about “feeling” inferior in any case. It’s about having enough money to live. And yes, the interests of the rich often work against the interests of the poor in such a way that the lives of the poor gets to be more and more difficult.)
Or maybe we’re just seeing unfair inequality right now? Well then the distinction doesn’t matter much in any case. When was the last time that inequality was fair?
Rich people are created off the backs of relatively poor people, i.e. the working class. To a large degree, rich people need other people to be relatively poor in order to maintain their wealth. Why do you think that businesses hate when workers organize for better pay and conditions? I guess they should be fine with it if the inequality was “fair”…
Bah. Maybe my reading comprehension is off.
Some people have higher earning potential than others. Does that make them superior?
In industrial capitalist societies, measures of inequality are historically the best predictors of political crisis, including but not limited to the the election of Hitler and the Holocaust. I think people have plenty of good reason to consider them.
You are confusing the metric of inequality with the ideal of equality. These are very different things. Statistical measures of inequality have always been highly correlated with measures of societal health in some way or another, but different measures mean different things depending on the type of society it is. For example, you are focusing on the very poor vs. the very rich, but most Americans tend to associate inequality with the size of the middle class.
>the problem doesnt have anything to do with equality. there is a loss of control, of autonomy. no chance of growth or the ability to change your circumstances.
A lot of people think there is a chance for success and spend most of their lives learning there isn’t. They idolize Bezos and Musk because the media does, and guess who runs the media…
People are not the same, but they weigh the same.
Is this true? The post uses Sweden as the exemplar, which has the lowest poverty (on its chart) and also one of the lowest inequalities as measured by the Gini coeffcient (30).
This page [1] seems to offer a handful of data, but nothing that outlines a clear 'higher Gini -> less poverty.' If anything it seems pretty uncorrelated. It does posit the related: higher average income _allows_ for a higher Gini because there's a limited amount of poverty people can suffer before dying.
A bit more research into Sweden specifically reveals that its Gini has gone up a bit the last 30 years, but seems like it was trending toward more equality before then [2].
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/income-inequality
[2] https://www.chartbookofeconomicinequality.com/inequality-by-...
> The main industries include motor vehicles, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, industrial machines, precision equipment, chemical goods, home goods and appliances, forestry, iron, and steel
> The 20 largest Sweden-registered companies by turnover as of 2013 were Volvo, Ericsson, Vattenfall, Skanska, Hennes & Mauritz, Electrolux, Volvo Personvagnar, Preem, TeliaSonera, Sandvik, ICA, Atlas Copco, Nordea, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget, Scania, Securitas, Nordstjernan, SKF, ABB Norden Holding, and Sony Mobile Communications AB
For a full review (in french): https://paulboosz.github.io/2020/analyse-nouveaux-optimistes...
If declining poverty means at the end forced to serve that 1% by shitting in bags because there's no toilet breaks, Then I'm not sure 'celebrating the decline in poverty' is on their minds.
The goal of poverty reduction must be that the people don't starve or destroy their health due to poverty, and their children aren't poverty-trapped (but it has limits too - make higher education free for everyone and in the next generation education will simply be irrelevant as elites will find different ways to preserve their hereditary status, and this is a dangerous thing cos non-educated people will get in control of things, so it's better to keep higher education unattainable to the poor so to at least the rich kids educated).
We would consider ourselves poor if we lived as a family of five in a tiny early 20th New York immigrant's appartment, even though we'd be much better off than a feudal peasant living in a straw hut with no electricity and a distant water well (the "working class" of its day), which in turn would be must better off than some early aggrarian iron age person (even an upper class one). So, in some sense, poverty must be estimated with regard to access to the standards and niceties of the era (and is therefore connected to inequality).
In another sense, poverty is also qualitative and cultural, and working as a factory cog in a sweatshop for $3 dollars might be worse than living as part of your traditional tribe (and their lifestyle) for $0 dollars. And yet, we herald people whose native lands have been plundered (or whose local e.g. farm income has been destroyed by cheaper imports) and are forced against their will and to the detriment of their lifestyle, to seek work in the cities as a triumph over poverty.
What can be measured well, is whether we have greatly reduced hunger and childbirth deaths and such metrics.
