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There was a @paulg tweet saying that if there are multiple explanations for an event, choose the most boring one. Very much agree

edit: found it on Twitter search thanks to another comment

> Between two possible explanations for an event, prefer the more boring one.

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Which is known as "Occam's Razor" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_razor), often said in this manner:

> when you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.

A theory which origins can be traced as far back as ~1300.

If things had been different it could have been called "Occam's Tweet"

Seems like lately we've gone from "when you hear hoofbeats behind you, don't expect to see a zebra" to "if you see a horse, it's definitely a centaur."

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