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Friends I’ve spoken to who live in Ukraine say the same thing, for what it’s worth. There seems to be a major disconnect between the recent alarm in the US/UK media and the actual residents of the place in question. Either these people are awfully naive or they recognize bluster when they see it.

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Nobody in Poland believed Germany would attack, and even if they did Poland had great army and many allies!

This is not what I read from historians about Poland at that time. So what is your source for this affirmation?

However, the US policy of publicizing any alarming event is... well a policy, so it's difficult to know the actual current level of danger for Ukrainians.

And what Ukrainians feel is nothing more. As quite a few commentators said, nobody knows what Putin's plans are today. He certainly had a plan when creating this crisis. Today he maybe doesn't know what to do anymore.

Putin is a super clever guy but that doesn't mean he had planned all scenarios like a mastermind.

OTAN's very unified reaction and Biden threats may have forced Putin to reconsider.

Nobody knows what Putin will do.

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