But poverty is too flexible and abstract a term to say we have "ended" it. Else we'd have already "ended poverty" when we moved from the caves to early cities and huts too - as everybody had raised their income levels and owned goods and such. And yet, poverty just reappeared in a different relative level.
Seems like you're just trying to redefine "poverty" to mean "income inequality". Income inequality is an issue that's worth tackling, but it's also important to recognize absolute standards of living conditions. We already have a term for income inequality, it's called income inequality. It's unclear why you want to redefine "poverty" to also mean "income inequality".
>poverty must be estimated with regard to access to the standards and niceties of the era
That's fine. Other commenters have mentioned tackling about starting to address "basic poverty" after we address "extreme poverty".
No, I'm trying to properly define property, instead of leaving it as a hazy term.
And this includes income inequality, because what's considered poor is not static (see my example regarding the feudal peasant in their hut, the early 20th century immigrant family, or a modern trailer poor).
>It's unclear why you want to redefine "poverty" to also mean "income inequality".
It would have been "unclear" if I haven't already given several arguments for it on the comment you've replied to.
Alright, after looking at the wikipedia article, you're technically correct in the sense that the word only means "poor", therefore people are free to define it in whatever they want (either in relative or absolute sense). However, in the context of international development, it almost always refers to absolute poverty. Even in governmental terms, the use of relative poverty is limited to rich countries.
>Since richer nations would have lower levels of absolute poverty,[34][35] relative poverty is considered the "most useful measure for ascertaining poverty rates in wealthy developed nations"[36][37][38][39][40] and is the "most prominent and most-quoted of the EU social inclusion indicators".[41]
Taking this into account, I'm still opposed to your initial claim that "poverty is not an absolute, it's relative". There's certainly an absolute component to it, even if countries shift to using relative measure once they get rich enough. Furthermore, since it already means absolute poverty in most contexts, arguing for it to be redefined just causes confusion.
> “A linen shirt … is, strictly speaking, not a necessary of life. The Greeks and Romans lived, I suppose, very comfortably though they had no linen. But in the present times, through the greater part of Europe, a creditable day-labourer would be ashamed to appear in public without a linen shirt, the want of which would be supposed to denote that disgraceful degree of poverty which, it is presumed, nobody can well fall into without extreme bad conduct.”
If the poorest person in the world has a car, a home, food, and water, are they poor just because other people have much more? Even if they are, does it really matter? We find poverty viscerally disturbing because it comes with privation. If we get to a point where that is no longer the case, poverty may still exist but perhaps it shouldn't bother us as much.
Yes. And we could ask the same for things the poorest medieval peasant had, that a caveman didn't. Would you say the medieval peasant wasn't poor?
>Even if they are, does it really matter?
Yes. We're social animals.
Here's another way to look at it.
Would it be ok if the poorest black person in the world had a car, a home, food, and water, but the poorest white people had much more? If not, why? It would be better than today, no?
Because it's racism? But if the same situation is good if we omit the racial qualifiers (which makes it your example, which you claim we should consider ok), why does it turn bad when the subsets are selected racially?
I'd argue it was already bad even in your original example (when the rich vs poor dichotomy didn't have the race qualifiers). It's just than in one case it's bad as class+race, and the other it's bad just because of class.
Now if everyone in society has that standard of living it doesn’t make a different whether someone has 100x more, everyone has a set standard of living that is above poverty.
It might matter. I think the relative levels would be less important that the perceived ability to change one's level, and perceptions of if the different levels are earned. If everyone has basic needs met to a higher level than today, but hopelessness persists, and you still have violence and crime as a result... that's an outcome I'd want to change.
But maybe that's less a result of what the baseline is, and more a result of being stuck, regardless of the baseline.
No, constant psychological distress e.g. anxiety about the future is extremely relevant.
For example having "home, food and water" without universal healthcare or without personal safety.
Same if your parents took you there, because the state is rigged in favor of the rich guys, which have fucked over their prospects, pocket money that would go for development and infrastructure, sold national resources for cheap to foreign companies that bribed them, and so on.
What's the "better option" is not some neutral natural given state.
