1. 25% chance for literal anything at all, sure, why not.
2. 66% reduction from vaccination plus booster (but requires booster)
3. 50% reduction from being asymptomatic early on and then this went up later, combined with asymptomatic cases not being quite totally safe
4. 50% reduction from Omicron only, on precautionary principle
5. 50% reduction for sticking around
6. 0% reduction from the second sticking around reduction because I’m worried about 7. accidentally double-counting somewhere and want to be safe
7. 60% reduction for ‘as bad as all that’ based among other things on my survey
8. 25% reduction for misattribution to give benefit of the doubt
9. 0% impact of good health
That gets us back to a 0.2% chance of Long Covid conditional on first infection, and less than that less for all future ones combined because of immune strengthening.