Did Peloton ever have a real business. They were competing with $200 bikes on Amazon and an iPad.
https://www.walmart.com/ip/Echelon-Connect-Sport-Indoor-Cycl...
That's distinct from "just a bike and an iPad."
But if they want to scale to much larger then as you say they would be competing with 200 dollar bike + ipad.
I'd think that just enticing people who could spend 400 dollars / month might be financially viable then reaching out to masses to justify 40 dollars per month on top of already expensive equipment.
Not really when they were selling a far more premium lifestyle experience.
Peloton is an aspirational buy.
Even if people entirely stopped buying their bikes, they could be be acquired just for their content and brand.