But people who haven't experienced those things, think all is well in the best of all possible worlds, and these sweatshop guys should be thankful for the greay opportunity.
(To add insult to injury, more often than not, those people live in the countries benefitting from both exploiting the sweatshop countries to underdevelopment, and from the resulting cheap sweatshop products).
In almost every country in the world there are people that:
Are almost dying because of a lack of food
Are almost dying because of being outside at the wrong time
I would call that poor.
I am speaking from second hand experience. And I am from The Netherlands, a country with a fairly good welfare system if you know how to deal with a bureaucratic system. There are a few people that can’t deal with that because of whatever undiagnosed issues they have.
People with a low and livable income are IMO not poor, depending on if there is a good healthcare system.
The article is explicitly about absolute poverty, so your arguments around relative poverty are irrelevant for it.
If you live in Sweden on $30 a day and pay $900 a month in rent, that leaves you with just 31 cents a day. Meanwhile if you live in India on $5 a day and pay $50 a month in rent you'd have $3.35 a day left over, and $3 in rural india goes a lot further than $3 in Sweden.
Those are of course extreme examples, and the levels of poverty in places like India (families sleeping rough on the streets etc) makes even California look glorious levels of civility.
Although I'm not sure if rent was included in that adjustment.
I had a short stint in the US with a work & travel program and, my personal experience kind of painted the picture that people in the US are simply horrible with their finances. I was young, and I was smart and coming from, what I now realise, was poverty. It seemed to me I could have _easily_ had a good life over there, without even trying. Basically the ethos of FI community would have worked beautifully there. Spend less than you earn, try to have a clean life. Easy.
I think people need to have at least a little while living in poverty to understand what it really looks like. I remember my childhood in one of the ex communist countries, it was... wild. Uncertainty everywhere, we could not afford basic shit. I saw catalogues from some nice EU country and I was _flabberghasted_ that people could afford such nice things. And I was young, I couldn't even process things properly. But there was obvious disconnect between my life and some of the media, promotional material, films, cartoons I was seeing. It certainly gave me a interesting perspective.
Something like 10% of Americans experience food insecurity throughout the year and I’d place that as a pretty basic necessity of life
> A five-fold increase of the global economy is certainly not easy to achieve, but it is also not impossible – it is what the world has achieved in the last 5 decades, and the climate researchers of the IPCC expect even more growth for this century in their ‘Sustainability Scenario’, the scenario in which the world is most successful in avoiding climate change.
Surprising that such an increase would be what is needed in order to avoid climate change. I would have thought that those two things were in conflict.
Humans, so far, have been pretty good at improving shit within the current boundaries of their awareness of improvement, and often at the expense of "other people that don't deserve it". Capitalism has been particularly effective at unleashing energy, productive and destructive - though there's also fossil fuels in there. But it could perhaps be a product of that energy release, not it's cause.
By and far, they've been shit at understanding the meta effects of what they are doing or the long term effects of that. Which is hard. Our brain is not built for long time horizons or non-linear causation or even very much meta.
It's a good thing less humans are super poor. Still some questions about whether this world is the only world in which that would happen.
Ultimately all this is what matters to people when talking about having a decent life. Charts like the one in the article will convince people that capitalist systems are working around the world, but that's because they are tracking metrics of capitalism in the first place rather than quality of life.
They then cite things how calories per person in India has actually dropped compared to a few decades ago for example, and it's not because they are a developed country that learned to let off the ice cream, but more Indians are suffering malnutrition in the past. Or how the things that are cheaper are nice optionals and the necessities of life are becoming more unattainable, like the food issue in India. India might have less 'poverty', but is it just a measurement error, on purpose or not?
[0] When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
A five-fold increase of the global economy is certainly not easy to achieve, but it is also not impossible – it is what the world has achieved in the last 5 decades, and the climate researchers of the IPCC expect even more growth for this century in their ‘Sustainability Scenario’, the scenario in which the world is most successful in avoiding climate change.
I'm interpreting this to mean that my generation has a chance to see the end of poverty in 50 years. This is incredible!
I know even bringing this up is unpopular but I can't think of a bigger elephant in the room, if there is one I'd like to know.
