Yeah I don't really think it's ever been an accident.

The timing of these regular border transgressions, or the simulated bombing runs on radar stations along the Swedish coastline, have never been accidents. They always follow Swedish political decisions and statements that disgruntle the Kremlin.

This stuff happens all the time in Scandinavia. The timing for the deliberate airspace violation is definitely on purpose, but Russia has been probing the airspace boundaries of Sweden, Finland and Norway like clockwork since the 1960s. It's just a minor escalation of the play-fighting their doctrine dictates.

It is very frequent, even in Norway. It's data mining, probing for response time and response type.

There was a military exercise with Sweden and Finland in that region at that time, they could have just wanted to have a little look and see and their signal recon from a distance probably sucks like everything else.

It's of course provocative but still less than 2013 when 4 fighter jets and 2 bombers flew in attack formation against Sweden in a simulated nuclear attack.