> The share in poverty in any country depends on two factors: the average level of income and the level of inequality.
reducing inequality itself, while correlated, is not necessary for poverty reduction.
I'd love to see one of these official boards to decide that poverty is over when some absolute measure happens (even the currency one is a mess due to inflation numbers and currency manipulation) .
Eg to illustrate the point: maybe we could say poverty is over when less than .01% of the population dies from malnutrition. (plus other measures).
Not sure how these percentages will move if adjusted for purchasing power. Maybe half the world isn't poor anymore? Or maybe 90% still is?
20 years ago I was able to split rent for a tiny concrete windowless-basement-bedroom for 450$/mo, trimmed my grocery/cleaning bill down to 100$/mo by eating nothing but rice, beans, and frozen vegetables, 120$/mo for a phone and internet (which I consider essential), and another ~80$/mo in bus tickets. That's ~750$/mo.
Nowadays, when two bedroom appartments in small remote cities are going for 1600$+, I'm guessing splitting rent is much closer to 800$. That doesn't leave enough money for food, transportation, and communication methods. Heaven forbid you get injured or sick.
High housing costs have such ripple effects on the cost of everything else that it's incredibly frustrating to see everything else but cheaper and more available housing be proposed as a means to help the less well off (This isn't a jab at you in particular).
You could give everyone $1 bajillion dollars a month. The cost of housing would go up until a lot of people are still homeless.
That’s true if building enough housing to meet demand continues to be illegal.
With UBI, gainful employment will be an elite luxury only accessible to those with existing wealth. Everyone else will be a reserve army of cheap labor that serves to bare the weight of the financial ebbs and flows of the mighty dollar in the global market, similar to the function of America’s current lower class, but intensified. Rent prices in rural, small city, and slum neighborhoods will be saran wrapped to the UBI amount, and escaping those areas will be practically impossible because rents in the cities will be affordable only to the elite.
In other words, sure, you’re probably right.
Discouraging multi-ownership and preventing residential ownership by business mes needs to happen as well.
I feel that would cause more problems than it would solve.
Upfront investment by building-out to provide supply is the policy that we need.
Yet current policies favor rent-seeking and parking-funds in desirable areas, leading to properties that owned but actually vacant (e.g., most of London or Vancouver Island).
We also refuse to move to cheaper places. I still think from time to time, "what's stopping 10k smart young people from just moving into empty land?"
The better question is: What's stopping those same 10k smart young people from moving to Detroit?
Your comment is a particularly egregious example of, "I could do that in a weekend." Internet commenters tend to blithely assume hard things are easy.
Most of the jobs could be remote save for the ones that support the citizens themselves.
maybe this would fail for the same reason those preplanned cities in china failed? IDK. I'm definitely not implying it's dead easy, just that maybe it's easier than fitting 1M more people in a city that is already dense and full of NIMBYs?
> To be clear, this debate is not about whether new housing can reduce housing prices overall. At this point, that idea isn’t really in doubt. There’s good reason to believe that in regions with high housing demand, building more housing can help keep the prices of existing housing down. In their Supply Skepticism paper from 2018, Vicki Been, Ingrid Gould Ellen, and Katherine O’Regan offer an excellent introduction to the broader question of how market-rate development affects affordability. Citing numerous individual studies and reviews of dozens more, they conclude that “the preponderance of the evidence shows that restricting supply increases housing prices and that adding supply would help to make housing more affordable.”
Because of course it does. Demand doesn't exist in a vacuum, it's a number judged against supply.
If you want to see the real world impact, look at rents where the rules make it easy to build housing. For a city of its size and national importance, Tokyo has dirt cheap rent compared to the states: https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/compare_cities.jsp?cou...
Why? Fixed assets exist outside the supply/demand cycle of high school economics. You can’t make more land but you can always build more houses irrespective of demand. Aside from conjecture and speculation there is no evidence (data) linking house price reduction (not rent) to new housing availability.
You can rent small two and a half tatami sized apartments in Tokyo that wouldn’t even be legal to let in most of the west. Is that what they mean by reducing zoning rules?
Also, by basically mandating that all housing be rebuilt every 20-30 years, Tokyo effectively prevents speculation on residential real estate (housing depreciates as it gets older, negating land appreciation to some extent).
The difference is real competition: there's only so much land that exists, and localities only allow so much housing on that land. Demand goes way up, supply goes up only feebly, the result is predictable.
If you doubled ALL federal income taxes in the US, you could pay each adult US citizen ~$1500/mo in UBI.
And of course, the higher you set UBI, the less point there is to work like a chump and pay 2x current tax rates so other people don’t have to, so fewer people would work (which is one of the promises of promoters of UBI), meaning taxes would have more than double to make the payments.
The math is daunting because the number of people is so high.
A negative income tax is probably the best way to implement a UBI as it would require only distributing money to those that are below the income threshold, and it would prevent political opponents from trotting out big scary numbers on how much it would cost, while ignoring the necessary accounting required to truly estimate the financial impacts.
Thereby likely forcing those business owners to rely on UBI entirely for income, thus removing their upward mobility.
For example if you put $30T into UBI, and everyone saved it, you wouldn't have any inflation.
I'd be interested to see a relatively detached, objective analysis on the speed and extent to which poverty is alleviated by different social policies. There's some clear variation there that deserves analysis.
Edit: misread the post I replied to, "could" as "should".
Imagine how much we could progress technologically, culturally, and societally if we were able to 100% remove corporate influence over politics and create regulations and guardrails that reward innovation and punish monopolization and exploitation.
Nothing is quite as good at causing desperate poverty cycles as most of your local infrastructure getting regularly forcibly undeveloped in a civil war, or the chaos of local resources getting stolen by whatever brigands show up.
This really isn't the case. There is a very heavily regulation of industry in many developing countries and it impedes their growth. Often it even provides the basis for corruption. You could argue the that the nordic countries have smarter, or better regulation, but in many ways they operate freer markets than much of the world.
Some people seem to think more is always better, and that we should just dowse the car in gasoline and light it on fire to make it go faster. Why they think that would work is beyond me.
Some might also suggest there's nothing intrinsic to capitalism that ensures that workers will get paid enough to escape poverty, and without parallel advances in the philosophy of human rights, there would no push to eradicate poverty.
[0] https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-education-stocks-vie-vari...
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty#historical-povert...
Capitalism leads to unequal development at all scales. Be it between nations or inside their borders.
That can be justified with vague meritocracy or hard racism/classism. Whatever floats your boat. But it has nothing to do with individuals, the reality lies within the capitalist mode of production in itself which is fundamentally based on the inequality between social classes. Those who have no means of subsistence sell their work. Those who have the means buy their work. Profit is the product of the exploitation of this social relationship.
Poverty is not only an income measure, it is also relative to your society. You cannot solve this gap without addressing how this mode of production functions.
[1] https://memory-alpha.fandom.com/wiki/The_Price_(episode)
At least 5 things were key parameters in their economy and were scarce:
- dilithium crystals, which were used to power ships, and thus also powered the replicators
- Enterprise class ships were definitely scarce/precious
- labour
- land, especially on Earth
- hand-made goods
STTNG didn't have a money economy. That doesn't mean they were post-scarcity.
The closest analogy on today's Earth would be the unmetered water connections that some towns have. Just because the water isn't metered doesn't mean that the water supply is unlimited.
They often note on the show itself that it is in fact replicator tech itself that sealed the deal for their era of post-scarcity, so yeah, that would imply some kind of scarcity in handmade goods.
I think when people generally talk about "post-scarcity" it isn't that literally everything that could possibly exist is plentiful, at your fingertips, its more talking about the things we find scarce now (housing, food) being plentiful.
Main issue I can see is swift and devestating interventions from the USA.
Remember, star trek timeline had to go through a century of fascism and war before they could get to post-capitalism. We want post capitalism, not scarcity.
The fact that there is no money in that world is not a byproduct, it is the whole thing. Whatever is scarce or not follows from that, not the other way around.
Granted, especially as you get later on, star trek is not the best at realizing its original conceit. But I choose to believe!
...and therefore extremely cheap? Instead it's extremely expensive and therefore exclusionary. So it is healthcare.
Polls clearly show that younger generations feel very unsure about their work, their ability to save, buy a home end even retire and have a pension. The complete opposite of post-scarcity.
We're able to foresee the end of some forms of scarcity, like basic food insecurity, but there's still no reasonable expectation that the economy becomes post scarcity in any way shape or form within the next 100 years.
See Afghanistan drought right now. I'm sure we can solve those problems with enough money and tech, but we could do that right now and feed millions but we choose not too.
Durable fixes to food scarcity could come even in drought conditions through advanced genetic editing techniques, for example. It's not infeasible to imagine that being possible within the next century.
Now whether or not we'll do it is an entirely different question.
This century long bull run managed to offset extreme poverty, but it destroyed the biosphere as a result, and left us with nothing to work with.
The world soon will be a big spiral of blood as we fight each other for what's left.
TLDR: No, we are not headed for a post-scarcity economy.
1. Treating "poverty" as a binary "yes/no" thing, where having > $1.90/day suddenly alleviates you from poverty seems like a bit of a stretch. $1.90/day is probably way too low a number to cover adequate nutrition, shelter, and basic human needs.
2. While the percentage of people in poverty by this measure has decreased, the total number of people is probably more important. And that number has actually increased in the past 40 years.
3. They didn't start collecting these numbers since 1981. All numbers prior to 1981 are highly dubious.
4. It ignores the effects of colonialism. Many people went from living lives with little need for money to one totally dependent on it. Enclosure of what once were public resources has eliminated many non-monetary forms of wealth these people once had.
5. Related to 4, it's not clear that going from a pre-monetary system to a much more capitalist system where money is necessary for virtually everything is an improvement. Especially when that transition was brought about by the threat of violence.
6. Virtually all of this reduction in extreme poverty occurred in China, which makes the notion that this was a triumph of capitalism / neoliberalism kind of silly.
[1] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jan/29/bill-g...
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-populatio...
https://ourworldindata.org/poverty-at-higher-poverty-lines
> But that doesn’t mean that we shouldn’t care about what is happening relative to higher poverty lines. The evidence shows that there is a clear and continuous relationship between material deprivation and subjective well-being, so it would be wrong to celebrate shifting daily incomes from $1.89 to $1.91, even if this shift technically means abruptly reducing extreme poverty. People living on $3, $5, or $10 per day also face substantial hardships, and are still living in poverty.
Taking into account these other bands of poverty, you can see the absolute number of people in the lowest bands of poverty has increased from 3.3 billion in 1981 to 4.66 billion in 2017.
How so? Under communism, China ran itself deeply into the ground and tens of millions of people starved to death.
Economic reform changed that, in a straightforward triumph of capitalism.
When one of the major stimuli to the period of economic reform is the discovery that a little village notable for not starving to death is doing it by virtue of illegal enclosure of what was supposed to be public land, supported by a blood oath of secrecy because private landownership is so illegal... you think the takeaway is that China's modern success comes from their communist economic regime?
The HN title of this post is currently “the end of poverty has just begun” which made me think “just” = “recently”. So I thought the article would be about something that has indicated that the rate of poverty reduction has increased.
The URL says “history-of-poverty-has-just-begun” which made me think this is an article about historiography of poverty and how it’s not been cataloged well.
The article title says “The history of the end of poverty has just begun” which just completely confuses me.
The article subheading says “ The decline of global poverty is one of the most important achievements in history, but the end of poverty is still very far away.” which to me is a much more accurate summary of the article. Mainly that most of the world still lives on less than $30 a day. But some parts of the world have been uplifted from poverty recently.
My point I think is that, to me, a better post title would be something like “Poverty is only now starting to decline”
More like: progress has been made at extreme poverty ($1.90/day) and now we can upgrade our expectations to start to address basic poverty ($30/day).
Furthermore, inequality is actually rapidly increasing in many societies.
Yet, one can cherry-pick an arbitrary threshold making the whole analysis profoundly misleading.
Does being adjusted for PPP not do that?
Without understanding the distinction between PPP and USD, it is not possible to fully comprehend the article.
I.e.: "The end of poverty has only just begun"
But, excepting short-lasting wars and recessions, worldwide poverty has always been in decline: https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty https://data.worldbank.org/topic/11
"Adjusted for inflation the income distribution looked like this"